Chief-Outlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.79K

Unrealized P&L

+$71

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

1,889

Trades

6,430

lifetime

Volume

$100.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$27

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-01 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Sports

58% 53% +$2,363

Other

42% 47% +$1,629

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$203

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-495	-$79	3¢	$-14	+$65	05-25 05:37
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?	Yes		+33	$7	38¢	$13	+$6	08-06 18:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	13	$1.2K	468	783	-315	No	+$8	02-13 00:13
ufc riz jai3 2026 02 07	8	$721	628	560	+68	Kuniev	-$50	02-08 02:39
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins	9	$490	582	425	+157	Philadelphia Phillies	+$166	05-01 21:34
nhl sj cal 2026 01 31	34	$433	616	318	+298	Flames	+$31	01-31 22:23
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5	6	$423	500	0	+500	Over	+$77	10-02 04:17
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	10	$406	210	210	+0	No	+$3	02-13 00:08
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners	14	$349	547	150	+397	Kansas City Royals	-$223	05-01 14:19
cbb sfl flatl 2026 02 15 spread away 4pt5	20	$328	338	311	+27	Florida Atlantic Owls	+$34	02-15 21:15
atp munar damm 2026 06 09	2	$321	294	294	+0	Martin Damm	+$3	06-09 08:33
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$319	161	161	+0	No	+$0	02-05 11:01
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays	9	$310	405	200	+205	Toronto Blue Jays	-$86	04-26 14:10
nhl tor tb 2026 02 25	26	$307	249	238	+11	Lightning	+$3	02-22 19:56
ufc tai1 tal2 2026 01 31	13	$304	324	100	+224	Teixeira	+$67	01-31 23:33
cbb char camp 2026 02 15 spread home 1pt5	13	$280	370	124	+246	Charleston Cougars	+$168	02-15 23:45
nhl chi cbj 2026 02 04	11	$276	211	211	+0	Blue Jackets	+$35	02-05 00:56
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$274	205	205	+0	Yes	+$5	06-27 08:01
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	6	$273	327	227	+100	Kansas City Royals	+$54	04-28 22:20
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	12	$271	160	120	+40	No	+$2	02-05 23:05
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	3	$262	333	143	+190	Baltimore Orioles	+$83	04-28 21:35
nhl bos fla 2026 02 04	20	$256	366	198	+169	Panthers	-$35	02-05 01:03
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$252	300	0	+300	No	+$48	06-10 11:36
nhl wpg tb 2026 01 29 spread home 1pt5	7	$250	366	250	+116	Lightning	+$65	01-29 23:07
Raiders vs. Saints: O/U 43.5	3	$250	500	0	+500	Over	+$250	09-22 13:33
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$239	300	0	+300	No	+$61	06-11 11:12
cbb portst narz 2026 02 12 total 134pt5	10	$234	370	85	+285	Over	+$141	02-12 23:17
ufc dus3 jul18 2026 02 07	8	$233	350	246	+104	Jacoby	-$40	02-07 22:07
nhl sj col 2026 02 04	9	$232	216	149	+67	Avalanche	-$10	02-04 23:56
nhl nsh bos 2026 01 27	5	$231	154	154	+0	Bruins	+$77	01-28 06:08
cbb kan iowast 2026 02 14	16	$226	190	136	+54	Iowa State Cyclones	+$31	02-14 03:13
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	10	$206	375	0	+375	Minnesota Twins	-$206	04-30 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:44:39	Bears vs. Seahawks	Bears	BUY	138	38¢	$52	0x65b5b1…
11-01 21:44:10	Bears vs. Seahawks	Bears	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0xe4ef58…
11-01 20:53:46	Bears vs. Seahawks	Bears	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0xa6e6f7…
11-01 19:00:39	Bears vs. Seahawks	Bears	BUY	46	38¢	$18	0x8df1a6…
11-01 18:40:06	Bears vs. Seahawks	Bears	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x389afd…
11-01 16:23:51	Bears vs. Seahawks	Bears	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x37d9bf…
10-31 23:45:37	Falcons vs. Buccaneers	Falcons	BUY	300	44¢	$132	0x466a71…
10-26 00:10:44	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x2e8179…
10-21 20:49:21	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	116	50¢	$58	0x428a18…
10-18 16:51:17	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xf011c7…
10-16 21:56:15	Saints vs. Giants	Saints	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0x1835c9…
10-11 16:58:52	Raiders vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	152	51¢	$78	0xb7ab3e…
10-11 16:57:46	Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	Raiders	BUY	254	52¢	$132	0xfcf3ac…
10-11 16:56:10	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	143	51¢	$73	0x0cb43e…
10-11 16:56:09	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x59c9ea…
10-11 16:55:34	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x44db7e…
10-11 16:54:43	Bears vs. Packers	Bears	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xa9594e…
10-11 13:50:03	Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0x1162ca…
10-11 04:02:12	Browns vs. Jets	Browns	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x42b0a7…
10-09 20:41:02	Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x29da59…
10-09 18:58:14	Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 41.5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x537b6b…
10-09 04:05:15	Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	No	SELL	69	88¢	$61	0xb8dc9a…
10-05 12:35:38	Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x0f226b…
10-04 19:31:29	Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	Chargers	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x43423e…
10-04 16:57:40	Jets vs. Bears: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x2b519e…
10-04 15:26:53	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xbc8437…
10-04 05:31:32	Broncos vs. 49ers	Broncos	BUY	150	42¢	$63	0x6e9d41…
10-02 21:52:50	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	SELL	120	41¢	$49	0x8a6b8f…
10-02 04:17:05	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xc25d2b…
10-02 03:43:05	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x51b9b9…
10-02 03:24:50	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfc71a1…
10-02 03:12:21	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x0f4ff1…
10-02 03:09:29	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x70f6ca…
10-01 14:52:15	Spread: Bills (-6.5)	Bills	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0x5f2e3f…
10-01 11:48:35	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	74	43¢	$32	0x2d50dc…
10-01 11:27:59	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	150	49¢	$74	0x03aab7…
10-01 01:53:02	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x27bc5a…
09-30 18:45:11	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	167	42¢	$70	0xf76f57…
09-30 18:33:56	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x90fba7…
09-30 17:50:27	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x63dac2…
09-30 17:41:27	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x53cb48…
09-30 16:45:42	Cowboys vs. Texans	Cowboys	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x9b5ff9…
09-29 16:20:08	Jets vs. Bears: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4b50ab…
09-28 12:22:24	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Jaguars	BUY	150	45¢	$68	0xb6a6d5…
09-27 16:54:11	Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)	Jaguars	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xc0df1c…
09-27 16:49:00	Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 41.5	Under	BUY	62	39¢	$24	0x5ab274…
09-27 15:36:59	Titans vs. Giants	Titans	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x92a89d…
09-27 15:23:38	Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 41.5	Under	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xc788ac…
09-27 13:13:47	Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	66	48¢	$32	0x371e64…
09-27 12:18:12	Panthers vs. Browns: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	150	47¢	$70	0x2f9f73…
09-27 11:34:23	Chiefs vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	134	48¢	$64	0x78d375…
09-27 11:25:17	Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)	Jaguars	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6d05f7…
09-27 06:52:17	Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)	Jaguars	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x611313…
09-26 17:00:41	Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3d519f…
09-26 16:07:14	Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf056ab…
09-26 13:46:39	Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	152	54¢	$82	0xba7c8c…
09-26 12:39:48	Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5	Under	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0xa56d09…
09-26 08:43:21	Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5	Under	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xc5a02d…
09-26 08:38:08	Jets vs. Lions: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x99cc74…
09-25 22:46:03	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe87400…
09-22 13:33:10	Raiders vs. Saints: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xd66815…
09-22 13:33:10	Raiders vs. Saints: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4cb04d…
09-22 13:33:09	Raiders vs. Saints: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	463	50¢	$232	0x72c5ed…
09-20 22:53:53	Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)	Chiefs	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0xbc4794…
09-20 20:05:02	Jaguars vs. Broncos	Jaguars	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x269dff…
09-20 15:43:19	Spread: Eagles (-6.5)	Eagles	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x4a8fbb…
09-20 14:47:51	Spread: BAL (-8.5)	NO	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x875b22…
09-20 11:54:22	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	73	57¢	$42	0x2d3a41…
09-20 07:38:58	Commanders vs. Cowboys	Commanders	BUY	96	34¢	$33	0xe7d660…
09-20 07:36:31	Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5	Under	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x58adcb…
09-20 07:30:38	Commanders vs. Cowboys	Commanders	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd5cde6…
09-20 06:37:25	Seahawks vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xbf05bc…
09-20 05:18:43	Spread: Chargers (-6.5)	Chargers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdab392…
09-20 04:08:31	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xd18bd8…
09-20 04:07:52	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 47.5	Under	BUY	90	57¢	$51	0x7fc949…
09-20 01:51:31	Rams vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x16b497…
09-19 23:01:25	Spread: Chargers (-6.5)	Chargers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2803cd…
09-19 21:35:50	Spread: Packers (-2.5)	Packers	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x726803…
09-19 21:35:18	Spread: Packers (-2.5)	Packers	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0x6f19ab…
09-19 19:37:20	Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)	Chiefs	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x851db0…
09-19 16:38:41	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf351bc…
09-19 16:14:59	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x17fe30…
09-19 14:40:24	Spread: Chargers (-6.5)	Chargers	BUY	144	50¢	$72	0x183f01…
09-19 14:12:42	Spread: Packers (-2.5)	Packers	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9064fd…
09-19 13:56:20	Spread: Chargers (-6.5)	Chargers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x64e095…
09-19 13:51:11	Spread: Packers (-2.5)	Packers	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xfff3c2…
09-19 12:57:26	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xa61ab7…
09-19 08:28:24	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xc20432…
09-19 08:10:43	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x547f05…
09-19 07:59:43	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xfc72ce…
09-19 07:16:25	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x977ceb…
09-19 00:02:31	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc23927…
09-18 18:14:30	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd11e8d…
09-18 16:20:43	Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5	Over	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x8f7f59…
09-18 14:52:48	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xcda607…
09-18 13:38:33	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x522b4a…
09-18 13:03:39	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0x82b483…
09-18 12:35:15	Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x916a66…
09-18 12:33:32	Saints vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	175	45¢	$79	0x8e1bc0…
09-18 12:19:27	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4c729f…