Outlandish-Patient — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

15,259 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$26

$72.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-09 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 97% +$65

Other

6% 94% -$44

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming		+68	$26	38¢	$25	$0	11-09 08:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	5	$80	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 09:59
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	5	$62	40	40	+0	Up	-$18	04-29 09:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 05:30 UTC	5	$58	40	40	+0	Down	-$22	04-19 05:41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	5	$57	40	40	+0	Up	-$23	04-29 10:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 06:00 UTC	7	$51	51	0	+51	Down	+$0	03-16 06:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 02:45 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	04-02 02:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 09:15 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	04-06 09:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 11:30 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	03-24 11:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 01:15 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-23 01:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 08:30 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	03-27 08:39
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 05:45 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	03-26 05:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 09:00 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	04-06 09:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 05:00 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-26 05:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 07:00 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	03-24 07:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 22:30 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-29 22:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 23:15 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-24 23:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 05:15 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-31 05:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 22:45 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	04-06 22:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 02:30 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	03-26 02:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 22:30 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-29 22:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 23:00 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-28 23:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 23:00 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-28 23:10
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 03:30 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	04-02 03:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 05:45 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	03-26 05:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 06:15 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-29 06:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 07:30 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-23 07:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 09:15 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	03-27 09:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 23:00 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	03-28 23:11
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 06:00 UTC	5	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	04-05 06:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 00:15 UTC	5	$50	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	03-30 00:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 08:43:43	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	68	38¢	$26	0x780475…
10-20 09:55:26	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x81a67a…
10-20 09:54:35	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x00f5d7…
09-22 02:59:45	lol koia ctbca 2026 09 22	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x46a838…
09-22 02:59:36	lol ktc blgj 2026 09 22	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5635a9…
09-21 01:43:01	Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3ba887…
09-21 01:36:47	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6f9fcf…
09-15 05:54:19	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xf63046…
09-11 09:02:28	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$19	0x077613…
09-03 06:46:46	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x397206…
09-01 09:12:37	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xcfecec…
09-01 09:11:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x17fa90…
08-12 08:30:07	Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-14?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x0d62d4…
08-10 07:30:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xa1d865…
08-05 05:56:35	lol dkc nsea 2026 08 05	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa9cd7a…
07-29 09:03:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xac37c8…
07-15 02:33:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 extra time	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x274721…
07-15 02:32:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	84	54¢	$45	0xea2602…
06-03 00:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 3?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe3fde2…
06-02 18:00:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 2?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x33e881…
06-02 18:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf90dd0…
06-02 17:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x23744c…
06-02 16:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 2?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb85195…
06-02 16:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6a1da9…
06-02 16:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 2?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb3e077…
06-02 15:00:33	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 2?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2306e9…
06-02 15:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 2?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x03d203…
06-02 15:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 2?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa5e60e…
06-02 15:00:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 2?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfc4195…
06-02 15:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x496b20…
06-02 14:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x550b28…
06-02 14:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x36affa…
06-02 10:00:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf95fbe…
06-02 10:00:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x55ab07…
06-02 09:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf2682c…
06-02 09:00:38	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd48765…
06-02 09:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5797b5…
06-02 09:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x207270…
06-02 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcd30b4…
06-02 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa6ea2d…
06-02 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x179e0b…
06-02 09:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x70d963…
06-02 08:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e7c4c…
06-02 08:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ae9d8…
06-02 08:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xae60fa…
06-02 08:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa58799…
06-02 08:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9b159…
06-02 08:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7df18…
06-02 06:25:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on June 2?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3279c8…
06-02 06:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x647fd1…
06-02 05:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd2356a…
06-02 03:00:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeeb49b…
06-02 03:00:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58e980…
06-02 03:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x460ac6…
06-02 03:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb793b2…
06-02 03:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2e009d…
06-02 03:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x895f9d…
06-02 03:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbb1703…
06-02 03:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0c28fc…
06-02 03:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcfc1c5…
06-02 03:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x40d5c4…
06-02 03:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8a3777…
06-02 03:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x840da9…
06-02 03:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd871da…
06-02 03:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x676ba0…
06-02 03:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3c26a2…
06-02 02:00:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x181aec…
06-02 02:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdac001…
06-02 02:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd5f208…
06-02 02:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x722428…
06-01 18:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8b6fc9…
06-01 17:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb15d66…
06-01 17:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe4a74f…
06-01 16:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcaae47…
06-01 16:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x120f5e…
06-01 16:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa8782…
06-01 16:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8ea992…
06-01 15:00:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb541cf…
06-01 15:00:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48b5bb…
06-01 15:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x22261c…
06-01 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x48f90d…
06-01 15:00:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4106c…
06-01 15:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x43fe39…
06-01 14:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa29000…
06-01 14:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on June 1?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3fe902…
06-01 10:10:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd77340…
06-01 10:00:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf6d9c8…
06-01 09:00:37	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x537e35…
06-01 09:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc6e2fc…
06-01 09:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x713444…
06-01 09:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02f8aa…
06-01 09:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc7267e…
06-01 09:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0cbd35…
06-01 09:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x879618…
06-01 09:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7e69ae…
06-01 08:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdd9cb0…
06-01 08:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3a4a49…
06-01 08:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xec3fec…
06-01 08:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0c9356…
06-01 08:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf55d97…