Natural-Crayfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$573

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

3,193

Trades

5,937

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 09-22 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$573

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 14:30 UTC	11	$58	78	77	+1	Down	+$4	03-18 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 12:30 UTC	10	$55	66	65	+1	Up	+$8	03-17 12:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:00 UTC	11	$49	61	61	+1	Down	+$2	03-18 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 14:15 UTC	11	$49	66	65	+1	Down	+$2	03-18 14:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:15 UTC	11	$48	66	66	+1	Up	$0	03-17 11:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 12:00 UTC	10	$46	44	44	+1	Down	-$1	03-18 12:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:45 UTC	11	$45	57	47	+9	Up	+$6	03-16 05:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 22:15 UTC	4	$43	23	33	-11	Down	+$12	03-17 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:45 UTC	9	$42	44	43	+1	Down	+$3	03-18 11:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC	9	$42	43	42	+1	Up	+$2	03-18 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 16:15 UTC	9	$41	52	51	+1	Down	+$2	03-18 16:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 14:45 UTC	11	$40	78	0	+78	Up	-$40	03-12 14:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 11:00 UTC	4	$37	26	26	+0	Up	+$13	03-12 11:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 13:45 UTC	8	$37	43	26	+17	Down	-$3	03-18 13:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 17:00 UTC	9	$36	42	41	+1	Down	+$4	03-18 17:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 10:45 UTC	8	$35	32	31	+0	Down	+$4	03-17 10:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 17:15 UTC	8	$33	40	40	+1	Down	+$2	03-16 17:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 01:30 UTC	2	$33	21	21	+0	Down	+$8	07-28 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 15:15 UTC	8	$33	35	35	+0	Up	+$9	03-20 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 05:00 UTC	9	$33	34	33	+1	Up	+$1	03-16 05:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 09:15 UTC	7	$33	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	03-16 09:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 15:45 UTC	9	$33	49	17	+33	Down	-$15	03-12 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 23:00 UTC	7	$32	29	29	+0	Up	+$0	03-15 23:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:30 UTC	6	$32	46	45	+1	Up	+$0	03-18 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 21:45 UTC	8	$31	45	44	+1	Down	$0	03-13 21:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 11:30 UTC	8	$31	42	30	+12	Up	-$1	03-17 11:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 06:15 UTC	2	$30	22	22	+0	Down	+$5	07-27 06:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 20:30 UTC	6	$30	24	24	+1	Down	+$1	04-10 20:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 06:15 UTC	7	$29	38	28	+10	Up	-$3	03-16 06:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 06:30 UTC	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	07-27 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 17:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x163e57…
09-22 16:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x49f42f…
09-22 16:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x281859…
09-22 15:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x135145…
09-21 22:51:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4c284e…
09-21 20:56:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8a96b9…
09-21 19:56:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf7a080…
09-21 17:11:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7bc2a3…
09-21 15:41:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6a1340…
09-21 10:56:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8a559f…
09-21 00:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x992891…
09-21 00:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x329b81…
09-21 00:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x61f951…
09-21 00:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x32a641…
09-20 18:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x309564…
09-20 18:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x70a28a…
09-20 17:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8ca3c4…
09-20 17:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9d6a52…
09-20 17:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8e08fe…
09-20 10:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x1f13ee…
09-20 10:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x425907…
09-20 09:20:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xca39a1…
09-20 09:20:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xff63cd…
09-20 07:20:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x300fd9…
09-20 07:20:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x400882…
09-20 06:35:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xe582bc…
09-20 06:35:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf1967f…
09-20 06:05:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xfee9eb…
09-20 05:51:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 05:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x386a73…
09-20 05:51:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc64af6…
09-20 04:42:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9d5396…
09-20 03:42:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x4aa7a1…
09-20 03:42:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfee2a0…
09-20 01:42:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xd0425a…
09-20 01:42:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf6cc62…
09-20 01:27:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x56d8a2…
09-20 01:05:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x506a81…
09-20 00:20:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x29a221…
09-20 00:12:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xfb30a8…
09-19 15:26:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x019454…
09-19 10:41:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x4dfc13…
09-19 10:41:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa6adc4…
09-19 09:28:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5f0d5a…
09-19 09:05:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x84ae2f…
09-19 09:05:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xdabb1e…
09-19 08:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x30130b…
09-19 08:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xa47451…
09-19 08:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x042df9…
09-19 07:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7649a5…
09-19 07:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x550d34…
09-19 07:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x03a3f8…
09-19 04:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x90f065…
09-19 04:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x51d47f…
09-19 03:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf64561…
09-19 00:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x143e26…
09-18 20:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6ec7ad…
09-18 20:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0687ca…
09-18 19:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x422dcb…
09-18 19:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x3ed5cf…
09-18 18:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc1212a…
09-18 18:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x0367a1…
09-18 18:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x95afda…
09-18 18:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x693b62…
09-18 18:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xbd2dc4…
09-18 18:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe1fceb…
09-18 17:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x7a5cc8…
09-18 17:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa6a4d5…
09-18 17:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3f8478…
09-18 16:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2cfb71…
09-18 16:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xffaa2e…
09-18 11:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x997b1a…
09-18 10:50:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe98b7a…
09-18 10:50:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7a2bff…
09-18 08:13:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xeea24e…
09-18 07:05:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9e4cc0…
09-18 05:35:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1b9806…
09-18 03:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd4eeb4…
09-17 19:56:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3b059e…
09-17 18:35:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x99567d…
09-17 18:35:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4a271e…
09-17 15:26:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x004f6e…
09-17 14:56:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x917446…
09-17 13:01:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb99e5e…
09-17 01:43:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb9cb55…
09-16 20:26:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4bb076…
09-16 17:56:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb0af5b…
09-16 17:26:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x3a34f6…
09-16 16:26:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x747cd6…
09-16 16:11:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x98752a…
09-16 15:56:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xebcde6…
09-16 15:11:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7f503f…
09-16 13:41:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x198d80…
09-16 13:41:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1e4863…
09-16 12:41:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc48227…
09-16 07:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1d0ab3…
09-15 21:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xbda230…
09-15 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x35d14d…
09-15 21:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa592bb…
09-15 18:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc62b84…
09-15 13:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbc1e3d…