Infamous-Begonia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

341

Trades

1,573

lifetime

Volume

$76.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$146

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-14 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

48% 92% -$34

Sports

39% 83% +$5

Crypto

12% 98% -$163

Politics

1% 86% -$19

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+159	$145	92¢	$146	+$1	10-14 09:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Celtics vs. 76ers	51	$3.6K	1,917	1,717	+200	Celtics	+$5	04-27 01:07
Oilers vs. Ducks	64	$3.2K	1,701	1,680	+22	Ducks	-$2	05-01 04:44
Knicks vs. Hawks	33	$2.5K	1,280	1,280	+0	Knicks	+$3	05-01 00:16
Celtics vs. 76ers	36	$1.3K	699	647	+52	76ers	+$5	05-01 02:23
fr2 fca pau 2026 04 24 fca	47	$1.2K	720	640	+80	Yes	+$112	04-24 19:26
bun lei uni 2026 04 24 lei	23	$1.2K	650	533	+117	Yes	+$2	04-24 20:21
Magic vs. Pistons	13	$1.1K	560	560	+0	Pistons	-$8	04-30 01:34
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	22	$1.0K	520	520	+0	Spurs	$0	04-29 04:11
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?	21	$1.0K	484	542	-58	Yes	+$1	04-26 17:10
nhl phi nyi 2026 04 03	28	$953	478	479	-1	Flyers	+$2	04-04 01:35
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	21	$927	502	432	+70	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$3	04-26 23:07
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	21	$897	446	486	-40	Yes	-$4	04-27 20:53
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?	15	$887	447	447	+0	Yes	-$1	05-02 16:15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	12	$871	438	438	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$2	04-29 01:23
Lakers vs. Rockets	10	$807	404	404	+0	Rockets	+$0	04-27 14:14
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?	25	$789	400	400	+0	Yes	+$3	05-02 13:50
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	16	$771	390	390	+0	Nuggets	-$4	04-28 05:06
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?	11	$741	372	372	+0	Yes	+$2	05-03 16:13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	8	$704	354	354	+0	Yes	+$2	05-03 20:51
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?	15	$691	356	356	+0	Yes	-$15	05-03 13:52
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?	13	$656	336	336	+0	Yes	+$2	05-02 15:43
epl sun not 2026 04 24 not	11	$647	450	200	+250	Yes	+$0	04-24 20:36
Thunder vs. Suns	23	$635	320	320	+0	Thunder	+$1	04-28 04:09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	16	$621	425	425	+0	Yes	-$9	04-28 20:58
Sabres vs. Bruins	25	$589	300	300	+0	Sabres	+$1	04-26 20:09
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-02?	10	$580	292	292	+0	Yes	+$2	05-02 15:26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	23	$580	293	293	+0	Yes	+$1	05-02 17:50
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-29?	6	$573	374	374	+0	No	-$173	04-29 21:11
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?	12	$565	283	283	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 18:16
Wild vs. Stars	6	$556	285	285	+0	Wild	-$6	04-29 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 09:27:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	159	91¢	$145	0xefaf94…
10-11 13:20:01	Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0xa1d3d0…
10-08 08:44:58	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on October 10?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xe6d166…
10-03 23:00:38	Old Dominion vs. Georgia State	Georgia State	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2ded5b…
10-03 22:54:29	Old Dominion vs. Georgia State	Georgia State	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xae48c0…
10-03 22:24:59	Old Dominion vs. Georgia State	Georgia State	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2c967a…
10-03 21:49:20	Old Dominion vs. Georgia State	Georgia State	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x427b6a…
09-27 19:21:38	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xfa5a45…
09-21 07:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 22?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xb956d4…
09-21 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 22?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd3689c…
09-16 20:19:06	Will M8 Music Tracker be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xbd9f68…
09-16 20:16:40	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on September 17?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x7f91c4…
09-13 01:09:09	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x6cba7b…
09-13 01:03:01	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x21826c…
09-08 16:20:48	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 9?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x32a91e…
09-02 21:05:54	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Athletics	SELL	145	99¢	$144	0xcdd83a…
09-02 20:55:51	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Athletics	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x5d269f…
08-29 09:14:07	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on August 30?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xdb9009…
08-27 08:42:34	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 28?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x125e44…
08-24 04:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xc7a21b…
08-18 21:30:01	Will the price of XRP be between $0.50 and $0.60 on August 21?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x7de137…
08-18 21:29:42	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.50 on August 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd92646…
08-16 18:00:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on August 18?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x1c0681…
08-16 17:59:37	ethereum above 2300 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xced86f…
08-14 11:58:21	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on August 16?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x768dd2…
08-14 11:56:24	solana above 120 on august 16 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5d1942…
08-09 09:30:04	xrp above 1pt4 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x2df3f7…
08-03 04:40:15	Will "Elite Force: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x07aa11…
08-03 04:39:33	Will "My Daughter's Father: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xccdc1f…
08-03 04:39:21	Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x193ea2…
07-29 02:56:47	Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xee90b6…
07-24 00:14:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x5227be…
07-21 11:04:13	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.70 on July 23?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xd8a48d…
07-15 16:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x63ab40…
07-13 06:44:43	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcc0801…
07-13 06:41:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 14?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xd033d4…
07-09 05:22:22	will nvda dip to 168 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe1287c…
07-09 05:20:01	xrp above 0pt7 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x322952…
07-01 02:41:38	mlb sd chc 2026 06 30	Chicago Cubs	SELL	104	90¢	$94	0x7ff96d…
07-01 02:36:52	mlb sd chc 2026 06 30	Chicago Cubs	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0xab4a8c…
06-24 05:14:14	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc43e95…
06-15 08:23:06	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x49451a…
06-15 08:22:04	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x016d16…
06-05 20:37:54	xrp above 1pt6 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x14c500…
06-05 20:37:27	xrp above 0pt8 on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1f3a60…
05-29 13:40:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x69e4e5…
05-29 08:20:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x310639…
05-25 05:25:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xefef6b…
05-25 05:24:46	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x849bbd…
05-25 05:24:37	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64bcde…
05-25 05:22:40	solana above 60 on may 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54dc46…
05-25 05:22:28	Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18e40a…
05-25 05:22:19	Will the price of Solana be above $40 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccd59f…
05-25 05:22:12	Will the price of Solana be above $30 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53a51c…
05-15 12:51:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 16?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xeb7ca2…
05-15 12:50:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xee8395…
05-08 08:38:47	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on May 9?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x5a2eb6…
05-08 08:38:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe8a700…
05-03 20:52:30	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x144f07…
05-03 20:51:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4ba5e1…
05-03 20:51:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x366b24…
05-03 20:51:12	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xd346fe…
05-03 20:50:28	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x1b5726…
05-03 20:50:26	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x14b36a…
05-03 20:50:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x7a46be…
05-03 20:48:58	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x679ae3…
05-03 20:46:50	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x294557…
05-03 20:46:00	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb73665…
05-03 20:45:34	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x17c19a…
05-03 20:43:14	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xcc8a51…
05-03 20:42:32	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9afe1b…
05-03 20:39:28	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd200aa…
05-03 20:37:50	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xcab1ea…
05-03 20:37:24	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd58b19…
05-03 20:37:22	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1e7d80…
05-03 20:36:54	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xeb8dda…
05-03 20:36:50	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xe21d29…
05-03 20:36:36	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x0799f9…
05-03 20:36:16	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb73b86…
05-03 20:35:38	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x398dc0…
05-03 20:34:28	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xb74550…
05-03 20:33:44	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x838f10…
05-03 20:33:14	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5e9f82…
05-03 20:33:10	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x50410e…
05-03 20:32:20	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x806715…
05-03 20:31:58	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xf181dc…
05-03 20:31:36	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xc95f4e…
05-03 20:30:46	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb94483…
05-03 19:49:52	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1765c0…
05-03 19:49:18	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x5a43ef…
05-03 19:49:06	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x2778a6…
05-03 19:48:58	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1a1ab6…
05-03 19:48:38	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0xfcca60…
05-03 19:48:28	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0xefda55…
05-03 19:48:26	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9dc965…
05-03 19:48:08	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa712c7…
05-03 19:46:34	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x286416…
05-03 19:46:26	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0a06f2…
05-03 19:45:48	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x17013d…
05-03 19:26:38	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xe8aa1e…