Agitated-Copyright — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$366

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-30 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

69% 80% +$2

Other

29% 100% +$7

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No		+20	$10	44¢	$9	$-1	05-30 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	5	$35	3,530	30	+3,500	open	—	03-04 09:57
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	3	$31	35	0	+35	open	—	01-20 22:15
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$21	44	44	+0	open	—	04-26 17:10
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$20	58	58	+0	open	—	04-26 17:09
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	01-20 20:06
will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-20 21:05
will the us strike 3 countries in january 2026	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	01-20 21:29
will israel strike lebanon on january 21 2026	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	01-20 21:03
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-30 12:38
khamenei of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 10 14	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-05 15:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	01-31 06:53
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	5	$8	1,544	0	+1,544	open	—	02-03 11:19
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 19:36
us forces seize another oil tanker by february 28 2026	3	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	02-09 10:25
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	03-05 09:56
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	5	$5	1,582	0	+1,582	open	—	02-03 11:08
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	+$7	04-26 13:56
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-05 15:59
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-05 15:59
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-09 19:07
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$4	18	0	+18	open	—	02-28 12:37
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$3	293	1	+291	open	—	03-09 19:06
us forces seize another oil tanker by january 31 2026	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	01-24 23:47
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	02-04 10:19
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-05 20:17
will the us strike somalia next 656	3	$2	117	0	+117	open	—	01-23 21:20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	01-21 22:43
will orbn flip magyar for next hungary pm by jan 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-20 20:56
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-26 13:50
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:36:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe967f5…
06-09 21:36:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xdc070e…
05-30 12:49:50	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8de0f0…
05-30 12:49:11	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd6f3a2…
05-30 12:48:00	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x03e546…
05-30 12:47:44	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x79ceaf…
05-30 12:47:26	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2143b8…
05-30 12:47:16	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbbaed2…
05-30 12:46:32	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x84ab9b…
05-30 12:38:24	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5d5b15…
05-11 21:14:23	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa65913…
05-11 21:13:39	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9ce440…
05-11 21:10:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf54769…
04-26 17:10:24	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	44	26¢	$11	0xee991f…
04-26 17:09:36	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	58	18¢	$10	0xf1b73c…
04-26 13:56:08	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x69ae87…
04-26 13:50:24	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x341af2…
04-26 13:26:26	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe6357c…
04-26 13:25:20	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x43e3b0…
04-26 13:24:34	Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x737f83…
04-26 13:23:46	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd4725d…
04-26 13:23:00	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x03799b…
04-26 13:21:40	Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x584660…
04-26 13:20:58	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd071e7…
04-26 13:20:24	Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5fe2f4…
04-15 15:54:06	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x07ad90…
04-08 12:44:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0ab41d…
04-07 19:53:29	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x620c0c…
04-07 19:52:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7dd296…
04-07 19:36:29	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2e5a1f…
04-05 15:59:25	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd21f37…
04-05 15:59:09	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2e9cf7…
04-05 15:57:23	khamenei of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 10 14	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x902b79…
04-05 15:32:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbb2f26…
03-26 20:10:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xff5123…
03-14 15:07:17	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbacb41…
03-14 15:01:31	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xee9748…
03-14 15:01:11	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0be4af…
03-09 19:07:23	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4ba619…
03-09 19:06:19	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	291	0¢	$1	0x11b8a2…
03-09 19:01:07	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf70f0…
03-09 11:03:19	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x079c9e…
03-09 11:01:27	will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc3e97b…
03-09 11:00:07	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0acbc5…
03-09 10:58:45	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2244f4…
03-09 10:56:35	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeadc8a…
03-05 20:17:07	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xec9208…
03-05 09:58:43	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x2122a3…
03-05 09:56:41	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xdb8eb5…
03-04 12:24:53	epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6cae4a…
03-04 09:57:55	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1b8f83…
03-04 09:52:45	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2cad68…
03-04 08:11:15	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa01809…
03-04 08:11:07	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x76a6f2…
03-04 08:10:49	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x564e92…
03-04 08:10:11	will laure lavalette be the next mayor of toulon	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x865eb6…
03-04 08:09:51	will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc788a2…
03-04 08:05:05	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf1bba8…
03-04 07:59:39	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4e5043…
03-02 21:07:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xff5ae1…
03-02 21:06:37	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0a49e2…
03-02 21:05:35	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5d5d34…
03-02 21:05:25	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x91720b…
03-02 21:05:15	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x812c74…
02-28 13:57:33	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7a096a…
02-28 13:56:57	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x49f147…
02-28 13:46:47	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xce5c45…
02-28 13:39:31	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x916610…
02-28 13:38:49	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x138f95…
02-28 12:37:07	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9d9684…
02-17 18:49:45	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x07ec99…
02-17 18:48:37	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xed81a7…
02-16 11:16:33	btc updown 5m 1771240500	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3ddefc…
02-16 11:12:13	btc updown 5m 1771240200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8c97fe…
02-16 11:00:33	btc updown 5m 1771239600	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x835867…
02-15 12:00:29	btc updown 5m 1771156800	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe1b0be…
02-15 11:25:39	btc updown 5m 1771154700	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0bd170…
02-15 11:22:15	btc updown 5m 1771154400	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5a7749…
02-15 11:20:19	btc updown 5m 1771154100	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9d1f62…
02-10 10:59:07	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0cf3b0…
02-10 10:58:05	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x88e403…
02-10 10:53:57	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe38d27…
02-09 10:25:39	us forces seize another oil tanker by february 28 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x21b81c…
02-07 15:00:49	jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe39688…
02-05 14:47:01	us forces seize another oil tanker by february 28 2026	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8d560c…
02-04 10:19:34	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6b6d91…
02-03 17:54:22	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9e4791…
02-03 12:55:06	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb1ce72…
02-03 11:19:48	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc8a99a…
02-03 11:08:24	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x445116…
02-03 11:08:00	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x69f8d6…
02-03 11:03:22	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbb7e75…
02-02 22:30:52	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x66888a…
02-02 21:05:40	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9533b0…
02-02 21:03:24	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x394aae…
02-01 18:19:12	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf63dc1…
02-01 16:13:32	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x0852e5…
02-01 15:59:46	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf73626…
02-01 15:41:54	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x03c64c…
02-01 15:36:44	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x022bf9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	73	$53.0K	5,028	06-03 20:33
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	68	$578.2K	10,564	06-09 20:45
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	67	$12.7M	20,033	06-10 00:12
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	67	$187.6K	14,822	06-01 05:12
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	60	$98.6K	947	06-08 20:15
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	57	$8.08K	1,880	06-09 12:10
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	55	$202.1K	18,819	06-09 16:59
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	55	$146.0K	11,328	06-09 23:42