Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
101
lifetime
Volume
$2.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$44
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-20 08:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50%
Other
44%
Tech
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +24 $20 82¢ $19 $-1 07-20 08:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -18 $-17 96¢ $-17 $-0 06-14 22:17
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -56 $-5 $-4 +$1 07-01 05:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +18 $2 11¢ $2 $-0 07-20 08:09
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-22 12:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +30 $2 $0 $-2 07-13 14:00