Unruly-Temptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$463

Unrealized P&L

+$812

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$208.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$8.00K

Open exposure

$50.6K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-17 20:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

70% — —

Other

30% 40% +$192

Crypto

1% 100% +$272

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No		+54,165	$49,832	94¢	$50.6K	+$812	10-17 20:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$94.8K	57,859	57,859	+0	open	—	08-06 08:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$49.8K	54,165	0	+54,165	open	—	10-17 20:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$42.6K	46,343	0	+46,343	No	+$3,736	04-10 01:36
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	9	$11.1K	6,858	6,853	+4	No	-$1,851	03-31 18:04
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4.6K	3,696	3,680	+16	No	-$1,697	03-30 03:16
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$3.4K	3,387	0	+3,387	Yes	+$10	03-27 14:05
P2P FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$1.7K	1,973	0	+1,973	No	+$272	04-01 15:47
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$18	18	17	+0	No	-$6	03-30 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 20:34:59	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	54,165	92¢	$49,832	0xf99a94…
08-06 08:01:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	21,659	84¢	$18,104	0xc70405…
08-05 08:32:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	36,200	84¢	$30,304	0x3c9a01…
05-08 01:14:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	39,621	81¢	$31,935	0x177785…
05-08 01:12:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	18,238	79¢	$14,408	0x48899c…
04-10 01:36:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	4,097	92¢	$3,769	0x327d65…
04-10 01:33:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	42,246	92¢	$38,838	0x71d411…
04-01 15:47:47	P2P FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,473	88¢	$1,296	0x2ccb8a…
04-01 15:31:07	P2P FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0x41fd6a…
03-31 18:04:27	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	447	52¢	$233	0x9ea0d2…
03-31 18:04:17	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	976	54¢	$527	0xab6ac3…
03-31 18:04:09	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	347	56¢	$194	0x86f654…
03-31 04:25:49	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	882	70¢	$613	0xf8d45b…
03-30 13:50:25	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	2,010	72¢	$1,447	0x1c8496…
03-30 12:51:02	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	305	72¢	$220	0xc8967c…
03-30 12:50:50	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	1,419	73¢	$1,040	0x348577…
03-30 03:16:14	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	3,179	38¢	$1,197	0x658e97…
03-30 03:15:16	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	468	78¢	$366	0xd9151f…
03-30 03:14:06	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	36	45¢	$16	0x8da3d8…
03-30 03:14:00	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	465	47¢	$219	0x6c2a52…
03-30 03:10:58	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0x66061c…
03-27 14:05:03	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	3,387	100¢	$3,377	0x4081c4…
03-26 20:33:31	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	6,858	95¢	$6,491	0x833c6f…
03-26 20:01:11	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x4039db…
03-26 19:59:59	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x7e637d…
03-26 19:58:41	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	3,696	85¢	$3,129	0xafebcf…