Judicious-Liar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.58K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,010

lifetime

Volume

$94.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-29 20:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

44% 50% $-1,415

Crypto

40% 0% $-160

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	21	$9.5K	6,196	6,394	-198	open	—	01-19 13:04
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	15	$4.8K	7,400	0	+7,400	open	—	04-06 09:17
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by May 31, 2026?	1	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-13 18:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	34	$4.7K	8,796	8,820	-24	open	—	05-29 20:45
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	6	$3.9K	5,140	0	+5,140	open	—	03-24 20:38
will silver si hit low 90 by end of february 439 518 716 416 258 711 739 244	5	$3.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-30 18:10
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	8	$3.5K	3,390	3,390	+0	open	—	01-26 18:09
spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	36	$3.1K	2,955	2,504	+451	open	—	01-26 14:23
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	28	$2.7K	2,290	1,790	+500	open	—	04-21 20:47
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	13	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-20 17:06
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	23	$2.3K	5,256	700	+4,556	open	—	03-16 18:02
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	47	$2.0K	11,958	0	+11,958	open	—	01-28 11:25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	64	$1.8K	8,040	0	+8,040	open	—	05-06 14:28
spx up or down on february 2 2026	8	$1.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-02 14:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	33	$1.8K	2,540	0	+2,540	Yes	+$787	05-06 09:48
will silver si hit high 140 by end of february 384 774 953 735 356	5	$1.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-30 17:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$1.7K	3,312	0	+3,312	open	—	05-07 21:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$1.5K	3,413	0	+3,413	open	—	03-24 20:28
si above 100 jan 2026	6	$1.4K	1,000	980	+20	open	—	01-28 15:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.3K	0	1,379	-1,379	open	—	02-26 05:07
bitcoin above 68k on february 13	5	$1.2K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	02-13 15:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	10	$1.2K	1,655	0	+1,655	open	—	04-08 12:29
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 27 february 2	15	$1.2K	16,181	0	+16,181	open	—	02-02 02:09
bitcoin up or down on january 12	20	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-12 14:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	3	$1.1K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	05-18 21:31
bitcoin above 94k on january 19	91	$1.1K	1,450	1,450	-0	open	—	01-19 08:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	20	$1.1K	5,360	200	+5,160	No	$-1,043	05-07 21:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$1.0K	3,500	1,500	+2,000	open	—	03-26 15:53
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	3	$998	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-03 14:54
bitcoin above 68k on february 10	41	$995	3,700	0	+3,700	open	—	02-10 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 20:45:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	8,320	3¢	$250	0xcc2473…
05-28 16:47:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0x1b8dda…
05-28 14:18:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	80	37¢	$29	0xea51a4…
05-28 14:18:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbf400e…
05-28 14:17:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x91fe96…
05-28 14:17:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	415	37¢	$154	0xf94d2f…
05-28 14:17:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	37¢	$185	0x8296fe…
05-28 14:16:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xaaa7c5…
05-28 14:16:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xe14ae7…
05-28 14:15:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	37¢	$370	0x19ba19…
05-28 14:15:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	37¢	$370	0x9922ff…
05-28 12:35:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	230	20¢	$46	0xcd3696…
05-27 15:34:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	44	38¢	$17	0x2ea8b8…
05-27 15:32:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x289519…
05-27 15:32:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x082013…
05-27 15:32:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,140	39¢	$445	0xb4356d…
05-27 15:32:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	198	38¢	$74	0x042155…
05-18 21:31:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,500	48¢	$720	0x6ad2bf…
05-18 21:30:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0x53bf88…
05-18 18:14:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xcc3d2d…
05-18 17:11:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	75	58¢	$44	0xee6b63…
05-18 16:07:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x8ee6df…
05-18 15:59:38	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x7337fd…
05-18 11:57:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	57¢	$172	0x2d46ab…
05-14 12:26:38	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	175	2¢	$3	0x584b17…
05-14 04:39:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x1a284e…
05-14 03:13:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xad3df0…
05-14 02:37:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb9a7f2…
05-14 02:32:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc07612…
05-14 02:22:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x9cb8fc…
05-14 02:02:07	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x12afa5…
05-14 01:47:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x57fe1c…
05-14 01:39:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$17	0x0ed6f5…
05-14 01:37:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xd1c602…
05-14 01:34:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xea8ce9…
05-13 22:09:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x2025ad…
05-13 21:49:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	349	2¢	$6	0x9c59f1…
05-13 21:22:14	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	384	2¢	$7	0xb8d9a9…
05-13 21:04:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	550	2¢	$9	0xc76f94…
05-09 05:48:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	71	63¢	$45	0xfa43bb…
05-09 04:05:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xfdf293…
05-09 04:01:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0f1adb…
05-09 04:01:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf5d96d…
05-09 03:58:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0xbefe94…
05-09 03:18:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc6fad7…
05-09 02:09:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x093831…
05-09 01:17:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xbe486d…
05-08 23:16:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x078bc8…
05-08 22:56:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa413ba…
05-08 14:36:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 8?	No	BUY	483	14¢	$68	0x385f99…
05-08 14:10:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 8?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1187ee…
05-08 12:23:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 8?	No	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x3e2f62…
05-08 12:23:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 8?	No	BUY	600	21¢	$126	0x063294…
05-08 10:25:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 8?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x080087…
05-08 09:30:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,178	14¢	$165	0x3d82e8…
05-07 21:54:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0x72c3d7…
05-07 21:53:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0x414f0a…
05-07 21:40:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0x7d6b72…
05-07 21:39:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	312	51¢	$159	0xb51d40…
05-07 21:39:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	51¢	$1,020	0x927a31…
05-07 21:30:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	500	67¢	$334	0xd7969c…
05-07 18:44:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	155	70¢	$108	0xe37e6d…
05-07 18:44:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	95	70¢	$66	0x545eda…
05-07 17:38:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	241	46¢	$111	0x08db0a…
05-07 17:38:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x301a22…
05-07 17:25:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	250	68¢	$170	0xa9c84e…
05-07 16:18:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	145	25¢	$36	0x481c51…
05-07 16:18:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xadd977…
05-07 16:18:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	300	27¢	$80	0xaee8ca…
05-07 16:17:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4a53a7…
05-07 16:16:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xe57495…
05-07 16:08:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x74f9e8…
05-07 16:08:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	308	35¢	$108	0x2a8a30…
05-07 16:07:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x9d9a68…
05-07 16:07:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xa3e16a…
05-07 16:06:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x2d1ef9…
05-07 16:06:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x21ee16…
05-07 16:04:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	400	47¢	$188	0x5771f3…
05-07 16:03:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	500	47¢	$234	0xfb9b61…
05-07 15:59:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0x0db087…
05-07 15:58:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xd467f2…
05-07 13:19:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	19¢	$13	0x17799f…
05-07 13:19:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$46	0x4eaf9b…
05-07 13:13:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x1d59b9…
05-07 13:11:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0xa10b07…
05-07 13:10:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x7a54aa…
05-07 13:10:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	473	18¢	$83	0xe51722…
05-07 12:51:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	7¢	$31	0x913962…
05-06 21:01:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x84401e…
05-06 18:02:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xe83788…
05-06 15:52:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc24c6b…
05-06 15:52:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	15¢	$18	0x5dccc1…
05-06 15:28:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	15¢	$47	0xd3ffde…
05-06 14:28:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	132	27¢	$36	0x7325ad…
05-06 14:26:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xc7d782…
05-06 14:26:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x2043d5…
05-06 14:15:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x2b52c3…
05-06 14:14:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0xb52756…
05-06 14:13:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x24b30e…
05-06 14:12:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x7f8465…