Wobbly-Pike-Airman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.0%

Resolved

610

Trades

1,005

lifetime

Volume

$21.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 09-11 05:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Politics

42% 37% -$142

Other

39% 53% +$198

Sports

19% 36% +$134

Crypto

0% 67% -$19

Tech

0% 40% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	10	$5.8K	3,084	3,084	+0	No	-$31	06-02 16:29
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$2.9K	2,276	2,276	+0	No	-$2	06-10 08:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	4	$1.2K	4,621	4,621	+0	Yes	-$46	06-05 05:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.0K	713	713	+0	Yes	-$7	06-05 06:18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$547	2,079	2,079	+0	No	+$147	07-12 04:56
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$251	808	808	+0	Yes	+$41	07-19 22:01
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$199	163	163	+0	Yes	-$1	07-09 15:47
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	2	$194	143	143	+0	No	-$6	07-06 01:17
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$174	154	154	+0	Yes	+$134	08-19 00:16
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	3	$159	194	194	+0	Belgium	-$51	07-07 00:35
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$153	133	133	+0	No	+$113	08-19 00:16
will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	2	$112	94	94	+0	No	+$72	08-19 15:43
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$100	149	0	+149	Spain	+$49	07-06 01:02
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	1	$100	196	0	+196	No	-$100	07-07 15:26
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	2	$100	164	0	+164	Yes	+$64	07-05 14:06
sud rec1 boc 2026 08 18 total 2pt5	4	$79	82	78	+3	Over	+$2	08-18 22:14
clf bar ahl 2026 08 19 total 4pt5	3	$75	153	96	+58	Under	-$5	08-19 18:51
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	3	$70	78	37	+41	Yes	-$10	08-29 02:52
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	2	$62	42	42	+0	No	+$22	09-07 01:09
lal mad mala 2026 08 19 btts	3	$61	81	42	+39	No	+$20	08-19 18:53
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	3	$60	174	0	+174	No	+$9	08-31 10:52
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	3	$60	487	0	+487	Yes	-$60	09-01 13:35
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	2	$56	44	44	+0	No	+$16	09-05 23:36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?	2	$53	33	33	+0	Yes	+$13	08-19 21:13
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	10	$49	48	48	+0	No	-$1	08-08 19:53
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	2	$46	38	38	+0	open	—	09-09 06:01
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-19?	2	$46	38	38	+0	No	+$6	08-20 01:30
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK end in a draw?	2	$46	31	31	+0	Yes	+$6	08-18 20:51
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?	2	$45	36	36	+0	Yes	+$5	08-19 19:28
ucl hbs sf 2026 08 19 total 2pt5	2	$44	38	38	+0	Over	+$4	08-19 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 05:03:49	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xca0760…
09-11 05:03:45	Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xee5d3e…
09-11 05:03:39	Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?	No	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x9a86dd…
09-11 05:03:31	Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	33	26¢	$9	0x65df20…
09-11 05:03:25	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	22	52¢	$12	0x73e479…
09-11 05:03:19	Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	No	SELL	71	16¢	$11	0xbd8f3f…
09-11 05:03:13	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	39	45¢	$18	0x79e3f3…
09-11 05:03:04	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	49	28¢	$14	0x397ec6…
09-11 05:02:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0x052b9e…
09-10 13:09:58	M15 Tsaghkadzor: Ignacio Monzon vs Daniel Khazime	Daniel Khazime	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x153002…
09-09 18:05:33	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x0b3af0…
09-09 17:08:04	Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x377dff…
09-09 16:50:19	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x235471…
09-09 12:16:25	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0x03b59a…
09-09 07:13:45	US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9091e5…
09-09 06:01:27	Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x3424cc…
09-08 19:26:16	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf9235f…
09-08 05:15:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x14c9f9…
09-08 01:48:28	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x49c1e6…
09-07 16:00:34	Will El Qanah Club win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0x12f84d…
09-07 14:26:16	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe2019b…
09-07 09:31:18	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc47454…
09-07 06:59:55	Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf00512…
09-07 01:09:52	Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x273ac7…
09-07 01:09:37	Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x6e5b5f…
09-06 15:55:43	Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb4adc0…
09-06 15:54:07	Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x9738b8…
09-06 15:25:01	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x5e0e5e…
09-06 13:38:39	Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x986916…
09-06 11:03:28	Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x2f800f…
09-06 10:50:33	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x126401…
09-06 05:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x02b6fc…
09-05 23:36:06	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	44	81¢	$36	0xe66956…
09-05 11:39:25	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9116c8…
09-04 19:33:03	epl ips liv 2026 09 04 spread away 2pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x18142c…
09-04 11:39:07	Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)	BBL	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xcef0fd…
09-04 11:37:49	cs2 bbl1 wal2 2026 09 04	Walczaki	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xbaaa31…
09-04 06:28:00	Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x4802ee…
09-03 22:01:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xc8a589…
09-03 11:53:39	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x6d7c51…
09-03 11:52:40	cs2 nem hotu 2026 09 03 game1	HOTU	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x0252a6…
09-03 11:47:27	cs2 nem hotu 2026 09 03 game1	Team Nemesis	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xf1c9f8…
09-02 20:16:34	Burnley FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x2d1d2e…
09-02 18:41:09	Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x1dbc93…
09-02 13:51:22	Will Yunnan Yukun vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xa71032…
09-01 13:35:33	Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	No	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x7f9bec…
08-31 20:16:39	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xd34b32…
08-31 10:52:53	Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x79263b…
08-31 05:39:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x6def10…
08-30 16:13:24	Viking FK vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x6752bd…
08-30 11:22:34	Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)	FC Seoul	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xfffac3…
08-29 13:01:25	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xae909c…
08-29 02:52:33	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x3370af…
08-29 01:51:55	wnba tor las 2026 08 28 total 173pt5	Under	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9e56da…
08-28 21:18:00	Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xe806e0…
08-28 19:10:03	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xc6ffed…
08-28 01:51:09	Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xc51a4c…
08-27 18:35:36	SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2fe617…
08-27 14:11:12	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0x5796c4…
08-27 13:14:13	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x00d3bc…
08-27 02:43:24	wnba tor sea 2026 08 26 total 177pt5	Over	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf51bd7…
08-27 02:16:07	wnba tor sea 2026 08 26 total 176pt5	Under	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x30cf98…
08-27 02:13:42	wnba tor sea 2026 08 26 spread home 6pt5	Seattle Storm	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x399c42…
08-26 23:28:42	wnba gsv conn 2026 08 26 total 149pt5	Under	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x64d4f3…
08-26 23:14:54	wnba gsv conn 2026 08 26 spread away 13pt5	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xb0ebba…
08-26 20:20:28	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x6cf185…
08-26 19:43:25	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xec69b0…
08-26 17:20:00	Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x5b615e…
08-26 16:44:58	Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x382da5…
08-26 11:44:52	Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xd9f74c…
08-26 11:29:34	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xa64b4b…
08-26 08:07:42	Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x078e79…
08-26 03:37:45	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb50001…
08-26 02:13:34	Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x27b33e…
08-25 23:48:06	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$1	0x5436f0…
08-25 20:26:04	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8ed533…
08-25 20:26:04	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x5ade1c…
08-25 19:50:19	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa3e709…
08-25 19:32:43	Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xbd4409…
08-25 19:32:28	LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9fb1eb…
08-25 18:52:13	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x210169…
08-25 18:34:16	Will Darline Graham Nordone win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x3df801…
08-25 14:50:15	Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x361503…
08-24 22:34:46	Will Real Cartagena FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x99cc02…
08-24 14:48:37	Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x8bd561…
08-23 22:21:19	Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x67ab90…
08-23 20:36:52	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xdf7566…
08-23 19:35:36	Will NK Maribor win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xc7e984…
08-23 16:54:01	Venezia FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x67ff62…
08-23 16:45:58	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb895c4…
08-23 16:43:03	Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x4da4b8…
08-23 15:36:18	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb79bd0…
08-23 13:34:22	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x36d226…
08-23 11:46:10	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x98f34c…
08-23 11:06:49	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x575421…
08-22 21:23:30	lal esp rea 2026 08 22 spread away 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	247	8¢	$20	0xfbed5b…
08-22 20:00:52	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x20e2c1…
08-22 19:26:43	bra flu cre 2026 08 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xe90728…
08-22 15:29:18	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x39054a…
08-22 15:29:13	epl not lee 2026 08 22 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x55b6e2…