Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$113

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

Trades

226

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-10

last 10-29 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 50% -$28

Other

20% 53% -$50

Politics

5% 25% -$7

Tech

2% 0% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes		+10	$8	82¢	$8	+$0	10-24 19:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+5	$4	84¢	$4	+$0	09-14 20:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	16	$234	1,413	167	+1,246	Up	-$64	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	5	$166	183	183	+0	Down	-$7	10-24 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	8	$127	150	150	+0	Down	+$7	10-24 19:41
wti up or down on september 17 2026	14	$100	95	95	+0	Down	-$10	09-17 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	11	$97	124	124	+0	Down	+$15	10-25 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$89	197	59	+139	Down	+$104	10-24 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$45	113	33	+79	Down	-$11	10-29 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$43	30	30	+0	Up	+$8	10-24 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$40	53	53	+0	Down	+$5	10-29 20:24
bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 10am et	2	$36	51	0	+51	Up	-$36	09-25 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	10	$35	250	0	+250	Down	-$35	10-25 20:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:15 UTC	9	$34	56	56	+0	Up	-$4	09-17 17:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$27	40	0	+40	No	-$27	10-25 20:21
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$27	40	0	+40	No	-$27	10-25 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9PM ET	5	$23	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	09-21 01:47
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC	5	$23	50	50	+0	Up	+$6	09-21 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	7	$23	24	11	+13	Up	-$5	10-26 19:02
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 15?	4	$21	15	15	+0	Down	+$8	09-15 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	5	$20	42	18	+23	Up	-$2	10-25 21:29
ng up or down on september 10 2026	3	$17	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	09-10 15:54
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	09-20 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:30 UTC	5	$17	18	18	+0	Down	-$1	09-17 17:37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 15?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	09-15 22:35
wti up or down on september 16 2026	2	$16	45	0	+45	Down	-$16	09-16 10:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	3	$13	15	5	+10	open	—	10-24 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$13	18	17	+2	Down	+$4	10-29 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ET	3	$12	30	8	+22	Up	-$6	09-21 02:06
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	4	$11	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	09-17 00:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 15:15 UTC	6	$11	22	14	+8	Up	-$1	09-17 15:24
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 10?	3	$10	20	20	+0	Down	-$3	09-10 15:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	22¢	$12	0x97fce0…
10-29 20:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0xd7a68a…
10-29 20:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	33	50¢	$17	0x3dae07…
10-29 20:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	32¢	$11	0x37f182…
10-29 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x43631f…
10-29 20:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	26	35¢	$9	0x61a754…
10-29 20:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x9a4fc1…
10-29 20:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0x40a180…
10-29 20:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x71cb8d…
10-29 17:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	45¢	$7	0xf67eff…
10-29 17:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	30¢	$6	0x9e1f56…
10-29 17:21:53	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x68b946…
10-29 17:18:02	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xc71293…
10-26 19:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xce5a35…
10-26 19:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xa4b686…
10-26 19:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x5f3237…
10-26 19:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4284df…
10-26 19:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x10b41e…
10-26 19:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x83e4eb…
10-26 18:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5b7a65…
10-25 21:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x536cf2…
10-25 21:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xefa535…
10-25 21:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0xc02e5a…
10-25 21:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xc0cb91…
10-25 21:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xd11094…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xe621ba…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0xdd69c7…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xd3bee4…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xd2a4b4…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	7¢	$4	0xc690f1…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	92	7¢	$6	0xab1ded…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	507	7¢	$35	0x93a2ea…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x880673…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	7¢	$4	0x567dfd…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	92	7¢	$6	0x497367…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x44cc71…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x1b4f46…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0x0dec1c…
10-25 21:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x09e33a…
10-25 21:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	167	51¢	$85	0x5a17d4…
10-25 21:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	167	37¢	$62	0xf1f54b…
10-25 20:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x717548…
10-25 20:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x462574…
10-25 20:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	87	45¢	$39	0x0bc113…
10-25 20:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0x940387…
10-25 20:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x16979f…
10-25 20:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xf2e1e9…
10-25 20:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xdf0b7f…
10-25 20:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xb42083…
10-25 20:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xafe1de…
10-25 20:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x9df491…
10-25 20:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	33¢	$27	0x06aec3…
10-25 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd1058d…
10-25 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x9bcd2f…
10-25 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x852faa…
10-25 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x83057e…
10-25 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x6c26f8…
10-25 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x4a6573…
10-25 20:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	130	10¢	$13	0x76bc1c…
10-25 20:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	68	23¢	$16	0xb8c016…
10-25 20:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x9d649c…
10-25 20:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x0257fb…
10-25 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x07287f…
10-25 20:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x05c977…
10-25 20:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x584ae6…
10-25 20:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x491e05…
10-25 20:22:29	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x41a330…
10-25 20:21:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x7538e2…
10-24 20:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	119	33¢	$39	0xe272f1…
10-24 20:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	59	46¢	$27	0x0dec9f…
10-24 20:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0x66b13f…
10-24 20:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x67505d…
10-24 20:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe2d0ee…
10-24 19:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0x939061…
10-24 19:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x2ff854…
10-24 19:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	93¢	$35	0x5552dc…
10-24 19:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	141	28¢	$40	0xeee096…
10-24 19:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	141	34¢	$48	0xbe9a47…
10-24 19:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	90	47¢	$42	0x82fe05…
10-24 19:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	90	45¢	$40	0x6aadf5…
10-24 19:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x767987…
10-24 19:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x5c4580…
10-24 19:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	23	41¢	$10	0x3adaac…
10-24 19:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x0778c6…
10-24 19:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x4e3b97…
10-24 19:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa96865…
10-24 19:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x881187…
10-24 19:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x392965…
10-24 19:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe02397…
10-24 19:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xc324ac…
10-24 19:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x0154c3…
10-24 19:14:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9d2eb3…
10-24 19:13:18	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x48dec3…
10-24 19:11:47	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x39f9d5…
10-24 19:06:39	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x140440…
10-24 19:04:39	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5669b5…
10-06 18:56:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x74d382…
10-04 02:20:14	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7aadd3…
10-01 06:49:00	will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0dec1f…
09-27 12:04:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xdf5e61…