Charming-Elderberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

310

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$7.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-29 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

79% 85% +$3

Crypto

14% 81% +$0

Politics

5% 89% +$0

Sports

2% 33% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No		+4	$4	99¢	$4	$0	09-22 12:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Yonhy Lescano finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	04-12 21:02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 9?	6	$94	47	47	+0	No	$0	05-09 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	3	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	05-11 18:28
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-01 07:40
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	04-29 06:09
highest temperature in nyc on march 30 2026 56 57f	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	03-30 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 10?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-09 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 9?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-09 05:24
highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 18c	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	04-11 02:09
Will Dan Thomas be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-08 23:39
zelenskyy of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 140 159	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	04-03 02:17
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 2	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	04-02 03:50
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 10?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-10 04:36
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-05 15:40
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 6?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-05 22:49
Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	3	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-04 21:35
highest temperature in san francisco on march 29 2026 64 65f	1	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$0	03-29 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 42°F or higher on May 8?	4	$51	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	05-08 01:49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on May 4?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-04 02:55
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 40c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-04 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 6?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-06 06:44
highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 11corbelow	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-18 05:00
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 5 2026 25c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-05 08:27
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on May 7?	3	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-06 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 6?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-05 15:37
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on May 12?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-11 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on May 3?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-03 00:04
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 20 2026 33c	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-20 14:22
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 3?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-02 21:41
highest temperature in chengdu on march 29 2026 20c	2	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	03-29 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:35:49	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf59dd6…
10-29 00:34:53	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6ce89e…
10-24 18:09:24	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7d361…
10-12 14:18:51	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xec5e79…
10-06 18:03:29	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x71348d…
10-06 18:02:36	Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x43edc5…
10-06 18:01:45	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x62f75f…
09-22 12:07:21	Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3f978b…
09-16 16:05:11	Will Alex Karaban win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1ac4bc…
09-05 16:58:49	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb34249…
08-31 14:43:39	Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4493cb…
08-13 10:46:00	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe328c7…
08-12 20:17:49	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf28a4f…
08-12 20:16:42	Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x1edd17…
08-12 20:15:34	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x4c558c…
08-10 06:33:16	Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x6fe0b8…
08-02 13:37:45	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7934c2…
07-30 21:33:50	Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x53a3b4…
07-27 10:03:57	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x993de4…
07-27 10:03:07	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5f4ced…
07-26 15:04:52	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe8990b…
07-19 19:52:49	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x0df6ca…
07-16 14:05:07	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa181a8…
07-13 06:44:17	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2cd02…
07-05 17:50:17	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd782b…
06-30 12:44:13	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf47ad0…
06-28 17:06:25	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x83f4be…
06-28 17:05:29	Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x00a820…
06-28 17:04:35	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb07d11…
06-25 20:46:28	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf0d18…
06-21 20:30:40	Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x802f6f…
06-18 17:07:01	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6ebca2…
05-13 01:15:55	Will Nasheedah Singleton win the Newark mayoral election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4028dc…
05-12 14:29:41	Will Sheila Korth-Focken win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xcb0ade…
05-12 10:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x02134d…
05-12 10:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf67e2d…
05-12 10:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x247414…
05-12 06:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x316860…
05-11 22:50:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x718834…
05-11 20:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa75207…
05-11 19:52:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on May 12?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x2b04ec…
05-11 19:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6c739b…
05-11 18:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x96e98a…
05-11 18:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xe55225…
05-11 12:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24c8a9…
05-11 10:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd0d5a4…
05-11 09:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb35b26…
05-11 03:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcb6d31…
05-11 03:16:17	Will Sheila Korth-Focken win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf55438…
05-11 02:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x71a453…
05-11 00:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 11?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x11e547…
05-11 00:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd7f611…
05-10 20:17:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbc51b0…
05-10 19:08:02	Will Nasheedah Singleton win the Newark mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x16e787…
05-10 18:43:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4c5352…
05-10 18:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x580259…
05-10 18:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd7d6c3…
05-10 17:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6add8a…
05-10 17:58:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc6697a…
05-10 17:56:54	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb9849f…
05-10 17:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C or higher on May 10?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2f5a53…
05-10 17:54:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc7c819…
05-10 17:52:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x06aeb2…
05-10 14:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x997528…
05-10 12:56:45	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42435b…
05-10 11:56:49	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x365254…
05-10 10:53:19	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x06e228…
05-10 06:37:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8fbaef…
05-10 04:52:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x019338…
05-10 04:36:17	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 10?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x691b99…
05-10 04:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on May 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e178f…
05-10 03:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb43f5f…
05-10 03:05:04	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x52e679…
05-10 02:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9636a5…
05-09 23:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98763d…
05-09 22:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6c99f4…
05-09 22:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa16330…
05-09 21:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc29f46…
05-09 20:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf56e1c…
05-09 20:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x38da7d…
05-09 20:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9c358d…
05-09 19:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd15e94…
05-09 19:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 10?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x5e2063…
05-09 17:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5c2d3d…
05-09 16:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd4305c…
05-09 15:16:23	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b2454…
05-09 14:06:44	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf12db8…
05-09 14:04:38	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd638ab…
05-09 07:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x773ca4…
05-09 07:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on May 10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbe861d…
05-09 06:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5ad3fd…
05-09 06:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 9?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9c4029…
05-09 06:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 9?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x576955…
05-09 06:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 9?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xadeff9…
05-09 05:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x70360c…
05-09 05:33:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 9?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x27bf65…
05-09 05:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 9?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9b9faf…
05-09 05:28:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on May 9?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5bab3e…
05-09 05:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 9?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xdba34d…
05-08 23:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5dcf40…