Jaded-Parser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$7.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-26 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$18

Politics

24% 100% +$6

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	4	$826	534	534	+0	open	—	03-17 21:56
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	2	$642	370	370	+0	open	—	03-10 21:55
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 btts	2	$600	303	303	+0	open	—	06-23 04:32
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	2	$457	260	260	+0	open	—	03-06 21:57
btc updown 5m 1772884200	1	$260	28,892	0	+28,892	open	—	03-07 11:55
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 halftime result home	2	$256	156	156	+0	open	—	03-22 13:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$246	307	307	+0	open	—	04-07 22:01
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	5	$215	337	337	+0	open	—	04-01 14:16
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	2	$157	250	250	+0	open	—	05-02 20:33
btc updown 5m 1772361000	2	$154	146	146	+0	open	—	03-01 10:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$122	440	440	+0	open	—	05-06 16:01
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts first half	2	$117	61	61	+0	open	—	06-17 17:53
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	8	$103	18,378	16	+18,361	open	—	03-25 18:37
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	2	$100	206	206	+0	open	—	04-30 20:39
lal bar esp 2026 04 11 btts	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	04-11 17:52
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	3	$80	2,515	0	+2,515	open	—	03-08 22:04
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$77	123	123	+0	open	—	04-05 20:26
btc updown 5m 1772235300	2	$69	60	59	+0	open	—	02-27 23:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$67	80	80	+0	open	—	04-08 02:08
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	2	$52	32	32	+0	open	—	06-26 19:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$51	81	81	+0	open	—	06-15 03:36
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	3	$51	465	465	+0	open	—	03-06 20:47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$49	30	30	+0	open	—	03-08 07:55
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$43	33	33	+0	open	—	03-08 23:18
btc updown 5m 1772209200	2	$42	33	33	+0	open	—	02-27 16:25
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	2	$41	31	31	+0	open	—	03-17 21:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	2	$40	9,547	9,547	+0	open	—	05-22 22:45
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 new	3	$38	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 18:01
btc updown 5m 1772795100	2	$35	2,837	0	+2,837	open	—	03-06 11:10
sol updown 5m 1773441600	3	$35	38	20	+18	open	—	03-13 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 19:50:28	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xe1c09f…
06-26 07:08:04	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xf5b383…
06-25 22:01:32	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xb31fd0…
06-25 21:17:16	btc updown 5m 1782422100	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x841013…
06-25 10:11:35	btc updown 5m 1782382200	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1320f1…
06-23 19:38:38	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte2	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xbec9df…
06-23 11:35:10	btc updown 5m 1782214500	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x184e17…
06-23 11:32:58	btc updown 5m 1782214200	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xbada9a…
06-23 11:32:10	btc updown 5m 1782214200	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9db80e…
06-23 04:32:02	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	SELL	303	99¢	$300	0x22ee91…
06-23 04:30:56	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xda6a69…
06-21 05:32:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xeb9c80…
06-17 17:53:52	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts first half	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xd614c4…
06-17 17:51:11	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts first half	Yes	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0xfe28c3…
06-16 16:11:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0xaa9cbb…
06-16 16:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0xfc3001…
06-15 14:22:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x18d14e…
06-15 03:37:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xad8a25…
06-15 03:36:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0xd47af4…
06-13 21:28:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf32bfb…
06-13 11:04:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x85f0b5…
06-12 17:20:30	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x0d1d75…
06-12 17:16:36	btc updown 5m 1781284500	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3aca1f…
06-12 11:47:55	btc updown 5m 1781264700	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x65e6d8…
06-11 13:56:27	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3593ac…
06-11 13:56:09	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x106a2f…
06-11 13:55:15	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x868f29…
06-10 04:56:04	btc updown 5m 1781067000	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf2177d…
06-10 04:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781067000	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc3b27f…
06-08 03:36:39	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x33708e…
06-08 03:36:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf4b623…
06-07 20:08:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x33bfe4…
06-07 20:08:18	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x674df8…
06-07 19:32:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xecf4a0…
06-05 14:14:04	btc updown 15m 1780668000	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xeecc58…
06-05 14:09:04	eth updown 5m 1780668300	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa03388…
06-05 09:45:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	11¢	$12	0x7360e8…
06-05 09:45:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	24¢	$17	0x0f8226…
06-05 09:37:45	btc updown 5m 1780652100	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x38034a…
06-03 03:57:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a5cdc…
06-03 03:56:53	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb4c14b…
06-03 03:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbe75fd…
06-03 03:56:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x44a60d…
05-30 22:24:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xd4d086…
05-30 22:23:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xb436c3…
05-24 11:58:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x450919…
05-22 22:46:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x90120b…
05-22 22:45:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	SELL	9,547	0¢	$10	0xd2a648…
05-22 21:42:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	9,547	0¢	$30	0xc51ab4…
05-21 21:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x43ca47…
05-21 21:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x14147d…
05-21 21:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x52b29e…
05-21 21:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0eb4fb…
05-10 19:45:14	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x940c4c…
05-10 19:44:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x30cc1b…
05-06 16:01:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	440	15¢	$64	0xd41d76…
05-06 09:52:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x5466d0…
05-02 20:33:46	CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$7	0x5e2e31…
05-02 19:26:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x996cfc…
05-02 15:21:00	CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x78961b…
04-30 20:39:40	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x790fbe…
04-30 20:39:34	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	0¢	$0	0xbc54b5…
04-30 20:39:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x927322…
04-26 08:05:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x8ebbfc…
04-26 08:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb11116…
04-22 18:55:14	btc updown 5m 1776883800	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x055098…
04-22 18:53:46	btc updown 5m 1776883800	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa578a5…
04-22 18:50:38	btc updown 5m 1776883800	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9ea87e…
04-22 13:33:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb03ecb…
04-19 02:31:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb15324…
04-17 20:41:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x451815…
04-17 04:36:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0c350e…
04-13 15:40:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1ace62…
04-12 12:15:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x76ea6b…
04-12 11:32:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3caa44…
04-11 17:52:03	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 btts	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x032782…
04-11 17:50:55	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 btts	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x1abc7e…
04-09 07:50:11	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0x853912…
04-08 02:10:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xfa529d…
04-08 02:08:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0a4476…
04-07 22:25:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xe52b9f…
04-07 22:01:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0x24b4bb…
04-07 22:00:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x103c17…
04-07 21:30:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x658c80…
04-07 09:53:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	89	10¢	$9	0xbc4d38…
04-06 23:24:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4b23bc…
04-06 23:22:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xeba3d4…
04-05 20:26:17	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	22¢	$27	0xd86b8e…
04-05 17:14:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x203851…
04-05 12:29:59	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 btts	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x24516d…
04-05 12:29:07	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	41¢	$40	0xdff9c1…
04-05 12:27:03	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xaa3e7e…
04-04 23:56:35	btc updown 5m 1775346900	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe9f099…
04-04 19:58:13	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x8bb83a…
04-04 19:43:31	lal mad bar 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x1ad848…
04-04 17:43:29	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x378d7b…
04-02 14:00:59	lal mad bar 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x72a772…
04-01 21:11:05	will trump say hamas or hezbollah this week april 5	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x589cf5…
04-01 14:16:49	btc updown 5m 1775052900	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x33f51d…
04-01 14:16:09	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x792cd3…