Careless-Preference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,004

lifetime

Volume

$33.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 18:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% 38% $-7

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.1K	2,120	2,120	+0	open	—	06-01 17:05
cs2 vit fut 2026 06 11	1	$1000	1,754	0	+1,754	open	—	06-11 12:57
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	24	$989	846	846	+0	open	—	05-26 16:15
cs2 3dmax fal2 2026 04 13	9	$941	500	499	+1	open	—	04-13 17:33
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	7	$785	500	500	+0	open	—	07-19 22:01
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 1 Winner	10	$767	651	651	+0	open	—	05-28 21:24
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?	9	$713	416	416	-0	open	—	04-17 22:06
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	25	$693	672	672	+0	open	—	01-25 00:06
fif ger gha 2026 03 30 total 3pt5	4	$653	400	400	+0	open	—	03-30 21:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	24	$644	1,629	1,629	+0	open	—	03-22 11:28
cs2 ruby1 mzp 2026 04 13	8	$598	550	550	+0	open	—	04-13 12:46
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	20	$569	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-24 00:48
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$543	500	500	+0	open	—	04-30 14:50
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	3	$525	851	0	+851	open	—	06-21 16:39
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	8	$516	831	250	+581	open	—	05-28 20:17
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs SK Nebula (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs	13	$482	308	308	+0	open	—	05-23 23:06
cs2 m8 g2 2026 04 13 total games 2pt5	15	$480	512	512	+0	open	—	04-13 13:28
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	5	$478	480	480	+0	open	—	07-20 15:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$464	400	400	+0	open	—	04-28 14:00
cs2 navi ts7 2026 06 11 game2	3	$450	250	250	+0	open	—	06-11 20:24
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	6	$447	425	375	+50	Global Esports	+$25	05-08 10:28
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$427	321	321	+0	open	—	07-06 13:55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	2	$402	250	300	-50	open	—	05-15 10:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	4	$399	479	0	+479	Up	+$80	05-04 15:47
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$396	435	435	+0	open	—	03-08 22:58
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 948	36	$394	981	441	+541	open	—	01-07 22:56
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$364	262	262	+0	open	—	07-07 15:07
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	9	$364	395	250	+145	open	—	05-22 23:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$357	342	342	+0	open	—	06-19 17:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$340	398	398	+0	open	—	05-04 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 18:34:31	cs2 all wc1 2026 07 21	Alliance	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xc83187…
07-21 18:24:03	cs2 all wc1 2026 07 21	Alliance	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xd6d58c…
07-21 15:57:30	cs2 hotu hero 2026 07 21	Heroic	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0x0e419f…
07-21 11:38:04	cs2 mgc wal2 2026 07 21	Walczaki	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x3960ed…
07-21 11:35:03	cs2 mgc wal2 2026 07 21	Walczaki	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x7a5249…
07-21 11:35:03	cs2 mgc wal2 2026 07 21	Walczaki	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x2cbc1c…
07-21 10:57:39	cs2 mgc wal2 2026 07 21	Walczaki	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xd30352…
07-21 08:06:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x1993ee…
07-21 07:47:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x5f03bd…
07-21 07:47:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x0e2b63…
07-20 20:22:15	val tmo kc1 2026 07 20 game2	Karmine Corp GC	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0x77d6e4…
07-20 20:22:03	val tmo kc1 2026 07 20 game2	Karmine Corp GC	SELL	85	12¢	$10	0x00a2ff…
07-20 20:21:42	val tmo kc1 2026 07 20 game2	Karmine Corp GC	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xcfdb30…
07-20 20:21:04	val tmo kc1 2026 07 20 game2	Karmine Corp GC	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0x4501c0…
07-20 20:09:22	val tmo kc1 2026 07 20 game2	Karmine Corp GC	BUY	132	7¢	$9	0x9c90bc…
07-20 20:08:49	val tmo kc1 2026 07 20 game2	Karmine Corp GC	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x90d05b…
07-20 19:59:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x9ee87d…
07-20 19:01:48	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x6702ff…
07-20 19:00:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x6e6467…
07-20 18:59:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x565881…
07-20 15:57:06	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	197	51¢	$100	0x0b8d70…
07-20 15:56:19	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x814517…
07-20 15:55:45	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	67	51¢	$34	0xc45bf8…
07-20 14:56:04	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	216	51¢	$111	0xabb296…
07-20 13:59:43	val blg xlg 2026 07 20	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	327	26¢	$85	0x5f9570…
07-20 13:53:31	val blg xlg 2026 07 20	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf2bcc1…
07-20 13:51:09	val blg xlg 2026 07 20	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x364420…
07-20 13:49:18	val blg xlg 2026 07 20	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xf813ea…
07-20 13:45:04	val blg xlg 2026 07 20	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x9e4224…
07-19 22:01:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0xb4674d…
07-19 21:31:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	381	43¢	$164	0xbb9ad5…
07-19 21:31:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x207835…
07-19 21:31:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xa92f01…
07-19 21:31:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xb42d05…
07-19 21:31:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	34	43¢	$15	0xf5c385…
07-19 21:27:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xf702b3…
07-19 21:21:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x0615bd…
07-19 21:08:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xeeb9d5…
07-19 21:08:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xa02c7b…
07-19 21:08:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	77	59¢	$46	0x49f5fc…
07-19 21:08:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	274	59¢	$161	0x23c899…
07-19 21:08:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	114	59¢	$67	0x0da353…
07-19 21:08:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x118ed2…
07-19 19:20:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	69	35¢	$24	0xc921e3…
07-19 19:19:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	SELL	91	49¢	$45	0x360b85…
07-19 18:53:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x0026a4…
07-19 18:51:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x899780…
07-18 12:02:12	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	470	49¢	$228	0x3f59fd…
07-12 12:27:52	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 1pt5	Sinner	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x202fd4…
07-12 03:38:59	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0xc1a403…
07-12 03:15:04	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0xf10306…
07-10 05:13:53	btc updown 5m 1783660500	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x41d75c…
07-10 05:13:25	btc updown 5m 1783660500	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x53e8ac…
07-07 15:07:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	262	82¢	$215	0x28780f…
07-07 13:10:53	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x84fc44…
07-07 13:10:29	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0xff7c3d…
07-07 10:46:55	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x1695c3…
07-07 10:46:40	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x6f225a…
07-07 00:41:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	262	57¢	$149	0x5bf692…
07-06 13:55:59	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	SELL	321	66¢	$212	0x05dc69…
07-06 13:01:22	btc updown 5m 1783343100	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x838861…
07-06 13:00:32	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	321	67¢	$215	0x17ed71…
07-06 03:08:34	btc updown 5m 1783307400	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3e43a0…
07-06 01:07:46	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x5e1eec…
07-04 07:44:32	btc updown 5m 1783151100	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x293ff1…
07-04 07:44:25	btc updown 5m 1783151100	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x194ca5…
07-04 07:44:10	btc updown 5m 1783151100	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1a44d2…
07-03 23:25:17	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	76	26¢	$20	0xf632b6…
07-03 22:02:35	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x4b2bdb…
07-03 04:49:55	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	SELL	94	11¢	$10	0x78148b…
07-03 02:10:29	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xf04b90…
07-02 14:24:52	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	356	13¢	$46	0x74571d…
07-02 11:32:10	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x9cd56e…
07-02 11:12:31	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x7d69e0…
07-02 11:01:08	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x536103…
07-02 10:51:22	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	252	60¢	$150	0x8cb16f…
07-01 05:08:46	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	No	SELL	630	6¢	$38	0x5021f6…
06-30 23:28:43	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	No	BUY	471	13¢	$63	0x3a6ce9…
06-29 16:05:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xbef4de…
06-28 17:06:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xa85711…
06-28 15:05:10	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x95ff75…
06-28 15:03:02	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x235616…
06-28 15:02:04	cs2 shk echo 2026 06 28	Sharks	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb84483…
06-27 14:50:49	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	86	23¢	$20	0x7e79ea…
06-27 14:50:23	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0x3f01e3…
06-27 14:30:17	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x3b5416…
06-27 04:46:41	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x380bab…
06-25 15:35:34	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0xf927c9…
06-25 06:26:13	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x968199…
06-25 00:07:50	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7f7d3a…
06-25 00:07:23	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xf0e092…
06-25 00:06:29	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x0d8da1…
06-24 23:45:01	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xd5fcfb…
06-24 23:08:55	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd0fedf…
06-24 23:08:05	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x3722c9…
06-24 23:07:52	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x24a6f6…
06-24 14:28:29	another gta vi trailer released by june 30	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x51d69a…
06-24 14:27:46	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	No	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0x856db1…
06-22 06:30:41	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 16 22	No	SELL	39	75¢	$30	0x42a246…
06-22 02:59:26	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 16 22	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xd33544…