Realized P&L
-$530
Unrealized P&L
-$71
Hit rate
45.6%
Resolved
551
Trades
12,886
lifetime
Volume
$37.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$740
10 positions
First seen
2026-09-26
last 10-28 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
92% 56% -$530
Tech
4% — —
Other
3% — —
Politics
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 6559 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +198 $136 88¢ $174 +$38 10-16 16:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $152 66¢ $131 -$21 10-25 23:22
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +100 $75 79¢ $79 +$4 10-21 19:19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +100 $65 70¢ $70 +$5 10-20 03:41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +200 $84 30¢ $61 -$23 10-20 03:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +448 $135 12¢ $54 -$82 10-19 14:35
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +100 $14 50¢ $51 +$36 10-25 03:24
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +100 $79 50¢ $50 -$30 10-28 18:00
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $32 40¢ $40 +$8 10-25 08:20
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +150 $39 21¢ $32 -$7 10-21 19:19