Thin-Collaboration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

199

Trades

1,225

lifetime

Volume

$317.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$259

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 11-04 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 93% -$3,315

Politics

8% 38% +$58

Sports

0% 0% -$201

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$8.8K	5,228	5,228	+0	Yes	+$105	06-07 13:39
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	22	$8.2K	4,098	4,098	+0	No	+$29	06-06 01:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$7.1K	4,191	4,191	+0	No	+$1,225	06-01 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:15 UTC	1	$4.6K	4,613	0	+4,613	Up	+$46	06-08 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:35 UTC	5	$4.6K	4,660	0	+4,660	Up	-$4,552	06-08 01:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:45 UTC	4	$4.5K	4,565	0	+4,565	Up	+$46	06-07 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	39	$4.4K	4,485	0	+4,485	Up	+$45	06-07 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:25 UTC	11	$4.3K	4,312	0	+4,312	Down	+$44	06-06 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:00 UTC	1	$4.2K	4,262	0	+4,262	Up	+$43	06-06 21:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$4.2K	2,166	2,166	+0	No	+$108	05-26 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:25 UTC	11	$4.2K	4,219	0	+4,219	Down	+$42	06-06 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:05 UTC	3	$4.1K	4,179	0	+4,179	Down	+$42	06-06 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$4.1K	4,127	0	+4,127	Down	+$41	06-06 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 01:25 UTC	17	$4.0K	4,059	0	+4,059	Up	+$41	06-05 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 00:30 UTC	11	$4.0K	4,021	0	+4,021	Down	+$40	06-05 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	17	$3.2K	3,219	0	+3,219	Down	+$32	06-07 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$3.1K	3,100	0	+3,100	Up	+$31	06-03 00:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	3	$2.6K	1,594	1,594	+0	open	—	11-03 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	30	$2.3K	2,365	0	+2,365	Up	+$24	04-28 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	14	$2.3K	2,362	0	+2,362	Up	+$24	05-28 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	16	$2.3K	2,342	0	+2,342	Down	+$23	04-28 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	35	$2.3K	2,318	0	+2,318	Up	+$23	04-28 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	21	$2.3K	2,285	0	+2,285	Up	+$23	04-28 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	29	$2.3K	2,276	0	+2,276	Up	+$23	06-06 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$2.3K	2,273	0	+2,273	Up	+$23	05-28 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$2.2K	2,303	0	+2,303	Up	+$63	05-28 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	14	$2.2K	2,247	0	+2,247	Up	+$22	05-27 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	19	$2.2K	2,238	0	+2,238	Down	+$22	04-27 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	9	$2.2K	2,224	0	+2,224	Up	+$22	05-27 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$2.2K	2,203	0	+2,203	Up	+$22	05-27 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 19:35:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	236	93¢	$219	0xf5302e…
11-03 22:58:01	Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,526	2¢	$29	0x9abc7a…
11-03 22:56:25	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,164	1¢	$10	0x4498e8…
11-03 22:55:57	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	8,500	0¢	$17	0x8a6dd4…
11-03 22:47:51	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	236	33¢	$78	0x7aaaba…
11-03 22:46:55	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	780	10¢	$78	0x246ae8…
11-03 22:39:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	1,594	99¢	$1,578	0xbca640…
11-03 04:41:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	329	63¢	$206	0x82fe71…
11-03 04:40:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	1,265	63¢	$793	0x27c92a…
06-08 11:30:57	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0x8d226a…
06-08 11:29:43	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5ed793…
06-08 11:28:34	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	750	7¢	$53	0x260c2e…
06-08 01:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1,863	96¢	$1,783	0x7ea1ab…
06-08 01:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2,534	99¢	$2,508	0x6d00fe…
06-08 01:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xf03bdc…
06-08 01:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb66b8b…
06-08 01:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0x45987a…
06-08 01:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4,613	99¢	$4,567	0x50946f…
06-07 21:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,305	99¢	$1,292	0xaae330…
06-07 21:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0x952d5b…
06-07 21:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	229	99¢	$226	0x5e71a3…
06-07 21:50:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2,876	99¢	$2,848	0x28ec58…
06-07 21:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x448cbb…
06-07 21:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7269ec…
06-07 21:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc431d7…
06-07 21:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x5d648c…
06-07 21:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x7c5de9…
06-07 21:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	435	99¢	$430	0x300cbf…
06-07 21:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0xf88769…
06-07 21:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xab2066…
06-07 21:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x743756…
06-07 21:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0x820599…
06-07 21:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa30635…
06-07 21:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5467a2…
06-07 21:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	288	99¢	$285	0xfbf874…
06-07 21:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe22b71…
06-07 21:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9209f1…
06-07 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0b572d…
06-07 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,851	99¢	$1,832	0x7a995b…
06-07 21:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb37f0f…
06-07 21:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7deb55…
06-07 21:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	354	99¢	$351	0x24b0f7…
06-07 21:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc802a0…
06-07 21:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0x0fe993…
06-07 21:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xd188fe…
06-07 21:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ad8a2…
06-07 21:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x45b70a…
06-07 21:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0c3426…
06-07 21:00:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4b5625…
06-07 21:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc1883b…
06-07 21:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4d2502…
06-07 21:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	239	99¢	$237	0x047d3f…
06-07 21:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x405cbf…
06-07 21:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa95031…
06-07 21:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x721fab…
06-07 21:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6bb0e2…
06-07 21:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0x68866c…
06-07 21:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xea0e62…
06-07 21:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd39953…
06-07 21:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbc1888…
06-07 21:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba5b87…
06-07 21:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8ff0c2…
06-07 21:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4160ad…
06-07 21:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x28af7f…
06-07 21:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x1ea0af…
06-07 21:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x93e372…
06-07 21:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x696fad…
06-07 21:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x37e3d8…
06-07 21:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1c0f54…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf524fd…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf192eb…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd7ddd…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x837c28…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ce5d1…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	665	99¢	$659	0x7b57bc…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79b77a…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66553e…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59eaf4…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x57937c…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2,131	99¢	$2,110	0x4d438c…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2c3b48…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x28d961…
06-07 21:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x273c00…
06-07 13:39:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,228	85¢	$4,443	0x26c774…
06-07 04:47:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,228	83¢	$4,339	0x0dca64…
06-06 21:51:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0f7978…
06-06 21:51:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd2808c…
06-06 21:51:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb60ffe…
06-06 21:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b6e82…
06-06 21:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x8f2b02…
06-06 21:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9401a5…
06-06 21:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde9aaa…
06-06 21:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd6f528…
06-06 21:50:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb0d105…
06-06 21:50:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5eb7fc…
06-06 21:50:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x11aff8…
06-06 21:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x501403…
06-06 21:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5faaf5…
06-06 21:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5d87a1…
06-06 21:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	108	99¢	$106	0xb4a30c…