Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$85

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-18

last 10-25 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

79% 64% +$10

Politics

15% 10% -$9

Tech

5% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No		+5	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-25 05:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	2	$2	6	+6	No	-$1	09-13 06:14
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-26 08:16
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-21 14:16
will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-23 02:31
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-24 03:15
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-16 09:31
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-20 03:55
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-09 22:23
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	09-18 01:09
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-20 22:06
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 17:24
next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-31 19:17
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 22:18
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-09 13:26
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	09-11 01:32
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-21 06:08
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-16 17:32
Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-23 19:08
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$4	08-29 18:02
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 10?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$0	09-10 17:28
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-21 06:10
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-14 15:00
will xagusd reach 68 by september 21 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-23 10:52
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-10 08:31
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-08 06:47
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-22 06:28
will nvda reach 220 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-14 07:00
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-30 08:38
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-03 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 05:37:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4216da…
10-21 04:37:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd425c1…
10-20 20:22:14	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3ca68a…
10-18 00:04:54	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2a000f…
10-17 15:55:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8e031a…
10-14 02:35:04	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc51f7b…
10-13 18:21:45	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xce2a22…
10-11 09:46:18	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5a50a4…
10-10 21:58:12	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x21fa91…
10-08 18:59:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5daeab…
10-08 06:24:37	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd3e68f…
10-07 22:22:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x89475b…
10-01 16:18:20	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcc11a5…
10-01 08:13:44	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x624bc6…
09-29 10:46:38	will ewy dip to 182 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x113fae…
09-27 02:10:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaa4918…
09-26 08:16:15	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x34892d…
09-26 08:15:21	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x67b654…
09-25 18:13:12	wti closes above 93 on september 25 2026	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc19815…
09-25 10:11:00	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4d638b…
09-24 13:36:57	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7d5156…
09-24 03:15:04	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x09bbfb…
09-23 19:08:46	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbdbf89…
09-23 10:52:59	will xagusd reach 68 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x85162c…
09-23 02:31:29	will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8afbd5…
09-22 06:28:00	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x98044c…
09-21 22:18:06	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x11cd8f…
09-21 14:16:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2558a9…
09-21 06:10:23	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xbce506…
09-21 06:08:20	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc67d3a…
09-20 22:06:17	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xfeecd8…
09-20 03:55:09	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x16a603…
09-19 07:24:01	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7c0aba…
09-18 01:09:58	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3e5543…
09-17 01:33:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x0dcd3e…
09-17 01:33:12	spy up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x2218fb…
09-16 17:32:36	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x246140…
09-16 09:31:40	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xfe2127…
09-16 00:35:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x4e8ae3…
09-14 15:00:27	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xdf1c28…
09-14 07:00:01	will nvda reach 220 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3f4dfe…
09-13 22:59:24	will hood dip to 107 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x9fb3cc…
09-13 06:14:13	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x113b06…
09-13 00:22:04	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb47c0d…
09-11 01:32:16	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x425d86…
09-10 17:28:51	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 10?	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xc028f5…
09-10 08:31:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xdf5e13…
09-09 22:23:52	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xccbf04…
09-09 13:26:24	Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x1f95f5…
09-08 17:24:27	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa34bc9…
09-08 06:47:22	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x06b9d9…
09-07 13:27:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb8e7f4…
09-03 21:00:27	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x14af67…
09-03 11:53:33	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9a1dca…
09-01 11:35:55	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc7ffe0…
09-01 03:18:03	will spy reach 775 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x0479a3…
08-31 19:17:48	next mythos class model released by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x2a274c…
08-31 11:16:47	will spy dip to 760 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc46bfe…
08-30 23:15:48	will hood dip to 100 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x11eac5…
08-30 08:38:30	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0f6f68…
08-30 07:35:16	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026 from august 29	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x52b27d…
08-29 18:02:18	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x565122…
08-29 17:23:22	will nvda dip to 216 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x752371…
08-29 09:18:10	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe98b09…
08-24 08:24:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xe12322…
08-24 00:13:40	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x47e4d8…
08-21 15:43:43	will warsh say prediction or predictive during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa9bef8…
08-21 02:41:45	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x9ece17…
08-20 18:33:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7e95e7…
08-20 06:08:00	spy up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x62c505…
08-19 12:23:16	spy closes above 765 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x845594…
08-19 03:01:57	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x4f2364…
08-18 18:01:06	will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x44401a…
08-18 09:54:28	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xacc896…