Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$316

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-02 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

74% 33% $-316

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

8% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		-18	$-17	96¢	$-17	$-0	06-02 19:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	13	$690	435	335	+100	Up	+$64	05-05 15:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$377	350	350	+0	open	—	05-06 19:22
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$332	4,916	4,916	+0	open	—	01-26 14:16
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	5	$331	550	0	+550	Down	$-331	05-07 09:52
fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 eng	1	$300	492	0	+492	open	—	03-31 18:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$170	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-05 11:25
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	1	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	02-06 07:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$53	5,296	0	+5,296	open	—	06-02 19:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	6	$51	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	$-49	05-06 19:05
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$20	950	0	+950	open	—	02-06 07:44
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$20	909	0	+909	open	—	02-06 07:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 7	1	$20	373	0	+373	open	—	02-06 07:43
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	1	$20	445	0	+445	open	—	02-06 07:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$17	0	18	-18	open	—	06-02 19:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-06 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 19:56:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,296	1¢	$53	0xde176d…
06-02 19:56:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x51e338…
05-07 09:52:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xe62a6c…
05-07 08:47:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	116	61¢	$71	0xa0e2e7…
05-07 08:47:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0x740c9a…
05-07 08:46:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	97	61¢	$59	0xcdf0ea…
05-07 08:37:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	103	61¢	$63	0x9b67ca…
05-06 20:34:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd94ef0…
05-06 20:34:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xe2c727…
05-06 20:34:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x44fe3b…
05-06 20:34:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2b19aa…
05-06 19:22:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	25¢	$37	0xacff5b…
05-06 19:17:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xc63f58…
05-06 19:05:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb97d52…
05-06 11:28:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	73¢	$74	0x74c028…
05-06 11:25:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	27¢	$40	0x7720e3…
05-06 11:22:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	73¢	$73	0x945732…
05-06 11:07:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	520	5¢	$26	0xd175c7…
05-06 11:00:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x78a594…
05-06 10:59:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	359	5¢	$18	0xad8459…
05-06 10:58:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x20909a…
05-06 10:58:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xb0a690…
05-05 15:40:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x843960…
05-05 15:39:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8d5c74…
05-05 15:38:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x4e7a26…
05-05 15:38:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x5c12c2…
05-05 15:37:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	240	98¢	$234	0xa6e734…
05-05 15:33:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x11c884…
05-05 15:32:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x1da14f…
05-05 15:31:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe8444d…
05-05 12:09:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x4cbd54…
05-05 12:06:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x76b140…
05-05 12:02:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xd74259…
05-05 11:53:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x18f063…
05-05 11:51:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	160	79¢	$127	0x49982c…
05-05 11:25:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0xb2bdf0…
05-05 11:12:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0x6636b4…
03-31 18:06:05	fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 eng	Yes	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0x86790d…
02-06 07:44:35	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	445	4¢	$20	0x742f82…
02-06 07:44:23	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	950	2¢	$20	0xc48298…
02-06 07:43:45	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	909	2¢	$20	0xbb7db0…
02-06 07:43:27	epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x151481…
02-06 07:43:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 7	Yes	BUY	373	5¢	$20	0xb454f5…
01-26 14:16:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4,916	2¢	$92	0x8ca174…
01-03 11:03:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4,916	5¢	$240	0x774877…