Mealy-Journalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$620

Unrealized P&L

-$54

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

158

Trades

566

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$99

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-22 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 35% -$177

Other

19% 25% -$200

Politics

10% 19% -$189

Tech

5% 38% -$55

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No		-110	-$46	90¢	$-99	-$54	06-01 12:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down january 18 11am et	13	$1.5K	944	944	+0	Down	+$389	01-18 17:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:15 UTC	9	$665	900	0	+900	Down	+$235	01-19 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:30 UTC	5	$552	400	398	+2	Up	-$30	01-19 06:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$493	261	261	+0	Yes	+$29	02-28 07:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 19:00 UTC	19	$456	337	435	-98	Up	+$12	01-17 19:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 14:45 UTC	17	$418	700	498	+202	Down	-$116	01-24 14:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 05:15 UTC	5	$373	425	421	+4	Down	-$164	01-18 05:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 18:30 UTC	3	$355	200	199	+1	Up	+$36	01-19 18:41
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$352	161	231	-70	No	+$39	04-01 19:59
solana up or down january 19 12pm et	51	$327	1,016	306	+710	Down	-$173	01-19 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 14:30 UTC	5	$326	200	200	+0	Up	+$56	01-24 14:44
will li guyi perform at the spring festival gala	5	$318	168	168	+0	No	+$17	02-12 06:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$307	541	0	+541	No	-$307	06-01 14:56
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	7	$281	378	378	+0	Yes	-$51	04-23 12:39
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?	2	$266	137	137	+0	Yes	+$8	03-09 01:51
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	3	$234	200	200	+0	No	+$162	02-17 18:18
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	6	$224	400	400	+0	Yes	-$48	04-23 12:39
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	4	$219	296	119	+176	Yes	-$61	06-22 17:03
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	6	$200	442	0	+442	Yes	-$200	04-30 12:33
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	6	$189	701	701	+0	Yes	-$119	02-13 09:21
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	3	$176	122	105	+16	Yes	-$1	04-24 04:01
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	4	$175	248	154	+94	Argentina	-$65	06-22 17:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 05:30 UTC	2	$165	243	0	+243	Up	+$78	01-18 05:36
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 17:45 UTC	4	$163	100	100	+0	Up	+$9	01-19 17:51
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	3	$158	478	217	+261	No	-$62	06-22 17:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 13:15 UTC	5	$156	400	50	+350	Up	+$230	01-24 13:29
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$145	200	200	+0	No	+$36	03-02 08:53
will agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	6	$142	73	73	+0	No	+$4	02-16 22:29
will anthony kennedy attend the 2026 state of the union address	10	$141	100	100	+0	No	+$59	02-25 05:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$139	214	214	+0	Yes	-$1	01-31 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 17:10:58	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0xe581fb…
06-22 17:10:23	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	SELL	154	36¢	$55	0x98b7b2…
06-22 17:03:19	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe0400e…
06-22 17:03:13	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x8eb31a…
06-22 17:03:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x307ff6…
06-22 17:02:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x417365…
06-22 17:02:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	119	66¢	$79	0x29287f…
06-22 16:58:38	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x0a317f…
06-22 16:57:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	119	67¢	$80	0xab17b8…
06-22 16:57:38	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	217	22¢	$48	0x5989ba…
06-22 16:32:10	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x2a8887…
06-01 14:56:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x376996…
06-01 12:26:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	70¢	$95	0x7bf22e…
06-01 12:12:16	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x1f9f48…
06-01 12:07:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x77b69c…
06-01 12:07:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x6833bd…
06-01 12:07:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0xc17408…
06-01 12:07:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	70¢	$22	0xc132a1…
06-01 12:07:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0x999b26…
06-01 12:07:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x7c5fa1…
06-01 12:07:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x336789…
06-01 12:07:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x2d96ae…
06-01 12:07:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x4333ce…
06-01 12:06:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	50¢	$97	0xcd5038…
06-01 12:03:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	40¢	$43	0x093716…
06-01 12:02:56	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	110	41¢	$46	0x16772f…
05-24 03:02:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	38	17¢	$6	0x4c28cc…
05-22 09:50:24	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xc2c65c…
05-22 09:49:54	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	357	3¢	$10	0x6a3733…
05-18 07:06:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$19	0xea4ed0…
05-16 08:52:03	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xef53a5…
05-16 08:52:00	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xfc1732…
05-16 08:51:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x32c5ae…
05-07 08:59:28	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x3b1f46…
05-06 15:13:47	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xbb93bf…
04-30 12:33:52	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	169	32¢	$54	0x3e326b…
04-30 12:26:16	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x0d0a57…
04-30 12:24:30	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x1de9db…
04-30 12:24:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x9ca495…
04-29 15:11:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0xfc40bb…
04-27 12:03:10	Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xf16d36…
04-27 12:02:52	Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xf32e5b…
04-25 15:42:46	Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x84a66d…
04-25 09:21:16	Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x97124d…
04-25 08:38:22	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x59e1d0…
04-25 06:34:02	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x325c67…
04-25 06:33:56	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x148318…
04-25 06:33:54	Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0xc5ae2d…
04-24 04:01:18	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x2f858a…
04-23 17:21:40	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	SELL	229	7¢	$16	0xf016c8…
04-23 17:07:58	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	238	9¢	$21	0x6f24ae…
04-23 16:36:16	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	140	56¢	$79	0x8b793c…
04-23 16:36:02	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	105	75¢	$79	0x1e14c5…
04-23 16:06:04	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0x52b623…
04-23 12:39:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xd66207…
04-23 12:39:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xebfbf5…
04-19 07:20:18	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	105	77¢	$81	0x6338f9…
04-13 17:41:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	230	4¢	$10	0xb1b677…
04-13 08:23:53	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0xf2297b…
04-09 12:05:23	Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?	No	BUY	267	0¢	$1	0xe7a537…
04-09 11:03:53	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9db739…
04-09 11:03:41	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xd51ecd…
04-09 07:42:59	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x6246de…
04-07 09:21:41	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x31c04a…
04-03 15:38:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	58	16¢	$9	0xeb9723…
04-01 19:59:37	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0xd0d45a…
04-01 18:36:57	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0xa85505…
03-29 13:23:52	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8d4251…
03-29 13:23:48	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x84ab8a…
03-29 08:20:54	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	No	BUY	221	0¢	$1	0xc2e8e0…
03-27 16:59:17	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x497647…
03-27 16:58:45	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x432442…
03-27 09:04:23	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0xc68210…
03-23 12:39:59	will backpack launch a token on march 24	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0x3acfff…
03-23 12:18:05	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	118	0¢	$0	0x5796d9…
03-23 12:17:49	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3722ae…
03-23 12:17:43	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x957d5c…
03-23 12:17:29	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0xd0b8b8…
03-23 11:41:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	127	23¢	$29	0xd928cb…
03-23 11:22:49	fact check maduro capture staged	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa02014…
03-23 11:22:45	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x9a1054…
03-23 11:22:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x030bed…
03-23 11:20:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xef6da8…
03-23 11:20:03	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xb0ae91…
03-23 11:15:17	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x4bd68f…
03-23 11:14:45	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xbe10e1…
03-23 11:14:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	116	1¢	$1	0x0c5f58…
03-23 11:14:05	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x67b3a9…
03-22 13:57:41	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	G2 Esports	BUY	73	46¢	$34	0x4d880f…
03-22 13:57:27	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xafad66…
03-22 13:57:15	will backpack launch a token on march 23	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x963716…
03-21 16:20:37	lol blg jdg 2026 03 21	JD Gaming	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xb2e098…
03-19 18:51:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	101	6¢	$6	0xece207…
03-19 16:16:39	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0xe466ac…
03-19 16:16:33	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x3e547e…
03-19 16:01:05	lol gen ly 2026 03 19	LYON	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x734cb9…
03-19 15:49:17	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x9eae8d…
03-19 15:45:37	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x6462dd…
03-19 14:18:09	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	79¢	$79	0x33dbb3…
03-19 06:14:57	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	BUY	98	36¢	$35	0x042f4c…