Third-Residence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

5,077

Trades

8,372

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-28 00:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 83% +$12

Other

1% 34% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC	3	$39	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	08-30 11:44
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	09-12 04:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 01:00 UTC	3	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	09-15 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	09-10 16:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 13:45 UTC	4	$33	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	09-21 13:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$32	40	0	+40	Down	+$8	10-27 19:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$32	41	0	+41	Down	-$32	10-23 11:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$32	36	0	+36	Down	+$4	10-28 00:56
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$32	40	0	+40	Up	+$8	10-21 10:56
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$32	38	0	+38	Up	+$6	10-27 20:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$32	37	0	+37	Up	+$5	10-24 21:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$32	37	0	+37	Down	+$5	10-25 05:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$32	37	0	+37	Down	+$5	10-21 12:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$32	43	0	+43	Down	-$32	10-25 18:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$32	38	0	+38	Up	-$32	10-26 11:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$29	37	0	+37	Up	+$8	10-10 00:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$29	37	0	+37	Up	+$8	10-15 16:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$29	37	0	+37	Down	-$29	10-12 20:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$29	38	0	+38	Down	-$29	10-12 12:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$29	34	0	+34	Up	+$5	10-13 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$29	35	0	+35	Up	+$6	10-19 18:51
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$29	34	0	+34	Up	+$5	10-16 05:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:45 UTC	2	$29	35	0	+35	Down	+$6	10-18 01:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$29	34	0	+34	Down	+$5	10-08 01:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$29	38	0	+38	Up	+$9	10-12 00:50
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$29	35	0	+35	Down	+$6	10-18 17:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 16:30 UTC	2	$26	29	0	+29	Down	+$3	09-21 16:42
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$26	29	0	+29	Up	+$3	09-21 00:55
Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$26	34	0	+34	Up	+$8	09-22 12:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 04:45 UTC	2	$26	31	0	+31	Down	+$5	09-28 04:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9196bb…
10-28 00:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x90e574…
10-27 23:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc6c881…
10-27 23:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xab5f61…
10-27 22:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x4702cf…
10-27 22:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0fc95b…
10-27 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xf0cd5f…
10-27 20:50:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4bf296…
10-27 20:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0x92765f…
10-27 19:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x399a57…
10-27 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe6644d…
10-27 19:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	81¢	$27	0x043ad6…
10-27 19:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x4a138b…
10-27 19:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x021d65…
10-27 18:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x3876db…
10-27 17:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x7902fc…
10-27 17:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x715abd…
10-27 15:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xdca8a7…
10-27 15:35:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xa88fe4…
10-27 15:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x90456d…
10-27 14:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf6c613…
10-27 14:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x4df260…
10-27 13:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x7e4bb1…
10-27 10:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x541954…
10-27 10:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x67fe4e…
10-27 10:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xfb5002…
10-27 08:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xf82077…
10-27 08:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x2dd42b…
10-27 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xa08dd4…
10-27 06:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xd9e8d5…
10-27 06:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x115de2…
10-27 06:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xc10501…
10-27 05:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x8c06dc…
10-27 04:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xef6468…
10-27 04:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb3d316…
10-27 03:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xec13d0…
10-27 03:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xd755b1…
10-26 23:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9ed73e…
10-26 21:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x055444…
10-26 20:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x6603f7…
10-26 17:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x458328…
10-26 11:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2540bd…
10-26 11:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x320f98…
10-26 11:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0xba5028…
10-26 10:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x95594a…
10-26 10:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x4911fc…
10-26 10:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x783a31…
10-26 04:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x0c21f0…
10-26 03:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4a5154…
10-26 03:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xcc21b6…
10-26 03:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x779189…
10-26 03:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xd4934d…
10-26 00:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xcd944f…
10-25 22:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x4b7e1a…
10-25 21:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xfff7ca…
10-25 21:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xc9d384…
10-25 19:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xa4cee7…
10-25 18:50:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3b5987…
10-25 18:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0x5e761d…
10-25 17:55:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xaaa42a…
10-25 15:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x8f3948…
10-25 14:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x8abdb4…
10-25 11:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x2c696b…
10-25 10:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xe82ba3…
10-25 09:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x500527…
10-25 09:50:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x3ad016…
10-25 08:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x5ec98f…
10-25 05:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5c7741…
10-25 05:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	86¢	$27	0x055ae9…
10-25 02:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x8023ec…
10-25 02:50:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xfa5072…
10-25 01:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xa9a981…
10-24 22:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x945040…
10-24 22:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x77701f…
10-24 22:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x7714a3…
10-24 21:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x750d2d…
10-24 21:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x978fec…
10-24 21:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x9d5f16…
10-24 20:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x9e3e61…
10-24 20:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x4aaf3a…
10-24 19:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x772a1f…
10-24 19:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x91fe65…
10-24 19:32:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x14f382…
10-24 18:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x0c7292…
10-24 18:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xf52297…
10-24 18:37:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x420538…
10-24 17:50:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xae6e50…
10-24 14:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x75694a…
10-24 14:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcf19d0…
10-24 14:20:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xa65c89…
10-24 14:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x4c9106…
10-24 12:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x698713…
10-24 12:20:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x20a059…
10-24 09:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xaa4dc8…
10-24 09:05:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-24 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x9e4d74…
10-24 04:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xfb3c70…
10-24 04:37:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb90f1d…
10-24 03:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x28ef1d…
10-24 02:55:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x063de8…
10-24 02:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xa463f5…