Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$2.25K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
203 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$39.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$195
Open exposure
$27.3K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-28 12:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
84% 75% +$1,162
Other
16% 67% -$1,010
Sports
1% 50% +$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +18,619 $17,040 94¢ $17.6K +$554 10-28 12:06
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +3,295 $2,258 78¢ $2.6K +$295 10-26 13:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23,500 $1,589 10¢ $2.2K +$655 10-26 19:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,493 $1,600 72¢ $1.8K +$183 10-26 13:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +2,078 $499 32¢ $675 +$176 09-05 21:19
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +794 $500 72¢ $567 +$67 10-10 13:27
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +790 $583 72¢ $565 -$18 10-12 12:32
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +789 $300 52¢ $407 +$107 10-10 13:16
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +424 $302 78¢ $328 +$26 10-26 07:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,988 -$520 16¢ $-325 +$195 05-04 10:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +267 $186 72¢ $192 +$6 10-28 07:33
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +233 $100 44¢ $103 +$3 10-23 10:25