Tender-Accent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$467

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$2.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-12 12:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

45% 42% -$378

Tech

23% 67% +$41

Sports

22% 70% -$89

Politics

5% 33% -$40

Crypto

5% 75% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		-20	-$3	5¢	$-1	+$2	06-10 21:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be less than 40m	5	$278	170	170	+0	No	+$56	01-05 15:17
nhl van col 2026 04 01	1	$200	253	0	+253	Canucks	-$200	04-01 21:56
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	3	$195	210	210	+0	No	+$44	05-21 22:14
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	4	$136	400	400	+0	Yes	-$4	05-22 22:34
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	4	$132	186	54	+133	Yes	+$58	05-22 04:07
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	12	$113	7,789	0	+7,789	Yes	-$113	07-12 12:20
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	7	$109	360	0	+360	Yes	-$109	01-13 17:32
nhl stl sj 2026 03 30	1	$100	200	0	+200	Sharks	+$100	03-30 23:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	12	$90	100	0	+100	Yes	-$90	06-30 15:29
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	07-12 12:19
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	2	$77	90	0	+90	Yes	+$13	05-20 01:55
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	1	$74	100	0	+100	No	+$26	03-30 04:35
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?	1	$69	100	0	+100	Yes	+$31	01-01 16:44
Will the US lose jobs in May?	9	$68	100	0	+100	No	-$68	05-10 23:43
dogecoin above 0pt15 on january 8	5	$59	40	40	+0	No	+$20	01-08 01:23
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	1	$54	100	0	+100	No	-$54	06-12 18:07
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	-$50	01-02 19:50
will avatar fire and ash 4th weekend box office be between 27m and 30m	1	$50	70	0	+70	No	+$20	01-07 14:50
nhl ana phi 2026 01 06	1	$41	70	0	+70	Flyers	+$29	01-06 22:59
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	5	$40	200	0	+200	Yes	-$40	05-23 14:55
nhl cal mon 2026 01 07 spread home 1pt5	1	$36	40	0	+40	Canadiens	+$4	01-08 01:58
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$34	40	0	+40	Yes	+$6	03-05 21:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 5	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	+$6	03-05 16:48
will project hail mary score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	1	$32	40	0	+40	Yes	+$8	02-25 22:14
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	1	$31	40	0	+40	No	-$31	03-05 21:28
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	1	$31	50	0	+50	Finland	-$31	05-30 03:53
nhl van buf 2026 01 06	1	$30	50	0	+50	Sabres	+$20	01-06 19:52
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?	1	$30	50	0	+50	No	+$20	04-20 19:53
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$30	50	0	+50	No	-$30	06-12 18:09
will anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	1	$25	30	0	+30	No	+$5	01-05 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 12:20:26	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	3,461	2¢	$56	0x610edd…
07-12 12:19:52	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	28	82¢	$23	0x99e964…
07-12 12:19:43	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xbbcc25…
07-12 12:09:04	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	1,942	1¢	$20	0xad53f5…
07-12 12:08:29	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x9e236f…
07-12 12:07:50	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x9b7c10…
07-12 12:07:17	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	440	0¢	$2	0xf4409d…
07-12 02:51:04	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	290	2¢	$4	0x43ed55…
07-12 02:45:46	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe783ac…
07-11 00:55:04	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8a951a…
07-11 00:54:35	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2a159e…
07-10 23:30:28	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x5d8a59…
07-10 23:28:37	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xaffa6c…
07-10 01:31:49	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x4063b5…
06-30 15:29:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfc3824…
06-30 15:29:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x1c96b7…
06-30 15:27:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0xc40e02…
06-30 15:26:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xab2d0f…
06-30 15:26:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x7fbe0d…
06-30 15:26:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xfe0b57…
06-30 15:26:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xe96de8…
06-30 15:26:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xbe3022…
06-30 15:26:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xba0a93…
06-30 15:26:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x2e46af…
06-30 15:26:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x11306a…
06-30 15:22:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x0b046c…
06-12 18:09:03	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xdcdbab…
06-12 18:07:30	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x1e07d1…
06-10 21:28:10	confirmed us screwworm case beyond texas by june 30 20260609151517550	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x77ffef…
06-10 21:22:07	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xcc77ff…
05-30 03:57:43	will supergirl score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xb4e4c7…
05-30 03:57:43	will supergirl score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x90a764…
05-30 03:57:43	will supergirl score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x325fb7…
05-30 03:53:01	World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	Canada	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x6e0e7b…
05-23 14:55:11	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	66	13¢	$9	0x495e54…
05-23 14:50:39	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4c3aec…
05-23 14:50:15	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x4857ee…
05-23 13:07:14	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xf3cfba…
05-23 01:36:50	Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x0d580b…
05-23 01:34:49	Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xb1902b…
05-22 23:23:11	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xf5b920…
05-22 22:34:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	400	17¢	$66	0x0d68ff…
05-22 04:07:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x60a892…
05-22 04:07:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	63	55¢	$34	0x8fc413…
05-21 23:16:05	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x43f283…
05-21 23:14:55	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x4a5b9c…
05-21 22:14:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	SELL	210	57¢	$120	0x0d6842…
05-21 12:52:11	Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x7e8fd6…
05-20 14:09:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x2c0cbb…
05-20 01:55:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x312b39…
05-19 18:52:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	150	36¢	$54	0x225708…
05-19 18:51:57	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x5bec4b…
05-19 18:50:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	54	53¢	$28	0x9acfa1…
05-19 18:33:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xa1b1b6…
05-10 23:43:07	Will the US lose jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x7efdc0…
05-10 21:55:38	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	81	23¢	$19	0x020fb2…
05-10 21:53:28	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x7cf9c0…
05-10 21:48:57	Will the US lose jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xed2996…
05-10 21:48:57	Will the US lose jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbfbd87…
05-10 21:48:57	Will the US lose jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9d756b…
05-10 21:48:57	Will the US lose jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x9176d7…
05-10 21:48:57	Will the US lose jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x435baa…
05-10 21:48:57	Will the US lose jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0x2b8d6a…
05-10 21:48:57	Will the US lose jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2a22dc…
05-10 21:48:57	Will the US lose jobs in May?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x048c14…
05-10 21:46:51	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x6fe9de…
05-03 22:50:06	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x3aa410…
05-03 16:08:02	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 12.5m?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xeab260…
05-03 16:05:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xe13f58…
05-01 02:44:08	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xd4b6b7…
04-23 01:22:36	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x1e4455…
04-23 01:09:30	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0x744ea8…
04-20 19:53:42	Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x8772cb…
04-14 00:43:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x129cb6…
04-01 21:56:53	nhl van col 2026 04 01	Avalanche	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x1df8a5…
03-30 23:49:47	nhl stl sj 2026 03 30	Sharks	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x0bec83…
03-30 04:35:40	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x0bb638…
03-28 02:21:43	will the us add at least 100k jobs in march	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd22a86…
03-28 02:14:41	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xda3e2d…
03-05 21:44:27	nba chi phx 2026 03 05	Suns	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xfec5e6…
03-05 21:44:09	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Heat	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x24c2ce…
03-05 21:34:59	Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xdc80d1…
03-05 21:28:53	bitcoin above 70k on march 6	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x27108b…
03-05 16:48:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 5	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x8ad0cb…
03-04 22:24:43	nba por mem 2026 03 04	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xfbad84…
03-04 22:23:39	nhl car van 2026 03 04	Hurricanes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe68447…
03-04 15:45:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 5	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x027d04…
03-04 15:43:15	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x790ac7…
03-04 15:38:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 4	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3fe6d8…
02-25 22:14:24	will project hail mary score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x3c7cb4…
02-25 22:11:08	nba okc det 2026 02 25	Pistons	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x30d2ea…
02-03 22:26:18	nba bos dal 2026 02 03	Celtics	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x80b85d…
02-03 22:25:58	nba lal bkn 2026 02 03	Lakers	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x83abc1…
02-03 22:25:40	nba nyk was 2026 02 03	Knicks	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x04ec7c…
01-17 19:34:34	becca good charged by march 31	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x2dc1e8…
01-16 18:25:58	nba was sac 2026 01 16	Kings	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x640bba…
01-16 18:24:02	nhl nsh col 2026 01 16	Avalanche	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xc1ce3d…
01-15 20:31:58	Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x0bc25f…
01-13 19:41:24	nothing ever happens israel edition	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x6051dc…
01-13 19:32:02	will avatar fire and ash 5th weekend box office be between 13m and 14pt5m	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x989697…