Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$136

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-20

last 10-31 01:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

87% 55% -$5

Politics

11% 67% -$1

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-22 12:44
sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 13:20
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-03 10:03
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-14 02:21
spy up or down on august 12 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$2	08-12 00:44
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-08 02:14
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-20 17:05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-12 16:47
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-04 10:09
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-21 01:06
will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-17 03:02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$8	08-07 18:13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-12 08:45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-01 08:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-15 01:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-15 11:13
Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?	1	$2	8	+8	No	+$6	08-15 20:45
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-03 01:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-16 17:38
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	07-31 11:02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-13 00:50
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-21 09:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-17 20:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-20 07:55
will rklb reach 80 by july 20 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	07-20 12:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-16 07:03
will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	07-23 12:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 08:51
wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-19 05:48
will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-17 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:31:21	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x52ded8…
10-26 23:25:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x67a71a…
10-26 13:56:24	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0646ad…
10-21 01:32:21	Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9944cf…
10-17 16:29:11	Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcd37b2…
10-16 07:47:55	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8b56f8…
10-15 23:42:55	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf34f6a…
10-15 14:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2f6f25…
10-15 05:03:40	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcd9f19…
10-15 05:03:29	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd63b73…
10-14 21:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc2763f…
10-14 19:35:19	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0bb8a4…
10-14 11:04:31	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1fa3de…
10-14 02:21:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x14a5b8…
10-14 02:19:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc72640…
10-13 18:16:10	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0a4106…
10-13 10:15:58	Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x78ad87…
10-13 02:15:39	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5567c2…
10-12 18:14:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcb7a6a…
10-09 09:22:49	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf71b5a…
10-08 11:51:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4b11b2…
10-08 03:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfdc35a…
10-07 19:49:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2019e3…
10-07 11:49:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0175cd…
10-07 03:48:56	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0f008e…
10-06 19:48:50	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0a28f5…
10-05 11:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfc3c0f…
10-02 23:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf42162…
10-02 15:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa66996…
10-01 17:29:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe32ba5…
09-30 21:27:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0f4bcc…
09-25 07:00:02	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7ed352…
09-24 22:59:47	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x244faa…
09-24 02:48:16	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x093372…
09-01 08:52:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa88acc…
08-21 09:49:31	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3935bf…
08-21 09:40:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x380492…
08-21 01:06:52	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc29aad…
08-20 17:05:06	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x786b7f…
08-20 07:55:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdcb694…
08-19 23:03:57	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x31a197…
08-19 14:39:43	will nvda reach 240 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7d8570…
08-19 05:48:22	wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf6d909…
08-17 20:07:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x02384f…
08-17 11:38:57	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa8be30…
08-17 03:02:45	will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcf79ae…
08-16 17:38:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb67380…
08-16 07:03:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa2e4ab…
08-15 20:45:03	Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x395ad5…
08-15 11:13:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x64b502…
08-15 01:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x430d31…
08-14 17:05:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7d6f32…
08-13 08:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x82a106…
08-13 00:50:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xec57c8…
08-12 16:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc70d18…
08-12 08:45:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5a6cbb…
08-12 00:44:55	spy up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xef2bf5…
08-09 04:06:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x586983…
08-08 19:47:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3ad8f1…
08-08 11:46:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xcc5c7b…
08-08 02:14:00	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe916bd…
08-07 18:13:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7cbf95…
08-04 10:09:02	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2ede36…
08-04 02:08:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6f7945…
08-03 18:08:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x226298…
08-03 10:03:29	Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x88166e…
08-03 01:53:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x09b4c1…
08-01 03:03:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6143ae…
07-31 19:03:15	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x799547…
07-31 11:02:54	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf138be…
07-31 00:03:09	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf25b30…
07-30 02:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa7af77…
07-30 00:24:42	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x63189f…
07-27 13:20:19	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc6198e…
07-27 00:54:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdb500b…
07-26 12:53:12	hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt43	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xa239ed…
07-26 00:52:13	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe9f5b5…
07-25 12:51:58	will tsla dip to 300 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9f6bc1…
07-25 00:51:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6ee7fa…
07-24 12:50:57	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x74c069…
07-24 00:50:40	will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x4931eb…
07-23 12:50:30	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x50aa17…
07-23 00:48:27	will spy dip to 740 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x412a54…
07-22 12:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x36d225…
07-22 00:41:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc05785…
07-21 12:41:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbe44a6…
07-21 00:41:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xaddded…
07-20 12:41:19	will rklb reach 80 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x45c320…