Realized P&L
+$83
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
1,654
Trades
2,414
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$151
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 06-19 19:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
74% 57% +$15
Politics
17% 78% +$73
Sports
5% 71% -$24
Pop-Culture
2% 69% +$38
Crypto
1% 77% +$0
Tech
0% 38% -$19
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +85 $22 40¢ $34 +$11 05-25 21:32
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +36 $12 89¢ $32 +$21 05-24 04:33
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 05-24 14:37
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +15 $12 99¢ $15 +$3 05-21 06:15
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +16 $13 91¢ $15 +$2 05-24 14:19
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No +9 $4 99¢ $9 +$4 05-25 06:12
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +9 $7 72¢ $6 -$1 05-25 06:25
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +50 $34 12¢ $6 -$29 05-23 07:40
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-23 21:16
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +9 $5 54¢ $5 $0 05-21 01:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +7 $5 43¢ $3 -$2 05-26 02:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? No +9 $8 29¢ $3 -$5 05-25 06:12
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +5 $3 40¢ $2 -$1 05-23 19:39