Realized P&L
+$189
Unrealized P&L
+$826
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
200
lifetime
Volume
$39.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$195
Open exposure
$25.4K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-26 19:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
84% 75% +$1,162
Other
16% 67% -$1,010
Sports
1% 50% +$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +18,129 $16,590 92¢ $16.6K -$2 10-26 13:11
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +3,295 $2,258 69¢ $2.3K +$15 10-26 13:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23,500 $1,589 9¢ $2.2K +$608 10-26 19:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,493 $1,600 62¢ $1.6K -$42 10-26 13:10
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +790 $583 72¢ $573 -$10 10-12 12:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +2,078 $499 26¢ $551 +$51 09-05 21:19
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +794 $500 66¢ $520 +$20 10-10 13:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,988 -$520 15¢ $-307 +$213 05-04 10:01
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +789 $300 38¢ $296 -$4 10-10 13:16
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +424 $302 67¢ $284 -$18 10-26 07:27
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +251 $175 68¢ $170 -$5 10-26 13:11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +233 $100 42¢ $99 -$1 10-23 10:25