Nippy-Conclusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$314

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-13 22:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 33% +$1

Politics

32% 0% $-50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$50	125	0	+125	No	$-50	04-24 09:10
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	1	$50	1,172	0	+1,172	open	—	04-24 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$30	1,109	0	+1,109	Down	$-30	05-13 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	Up	+$14	05-13 22:21
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	$-25	05-13 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Up	+$17	05-13 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Up	$-25	05-13 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Down	$-25	05-13 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$24	34	24	+10	Down	+$4	05-13 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$10	35	0	+35	Down	$-4	05-13 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$10	106	0	+106	Down	+$90	05-13 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	Down	$-5	05-13 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	Down	$-5	05-13 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	33	0	+33	Up	$-5	05-13 22:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 22:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xc938fd…
05-13 22:45:53	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xf13dfd…
05-13 22:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xb94688…
05-13 22:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x165cbb…
05-13 22:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	989	3¢	$25	0xb560b6…
05-13 22:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x35b000…
05-13 22:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x944b3f…
05-13 22:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb6ac8f…
05-13 22:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x3d83ec…
05-13 22:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf290e3…
05-13 22:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0x7f623e…
05-13 22:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc27bbf…
05-13 21:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x5695bb…
05-13 15:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9eb839…
05-13 15:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x3444c0…
05-13 15:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4605b3…
05-13 15:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x860855…
04-24 09:15:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	1,172	4¢	$50	0x2d086b…
04-24 09:10:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x5a792b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	13	$15.4K	203	05-13 22:55
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	12	$4.11K	641	05-13 22:57
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	12	$1.53K	101	05-13 22:55
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	12	$886	103	05-13 22:58
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	12	$552	82	05-13 22:59
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	11	$11.5K	1,135	05-13 22:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	11	$4.71K	298	05-13 22:59
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	11	$4.19K	336	05-13 22:59