Probable-Education — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

16 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$31

$31 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 0% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down		+40	$1	52¢	$21	+$20	05-06 01:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$2	46	+46	open	—	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$2	75	+75	open	—	05-06 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	40	+40	Down	$-1	05-04 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$1	40	+40	open	—	05-06 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$0	34	+34	open	—	05-05 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x15cc19…
05-06 01:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7be788…
05-06 00:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0f445e…
05-06 00:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x03137f…
05-05 20:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc3da19…
05-05 20:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x137149…
05-05 20:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x435925…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x06fe55…
05-05 15:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd7b170…
05-05 14:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7afb10…
05-05 14:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa37783…
05-05 13:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x947637…
05-05 13:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x031d0c…
05-05 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd4153f…
05-05 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4fe234…
05-04 20:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x69361c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$1.91K	74	05-06 01:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	12	$801	78	05-06 01:48
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	11	$7.68K	41	05-06 01:48
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	11	$1.25K	234	05-06 01:49
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	10	$739	46	05-06 01:48
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	9	$725	19	05-06 01:49
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	9	$661	44	05-06 01:48
Suspicious-Comedy 0x6e58…b5b1	8	$603	32	05-05 20:13