Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$165

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

Trades

246

lifetime

Volume

$7.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$77

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 09-20 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 86% +$46

Politics

20% 60% +$56

Other

18% 77% +$62

Sports

6% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-25	-$24	97¢	$-24	$0	09-20 10:31
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-24	-$19	95¢	$-23	-$4	09-20 10:31
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	-25	-$16	82¢	$-21	-$5	05-28 21:54
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-20	-$16	45¢	$-9	+$7	05-28 21:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	115	$985	1,565	1,805	-240	No	+$62	04-18 07:54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	13	$964	729	1,329	-600	No	+$64	04-18 07:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 07:15 UTC	1	$836	852	0	+852	Up	+$16	04-18 07:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 09:15 UTC	2	$659	665	0	+665	Up	+$7	04-18 09:29
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 total 216pt5	2	$420	428	428	+0	Under	+$0	04-18 04:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 06:30 UTC	1	$391	395	0	+395	Up	+$4	04-18 06:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$391	201	621	-420	No	$0	04-18 01:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 07:00 UTC	1	$353	356	0	+356	Down	+$4	04-18 07:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 08:00 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Down	+$3	04-18 08:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 07:00 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Down	+$3	04-18 07:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 06:00 UTC	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	04-18 06:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 09:00 UTC	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	04-18 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 07:45 UTC	1	$120	124	0	+124	Down	+$4	04-18 07:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 07:45 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-18 07:59
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	$0	02-13 23:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 10:15 UTC	1	$68	75	0	+75	Down	+$7	04-18 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 09:45 UTC	1	$67	68	0	+68	Down	+$1	04-18 09:59
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rocha	2	$62	71	71	+0	Roman Safiullin	+$0	04-18 00:25
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 11:30 UTC	1	$56	56	0	+56	Down	+$1	01-17 11:43
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$49	16	40	-24	open	—	09-20 10:31
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$43	45	0	+45	No	+$2	03-01 09:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	7	$40	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-28 23:00
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	09-20 10:31
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$38	22	22	+0	No	-$2	03-01 08:21
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$35	23	23	+0	No	-$3	04-17 12:40
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	09-20 10:30
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	08-08 03:21
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	2	$29	28	28	+0	open	—	09-20 10:30
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	03-01 02:00
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$24	13	13	+0	No	$0	03-01 01:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 10:31:33	Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x8614e5…
09-20 10:31:22	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0xdf7bf9…
09-20 10:31:13	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x4bf08c…
09-20 10:31:04	Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8459d1…
09-20 10:30:54	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x1a7fb5…
09-20 10:30:43	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	42¢	$12	0xf65fb2…
09-20 10:30:34	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x9d33ac…
08-08 04:16:13	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xa23cd2…
08-08 04:15:07	Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf4ff77…
08-08 04:14:28	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x09bc51…
08-08 04:14:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa07623…
08-08 04:13:49	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xa33eca…
08-08 03:21:28	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa268b8…
08-08 03:21:18	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xf92697…
05-31 02:18:06	Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x26a273…
05-28 23:08:31	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe5c5a8…
05-28 23:06:12	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3f30e4…
05-28 23:06:04	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x47a02f…
05-28 23:05:23	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xdf91d8…
05-28 23:04:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf2f740…
05-28 23:00:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x745a24…
05-28 22:08:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0xcbf089…
05-28 22:07:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x18b0bb…
05-28 22:05:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x38d0f0…
05-28 22:05:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1ad8bc…
05-28 22:04:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x609db0…
05-28 22:03:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x05e187…
05-28 21:55:02	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x966740…
05-28 21:54:52	Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0xee2c1a…
05-28 21:54:43	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x4a93cc…
04-18 10:29:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0x2949d9…
04-18 09:59:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xe2bc3d…
04-18 09:29:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	544	99¢	$539	0x6680b9…
04-18 09:29:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xfccaad…
04-18 09:12:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x7f49ad…
04-18 08:12:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x9d8f55…
04-18 07:59:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4db38c…
04-18 07:59:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0xce6fc6…
04-18 07:54:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0xbac046…
04-18 07:53:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xe93ae7…
04-18 07:52:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xdf616d…
04-18 07:51:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x6006ea…
04-18 07:51:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x4aca6d…
04-18 07:51:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xde5f0f…
04-18 07:51:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x80e563…
04-18 07:51:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x385ab3…
04-18 07:51:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xafe33d…
04-18 07:51:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x900026…
04-18 07:51:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x1eeff1…
04-18 07:51:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x301032…
04-18 07:51:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0xefddde…
04-18 07:51:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	31	53¢	$17	0xb2649e…
04-18 07:51:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x9aae97…
04-18 07:51:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x867620…
04-18 07:51:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x7b6036…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xffd35c…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xf226bb…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xebc84e…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xe04484…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xded554…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xa7f9a1…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0xa58055…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x8e6eea…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x86ae93…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x853329…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x7327d4…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x67f030…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x660a0b…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x51c093…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x33c4e4…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x2c73b2…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x239a36…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x02ce0f…
04-18 07:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x01fcf5…
04-18 07:51:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xbdff50…
04-18 07:50:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xbbe247…
04-18 07:50:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xc6545b…
04-18 07:50:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x7d62dd…
04-18 07:50:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x7690af…
04-18 07:50:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x726b62…
04-18 07:50:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0xdf986f…
04-18 07:50:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x866d71…
04-18 07:50:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x088a07…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0xfdf278…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xf53548…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x95d228…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x93a42c…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x554595…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x43b8bc…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x281af7…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x170319…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x0abee2…
04-18 07:50:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x037eb9…
04-18 07:50:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x70d823…
04-18 07:50:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x847eb1…
04-18 07:50:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	69	53¢	$36	0x485241…
04-18 07:49:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	201	53¢	$107	0x689d2c…
04-18 07:29:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	852	98¢	$836	0x52640f…
04-18 07:21:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	395	45¢	$178	0xf9fd12…
04-18 07:14:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	356	99¢	$353	0x404f33…