Handmade-Mama — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$154.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.22K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-03 18:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

88% 100% +$120

Other

11% — —

Crypto

1% 33% $-252

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$16.6K	8,509	8,509	+0	No	+$120	05-05 22:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$16.4K	10,024	10,024	+0	open	—	05-04 02:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$13.3K	9,611	9,611	+0	open	—	05-24 07:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$10.9K	7,100	7,100	+0	open	—	04-20 12:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$10.1K	5,146	5,146	+0	open	—	05-25 13:20
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$10.0K	5,453	5,453	+0	open	—	04-15 21:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$8.3K	4,295	4,295	+0	open	—	04-06 09:55
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$7.6K	3,922	3,922	+0	open	—	02-22 00:27
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$7.3K	3,694	3,694	+0	open	—	02-20 04:01
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	2	$7.3K	3,649	3,649	+0	open	—	02-05 22:32
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$7.0K	4,031	4,031	+0	open	—	02-05 10:25
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$6.1K	3,181	3,181	+0	open	—	01-20 10:36
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	1	$5.8K	7,919	0	+7,919	open	—	04-21 22:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$4.0K	4,900	0	+4,900	open	—	04-08 13:39
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$3.9K	4,230	0	+4,230	open	—	02-27 15:14
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	1	$3.3K	3,345	0	+3,345	open	—	01-25 19:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$3.3K	3,391	0	+3,391	open	—	06-03 18:47
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$3.2K	3,305	0	+3,305	open	—	01-24 10:06
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$3.1K	3,204	0	+3,204	open	—	01-20 10:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,275	0	+3,275	open	—	05-28 06:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$3.0K	0	10,139	-10,139	open	—	05-28 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$294	361	237	+123	Down	$-106	05-04 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$223	453	211	+242	Up	$-177	05-04 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$179	188	188	+0	Down	$-21	05-04 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$100	125	0	+125	Down	+$25	05-04 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$100	227	0	+227	Up	+$127	05-04 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$100	179	0	+179	Up	$-100	05-04 23:15
btc updown 5m 1776354300	2	$20	20	19	+1	open	—	04-16 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 18:47:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3,391	97¢	$3,275	0x018438…
05-28 06:00:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,275	92¢	$3,013	0x510c76…
05-28 05:59:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,139	30¢	$3,013	0xe30ced…
05-25 13:20:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	5,146	99¢	$5,094	0x6be4eb…
05-24 07:50:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5,146	96¢	$4,961	0xdf18eb…
05-24 07:43:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9,611	52¢	$4,961	0x0b6da0…
05-19 23:56:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9,611	87¢	$8,362	0xca9144…
05-05 22:10:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	8,509	98¢	$8,357	0x09a68e…
05-04 23:23:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8,509	97¢	$8,237	0x6dc88d…
05-04 23:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xd24599…
05-04 23:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x19f186…
05-04 23:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	211	11¢	$23	0x506c88…
05-04 23:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0x5bb017…
05-04 23:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	188	42¢	$79	0x7af72d…
05-04 23:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xec0f3e…
05-04 23:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xd6be4f…
05-04 22:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x8d7add…
05-04 22:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	237	40¢	$94	0xccb20b…
05-04 22:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x3622be…
05-04 22:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x853e15…
05-04 02:52:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10,024	85¢	$8,520	0x17793f…
04-29 23:33:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10,024	79¢	$7,919	0xb17869…
04-21 22:08:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	7,919	74¢	$5,822	0x8607e2…
04-20 12:52:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	7,100	82¢	$5,822	0x25578e…
04-18 09:52:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	7,100	71¢	$5,041	0x5d5486…
04-16 15:51:00	btc updown 5m 1776354300	Down	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xaa6051…
04-16 15:49:26	btc updown 5m 1776354300	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfb5a60…
04-15 21:29:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	5,453	92¢	$5,041	0xe055c6…
04-15 21:27:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	5,453	91¢	$4,953	0x679864…
04-08 13:39:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,955	82¢	$1,603	0xa878c4…
04-08 13:38:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,923	82¢	$2,397	0xa5dd92…
04-08 09:15:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x025bb5…
04-06 09:55:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	4,295	94¢	$4,045	0x0b8923…
04-05 14:26:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	4,295	98¢	$4,230	0x2b8bcf…
02-27 15:14:17	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	4,230	92¢	$3,894	0xefd44e…
02-22 00:27:36	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	SELL	3,922	99¢	$3,894	0xcbbf0a…
02-20 04:06:48	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	3,922	94¢	$3,687	0xe9ffc1…
02-20 04:01:28	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	SELL	3,694	100¢	$3,687	0xa1ed17…
02-19 16:45:30	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	3,694	98¢	$3,639	0xb60aa9…
02-05 22:32:37	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	SELL	3,649	100¢	$3,639	0xbf0afe…
02-05 12:46:03	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	BUY	3,649	99¢	$3,628	0x634b00…
02-05 10:25:21	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	4,031	90¢	$3,628	0xf8d754…
01-26 10:10:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,031	83¢	$3,345	0x37b8c3…
01-25 19:07:38	us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	No	BUY	3,345	99¢	$3,305	0xdbbc92…
01-24 10:06:10	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	No	BUY	3,305	97¢	$3,204	0x9c8ed5…
01-20 10:37:24	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	3,204	96¢	$3,076	0x34fcbd…
01-20 10:36:30	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	3,181	97¢	$3,076	0x0a5019…
01-19 22:29:50	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,181	96¢	$3,069	0x1b5dab…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	21	$13.7M	17,565	06-09 20:13
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	20	$2.84M	7,442	06-09 23:05
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	20	$254.6K	3,356	06-07 19:09
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	20	$32.3K	466	06-08 01:29
Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7	19	$1.06M	3,471	06-09 23:27
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8	19	$715.5K	1,823	06-09 20:13
Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4	19	$412.9K	1,271	06-09 23:05
Trained-Villa 0x0bfb…26a7	19	$58.8K	325	06-09 20:13