Untried-Farm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

20.1%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$6.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-22 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Politics

33% 33% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes		+30	$2	6¢	$2	$-0	06-22 09:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	11	$379	490	490	+0	open	—	03-20 05:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	10	$273	280	280	+0	No	$-0	05-08 17:45
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	8	$267	135	135	+0	open	—	04-25 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	9	$264	137	137	+0	open	—	05-09 03:31
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	6	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	04-04 21:20
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	03-20 17:22
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$181	93	93	+0	open	—	04-26 13:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$178	91	91	+0	open	—	05-13 03:26
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	5	$161	341	341	+0	open	—	03-24 15:30
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$116	58	58	+0	open	—	04-14 01:33
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	2	$114	61	61	+0	open	—	03-25 23:16
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	4	$114	59	59	+0	open	—	03-27 07:03
will hao tong li win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$113	57	57	+0	open	—	04-12 01:31
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$113	57	57	+0	open	—	04-11 08:50
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	2	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	03-31 15:10
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$112	215	215	+0	open	—	04-07 03:42
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$110	56	56	+0	open	—	04-08 14:58
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	2	$107	54	54	+0	open	—	03-30 22:54
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$106	58	58	+0	open	—	04-09 10:38
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	03-25 00:00
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	03-26 14:31
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	03-25 07:55
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	04-12 15:11
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-11 00:27
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-12 09:08
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	4	$102	55	55	+0	open	—	03-30 15:56
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	04-03 22:25
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	04-09 18:36
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	04-05 21:50
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	04-09 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:26:22	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x4f7226…
05-19 05:24:23	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xa65c4e…
05-18 22:25:17	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x91f5fd…
05-13 10:58:44	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x247065…
05-13 03:26:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x920ba5…
05-13 00:34:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x4cea27…
05-12 14:07:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0xeed025…
05-12 09:21:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xf12e3b…
05-12 05:06:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xc15b91…
05-12 01:30:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x4f8f3c…
05-11 15:22:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x938bed…
05-11 15:22:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x6d9190…
05-11 10:04:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xe56663…
05-09 03:31:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xaea494…
05-09 01:39:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x5619ba…
05-08 17:45:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x13cba5…
05-08 15:04:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x3afc6d…
05-08 06:42:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0xd2f6e3…
05-08 06:42:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x65f7b2…
05-08 02:52:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfe621f…
05-08 02:52:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x8392f2…
05-08 01:44:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x16f0f4…
05-07 19:37:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xe15a95…
05-07 08:00:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x5ecdac…
05-07 08:00:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0x05ecd7…
05-07 04:21:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x5ad0ad…
05-06 22:52:18	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0xe9982c…
05-06 21:11:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xc1fb44…
05-06 21:11:29	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x18af2d…
05-06 06:03:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xdd500e…
05-06 06:03:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x683d0e…
05-06 06:03:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x9075fc…
05-03 23:03:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xa64775…
05-03 23:02:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x203a6c…
05-03 20:16:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x02b36c…
05-03 11:12:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	5¢	$7	0xc05cd1…
05-03 09:37:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	4¢	$6	0xd45165…
05-01 07:19:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x1888e6…
05-01 05:35:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xf30d06…
04-30 21:09:24	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xf7f632…
04-30 15:15:30	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xa5166e…
04-30 09:08:18	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0x18dd55…
04-30 07:47:28	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x657e8c…
04-30 07:47:28	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x654113…
04-30 07:47:28	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x5d8477…
04-29 15:49:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x09e0e8…
04-29 14:32:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x35afee…
04-29 10:07:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x99b664…
04-27 20:20:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xfa323f…
04-27 18:49:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0xdbeb44…
04-26 13:39:40	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xaa9e48…
04-26 12:00:32	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x1c8b47…
04-26 07:36:18	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x40f3e5…
04-26 07:35:40	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x214468…
04-26 03:39:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x7c91ad…
04-26 03:39:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x1f6a2a…
04-25 20:09:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x2d9d36…
04-25 17:28:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xc822f4…
04-25 12:39:00	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x2abf69…
04-25 10:10:12	Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4ea555…
04-25 01:59:48	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x34ce9f…
04-24 22:20:22	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x5d8f8a…
04-24 21:45:22	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x45b3e0…
04-24 19:22:36	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xebcdac…
04-23 19:38:30	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x07c263…
04-23 17:06:54	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xa5f203…
04-23 14:13:24	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x89f574…
04-23 14:12:44	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x7727d1…
04-23 12:41:50	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x4b83b0…
04-23 02:56:36	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	2¢	$3	0x01b19f…
04-23 00:59:48	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x3ad12a…
04-23 00:59:46	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xdd30e1…
04-23 00:59:46	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7f44b9…
04-22 21:21:30	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6a8488…
04-22 21:21:30	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x0ba545…
04-22 17:16:04	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x34caac…
04-22 11:58:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xe48bcd…
04-22 09:49:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x958251…
04-21 20:09:56	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x5d7ad3…
04-21 15:16:28	Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x617d5e…
04-21 12:01:02	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd8fea2…
04-21 12:01:02	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x003655…
04-21 07:23:34	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xbe6891…
04-21 05:22:00	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc379d3…
04-21 05:21:14	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6321a9…
04-21 00:51:46	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x378f0c…
04-20 11:16:56	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0xac06ca…
04-20 11:16:56	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	4¢	$5	0x741641…
04-20 09:48:06	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	4¢	$3	0xdba0d1…
04-20 09:48:06	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	4¢	$3	0x2b1b75…
04-20 06:16:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xa96bd8…
04-20 03:40:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	99	8¢	$7	0xc6b3f3…
04-20 01:51:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	114	8¢	$9	0x67e1ff…
04-20 01:39:50	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa5b221…
04-19 00:38:52	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x5015e7…
04-18 23:16:04	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xd8f7ec…
04-18 18:42:36	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x328c1b…
04-14 03:58:21	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	145	1¢	$2	0xe73786…
04-14 01:35:31	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0xe78179…
04-14 01:35:31	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xbfed1d…