Shocked-Petticoat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$835

Hit rate

39.6%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$84.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$746

Open exposure

$306

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 08-29 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

41% 14% -$3,941

Sports

33% 33% -$6,970

Politics

25% 100% +$97

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+2,000	$386	5¢	$96	-$290	08-29 18:12
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+1,500	$305	5¢	$75	-$230	08-29 18:12
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+2,150	$151	3¢	$71	-$80	08-29 18:13
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,288	$300	5¢	$64	-$236	08-29 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$27.0K	22,919	22,919	+0	Yes	-$2,377	07-28 15:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	13	$21.4K	10,753	10,753	+0	Yes	+$97	03-02 17:50
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	39	$16.2K	27,306	27,326	-21	No	-$6,945	05-17 17:51
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$11.1K	50,000	25,000	+25,000	No	+$175	07-15 00:57
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$4.0K	14,868	14,868	+0	No	-$1,013	07-28 15:10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	1	$1000	3,448	0	+3,448	No	-$1,000	06-12 02:22
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	1	$1000	4,545	0	+4,545	No	-$1,000	06-13 22:12
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	44	$766	9,919	9,890	+29	No	-$34	06-14 17:48
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$500	2,083	0	+2,083	Yes	+$1,583	07-05 20:08
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$386	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	08-29 18:12
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$305	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	08-29 18:12
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$300	1,288	0	+1,288	open	—	08-29 18:08
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	9,753	0	+9,753	No	-$200	07-12 02:32
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$151	2,150	0	+2,150	open	—	08-29 18:13
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$100	2,675	0	+2,675	No	-$100	08-29 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 18:13:28	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,150	7¢	$151	0x994321…
08-29 18:12:34	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,500	20¢	$305	0xd6bc8d…
08-29 18:12:12	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,000	19¢	$386	0xcc484a…
08-29 18:09:04	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,675	4¢	$100	0xca096d…
08-29 18:08:30	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,288	23¢	$300	0x942549…
07-28 15:10:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	22,919	54¢	$12,303	0x001678…
07-28 15:10:20	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	14,868	10¢	$1,487	0xde4ac6…
07-20 14:54:00	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14,868	17¢	$2,500	0x55c3aa…
07-19 23:15:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18,553	65¢	$12,000	0x597b21…
07-19 22:47:37	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,182	58¢	$680	0xe2ca58…
07-19 22:44:34	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3,184	63¢	$2,000	0xd057a2…
07-15 00:57:28	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25,000	22¢	$5,625	0x993b5f…
07-12 02:32:22	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9,753	2¢	$200	0xb94665…
07-05 20:08:49	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	2,083	24¢	$500	0x0b1170…
06-14 17:48:10	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4,658	4¢	$172	0xa4db8f…
06-14 17:47:49	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x62e017…
06-14 17:47:43	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x4a4f60…
06-14 17:47:42	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	135	4¢	$5	0xb8a079…
06-14 17:47:42	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	800	4¢	$30	0x0d5d1b…
06-14 17:47:40	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	144	4¢	$5	0xe99c43…
06-14 17:47:19	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	135	4¢	$5	0x6e14f6…
06-14 17:47:19	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	131	4¢	$5	0x30bb3e…
06-14 17:47:16	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xf52698…
06-14 17:47:10	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	88	4¢	$3	0xa78afb…
06-14 17:47:07	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xd0226c…
06-14 17:47:07	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	541	4¢	$20	0xa67377…
06-14 17:47:04	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x51e9d0…
06-14 17:47:03	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0xdf327f…
06-14 17:47:03	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	361	4¢	$13	0x6151d6…
06-14 17:46:57	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	95	4¢	$3	0xcc5201…
06-14 17:46:55	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xda5b0a…
06-14 17:46:43	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xd185e9…
06-14 17:46:37	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	135	4¢	$5	0x7ba944…
06-14 17:46:33	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xd1d5bb…
06-14 17:46:33	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0xc6aebb…
06-14 17:46:33	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x4e202a…
06-14 17:46:27	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x71e1f6…
06-14 17:46:27	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x17b687…
06-14 17:46:27	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	162	4¢	$6	0x11e462…
06-14 17:46:27	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x0a3079…
06-14 17:46:27	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x01d866…
06-14 17:46:25	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	135	4¢	$5	0x961fa5…
06-14 17:46:15	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xc60073…
06-14 17:46:10	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xa14c79…
06-14 17:46:09	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0x44028c…
06-14 17:46:07	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0x0e0bc7…
06-14 17:46:04	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x664aaa…
06-14 17:46:01	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9fa2af…
06-14 17:45:51	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xeae7f2…
06-14 17:45:51	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0x158257…
06-14 17:45:46	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xca832e…
06-14 17:45:46	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x168602…
06-14 17:45:45	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	541	4¢	$20	0x85ba10…
06-14 17:45:42	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	108	4¢	$4	0xed2e1c…
06-14 17:45:27	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	270	4¢	$10	0xd60a49…
06-14 17:45:21	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x7f374d…
06-14 17:45:19	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	547	4¢	$20	0x8dfaa1…
06-14 08:38:42	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9,919	4¢	$400	0x1cb602…
06-13 22:12:24	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	4,545	22¢	$1,000	0xf401a9…
06-12 02:22:42	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	3,448	29¢	$1,000	0x143f2a…
06-11 00:42:42	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50,000	11¢	$5,450	0xbbf4fe…
05-17 17:51:43	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	27,326	17¢	$4,645	0xb4ade3…
03-02 17:50:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	10,753	100¢	$10,731	0x0a1269…
03-01 01:32:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	172	99¢	$171	0xc8ee53…
03-01 01:32:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	909	99¢	$899	0x91cb25…
03-01 01:32:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xacaec1…
03-01 01:32:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x930e30…
03-01 01:32:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	455	99¢	$450	0x687b42…
03-01 01:32:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x687435…
03-01 01:32:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5dced1…
03-01 01:32:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1db981…
03-01 01:32:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b2271…
03-01 01:32:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad3ec2…
03-01 01:32:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	9,091	99¢	$8,991	0x705256…
03-01 01:32:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x601fe3…
02-22 11:28:14	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	165	42¢	$69	0x618467…
02-22 11:28:08	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	313	42¢	$131	0xe224ba…
02-22 11:28:06	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	128	42¢	$54	0x2f07eb…
02-22 11:28:02	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	447	42¢	$188	0x1da3d4…
02-22 11:27:58	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	639	42¢	$268	0xd09035…
02-22 11:26:50	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0xfee8b4…
02-22 11:26:50	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x6fac42…
02-22 11:26:50	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	127	42¢	$53	0x6b3f54…
02-22 11:26:38	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0xa25eed…
02-22 11:26:38	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x83f3d7…
02-22 11:26:38	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x47622c…
02-22 11:26:24	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x74f918…
02-22 11:25:48	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	583	42¢	$245	0xcd8756…
02-22 11:25:02	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0xe5e493…
02-22 11:25:02	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0xaf35a9…
02-22 11:25:02	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x9eee3f…
02-22 11:25:02	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x173a48…
02-22 11:24:44	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x112c78…
02-22 11:24:42	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0xe9a387…
02-22 11:24:26	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1,507	42¢	$633	0x751b7b…
02-22 11:24:22	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	2,153	42¢	$904	0x1e6c45…
02-22 11:24:16	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	3,075	42¢	$1,292	0xaf1c9f…
02-22 11:24:02	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x875b90…
02-22 11:23:44	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	79	42¢	$33	0x5b2ce0…
02-22 11:23:34	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	63	42¢	$26	0x948acd…