Brilliant-Rethinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$260

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

7,184

Trades

12,625

lifetime

Volume

$173.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 230 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 73% -$605

Other

1% 59% +$349

Sports

0% 43% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 08:45 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,686	0	+1,686	Up	-$1,300	01-11 08:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 07:00 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,591	0	+1,591	Down	+$291	01-11 07:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 18:00 UTC	3	$1.1K	636	631	+5	Down	+$123	01-10 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 09:00 UTC	4	$1.0K	537	535	+2	Down	+$60	03-06 09:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 06:45 UTC	2	$800	1,228	0	+1,228	Up	+$428	01-11 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 00:45 UTC	4	$799	559	551	+8	Down	+$298	03-03 01:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 23:00 UTC	2	$788	419	419	+1	Up	+$25	01-10 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 08:55 UTC	10	$757	457	452	+5	Down	+$144	03-06 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 05:00 UTC	19	$756	408	406	+2	Down	+$50	02-26 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$702	388	384	+5	Up	+$62	04-28 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 04:45 UTC	31	$668	425	366	+59	Down	+$109	02-26 04:57
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	14	$588	492	492	+0	Usyk	+$330	05-23 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$547	629	0	+629	Up	+$82	04-27 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 08:50 UTC	4	$530	317	317	+0	Down	+$92	03-06 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$510	587	0	+587	Up	+$77	04-28 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$500	610	0	+610	Up	+$110	04-28 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$500	681	0	+681	Up	+$181	04-28 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$500	806	0	+806	Up	+$306	04-28 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:15 UTC	2	$489	296	292	+4	Down	+$93	03-07 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$483	245	245	+1	Up	+$7	04-28 00:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 00:00 UTC	12	$469	304	245	+58	Down	+$75	02-27 00:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 16:45 UTC	3	$452	556	0	+556	Down	+$104	01-10 16:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 20:30 UTC	1	$450	464	0	+464	Down	+$14	01-10 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 04:40 UTC	4	$432	233	232	+1	Down	+$28	02-26 04:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 17:00 UTC	2	$422	222	222	+0	Up	+$22	01-11 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:20 UTC	1	$400	765	0	+765	Down	-$400	03-07 03:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:15 UTC	1	$400	636	0	+636	Down	-$400	01-12 08:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 17:15 UTC	1	$400	494	0	+494	Up	+$94	01-10 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$400	635	0	+635	Down	-$400	04-29 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1PM ET	2	$386	199	198	+1	Down	+$10	04-25 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 20:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6dd626…
11-06 20:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xc809fa…
11-06 20:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x240d56…
11-06 20:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7b7889…
11-06 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xbdc137…
11-06 19:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe86e7b…
11-06 19:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8a3c94…
11-06 19:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x3a8b97…
11-06 19:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x76db5e…
11-06 19:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe7614e…
11-06 19:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x99c0c0…
11-06 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb0ef33…
11-06 19:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdf7d57…
11-06 19:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xf453b7…
11-06 19:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfeab8f…
11-06 19:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	79¢	$45	0x93026f…
11-06 19:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xcb809f…
11-06 18:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x177e80…
11-06 18:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8c4962…
11-06 18:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x544f2f…
11-06 18:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x04fa64…
11-06 18:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xbf6591…
11-06 18:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x50c96d…
11-06 18:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xce5026…
11-06 17:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xc52645…
11-04 21:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xc6d9d5…
11-04 20:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xb0f784…
11-04 20:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8fd8d6…
11-04 19:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe10664…
11-04 19:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe07afb…
11-04 19:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xce9b60…
11-04 03:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x786551…
11-03 19:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xbdb63e…
11-03 19:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xb908d2…
11-03 19:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x3b43f1…
11-03 18:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7a468a…
10-26 13:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x88b8a3…
10-26 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x6b77d9…
10-26 13:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x951056…
10-26 13:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0x72d03a…
10-26 13:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x772093…
10-26 12:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf390b7…
10-26 12:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7fc91b…
10-26 12:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xb7bc5a…
10-26 12:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x1a7977…
10-26 12:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xfcbe0c…
10-26 12:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x0a22b7…
10-26 12:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa84aa3…
10-26 12:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x1d9836…
10-23 13:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9cb40f…
10-23 13:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x19b597…
10-23 13:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa2c087…
10-23 13:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbbacef…
10-23 13:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x61991e…
10-23 13:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x84d088…
10-20 18:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x95d9cd…
10-20 14:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xe13f6b…
10-20 14:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xae3ea4…
10-20 14:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xab7636…
10-20 14:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x26177c…
10-20 14:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xac4114…
10-20 13:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xae9864…
10-20 11:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x89fd4f…
10-20 11:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6e35e4…
10-20 10:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x330066…
10-20 10:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x52e7ac…
10-20 01:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x36b411…
10-20 01:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xaa1115…
10-17 15:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6c8de7…
10-17 15:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xba737f…
10-17 14:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xac0309…
10-17 14:47:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6ded97…
10-17 14:47:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x9020b1…
10-17 14:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x997cb4…
10-17 14:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xfc43d4…
10-17 14:43:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x4b1be3…
10-17 14:40:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x9b7c16…
10-17 14:40:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x66fab6…
10-17 14:39:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	200	26¢	$53	0x2d7475…
10-17 14:34:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x7630cf…
10-17 14:13:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x0f68d6…
10-17 14:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x8418da…
10-17 12:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x8bd50c…
10-17 09:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0x770566…
10-17 09:30:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x80a039…
10-17 09:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x436f31…
10-17 09:23:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x2266c2…
10-17 09:20:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x67b4be…
10-17 09:20:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xbb738a…
10-17 09:01:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x73f179…
10-17 01:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xaeeca9…
10-17 00:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa97e48…
10-16 16:02:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe6dfca…
10-16 12:33:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x956bec…
10-16 12:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x772da5…
10-16 10:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe6bb74…
10-16 10:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3b29c9…
10-16 09:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x85a73f…
10-15 14:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xb74add…
09-27 08:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4bfd75…