Functional-Eyelids — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$62

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

119

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-29 11:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

46% 96% +$13

Politics

38% 100% +$4

Crypto

13% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+90	$63	1¢	$1	-$62	10-19 16:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	5	$160	124	38	+85	No	+$1	09-01 04:34
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	3	$134	67	67	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 23:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	4	$115	60	60	+0	No	+$2	09-10 17:32
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$88	88	0	+88	Yes	+$0	09-22 13:42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$87	87	0	+87	Yes	+$0	09-16 00:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	3	$86	58	29	+29	No	+$0	09-07 16:53
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$82	83	0	+83	Yes	+$1	10-03 04:24
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$79	79	0	+79	No	+$0	08-05 09:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$76	82	0	+82	No	+$6	09-25 04:16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$69	116	89	+28	Yes	+$1	10-26 00:07
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	2	$67	68	0	+68	No	+$1	08-21 01:06
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$67	69	0	+69	No	+$2	08-13 23:21
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	10-29 11:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	05-31 13:10
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$63	90	0	+90	open	—	10-19 16:24
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$58	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	05-16 12:51
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 19:34
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$1	05-29 11:39
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$55	55	0	+55	Yes	+$0	05-26 18:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	07-31 08:29
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	04-29 14:15
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	08-17 17:40
will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on march 31	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	03-31 12:15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-27 13:26
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	10-05 12:10
will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	02-24 20:20
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-28 20:17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-28 15:36
will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-29 17:48
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-23 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:30:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xad31b0…
10-28 16:03:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xad0a6c…
10-28 04:19:40	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x79ffed…
10-26 00:07:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1fc102…
10-19 16:24:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	90	70¢	$63	0x7797c2…
10-19 13:40:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	89	24¢	$21	0xd6cdfd…
10-17 21:22:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	89	23¢	$20	0x5b4e79…
10-08 07:19:05	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87a32c…
10-05 12:10:56	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5c2020…
10-03 04:24:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x837877…
09-25 04:16:11	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0xcb18f8…
09-24 06:42:08	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8b5390…
09-22 13:42:01	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xc80ba8…
09-16 00:03:39	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x801055…
09-10 19:34:10	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x66b752…
09-10 17:32:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xac411b…
09-10 04:29:03	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x1fbf36…
09-07 16:53:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbef49b…
09-07 12:37:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x81ff22…
09-05 12:37:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x3c2a9c…
09-04 11:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x8a1e9c…
09-04 09:05:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x46075f…
09-04 08:40:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x94c57a…
09-01 04:34:46	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x4803d1…
08-31 19:03:00	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x23022d…
08-31 18:31:31	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa9fb24…
08-31 18:11:43	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3718be…
08-30 23:41:37	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$38	0x32e19a…
08-27 13:26:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3c8adf…
08-25 18:24:30	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc9a17c…
08-24 14:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x23100c…
08-24 06:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xa9626c…
08-21 02:38:33	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac207a…
08-21 01:06:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x57f39b…
08-20 23:53:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x02c5b6…
08-20 09:51:49	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x41eba2…
08-17 17:40:57	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa6974c…
08-13 23:21:06	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x560d96…
08-13 23:05:48	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x7e58e8…
08-13 19:53:58	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6c6848…
08-10 02:51:27	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xe4f508…
08-09 21:59:03	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa10cb7…
08-09 21:41:37	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x85a3fb…
08-07 08:37:42	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x94e70f…
08-07 01:40:16	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb5dc40…
08-05 19:10:05	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x79e1b2…
08-05 09:16:51	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x833320…
08-04 14:00:47	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xacafbb…
07-31 20:12:56	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc0b27d…
07-31 08:29:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$44	0xaf8fac…
07-30 20:53:30	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5f1490…
07-29 17:07:11	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x749317…
07-29 12:45:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x05d255…
07-29 08:23:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3fcdc0…
07-27 21:07:27	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe87496…
07-26 12:50:30	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf302a1…
07-26 00:08:25	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x64930a…
07-25 14:03:10	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1dbb29…
07-24 17:48:24	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe1df6e…
07-23 23:38:00	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc31015…
07-23 08:43:13	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbbfbb0…
07-22 20:29:04	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfe2a3c…
07-20 19:07:39	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d14f8…
07-17 19:20:48	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5bd2f8…
07-17 17:42:06	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc53fdf…
06-29 17:48:32	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf3f9ae…
06-29 07:18:35	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d54ab…
06-28 20:17:05	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x04e58e…
06-28 15:36:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x270742…
06-28 08:10:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x749844…
06-28 02:01:56	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x282a01…
05-31 13:10:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x8a19c7…
05-29 11:39:47	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x92fa0c…
05-26 18:44:37	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xf82d48…
05-24 01:39:58	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3772b9…
05-16 12:51:10	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x1eb9b8…
05-09 09:44:33	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd50522…
05-08 00:09:56	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcd2c97…
05-07 20:52:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d5f0e…
05-07 18:10:45	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6351f2…
05-05 22:02:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb8138f…
05-05 18:50:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x38d0ee…
05-05 15:13:36	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xea80db…
04-29 14:15:22	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x174758…
04-27 15:37:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x06b3fe…
04-26 17:16:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb75dcd…
04-23 13:07:04	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x9325f0…
04-21 17:37:24	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8587fe…
04-20 11:23:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5a199c…
04-19 23:33:16	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6b31db…
04-19 09:08:16	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x9b99dd…
04-18 23:56:02	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc7c33…
04-18 06:01:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbd5575…
04-17 13:04:04	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x555df6…
04-15 14:18:38	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x76394a…
04-15 07:57:28	Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x906676…
04-13 07:19:43	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7f3b08…
04-05 09:34:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc523a1…
03-31 12:15:19	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on march 31	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x325e84…
03-29 15:30:44	googl above 370 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x195cc3…