Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$721

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

72% 5% -$16

Politics

11% 0% $0

Tech

10% 0% -$4

Crypto

6% 60% +$1

Sports

1% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	2	$55	57	57	+0	Yes	-$1	08-21 18:12
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	3	$54	69	69	+0	No	-$1	08-28 17:45
Will Melody Morris come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	2	$54	32	32	+0	No	-$1	08-29 02:14
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	2	$45	33	33	+0	No	-$1	07-20 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?	4	$44	77	77	+0	Yes	-$2	07-20 08:23
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?	2	$42	40	40	+0	No	-$4	07-22 14:23
Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	2	$39	49	49	+0	open	—	09-15 01:25
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	2	$29	102	102	+0	open	—	10-16 02:36
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$29	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:45
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 3, 2026?	2	$28	71	71	+0	No	-$1	10-18 08:31
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	2	$28	64	64	+0	open	—	10-17 01:31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?	2	$28	45	45	+0	open	—	10-21 00:54
Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$25	48	48	+0	No	-$5	10-18 20:28
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?	2	$24	63	63	+0	open	—	10-10 12:10
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	2	$24	62	62	+0	open	—	08-27 10:55
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 5%-10%?	3	$22	50	50	+0	open	—	10-13 17:51
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?	2	$20	75	75	+0	No	-$1	09-14 10:59
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	3	$18	83	83	+0	No	$0	09-23 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?	2	$17	36	36	+0	Yes	$0	07-19 21:11
Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	3	$10	43	43	+0	No	$0	08-21 16:16
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 16:00 UTC	1	$9	19	0	+19	Down	-$9	03-11 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 22?	2	$6	13	13	+0	No	+$0	07-20 08:56
nba sas den 2026 04 04	1	$6	13	0	+13	Nuggets	+$6	04-02 12:20
solana up or down january 29 8am et	1	$6	12	0	+12	Up	+$6	01-28 00:30
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 22?	2	$6	7	7	+0	No	+$0	07-20 08:01
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-20 08:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	03-19 10:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 35%-40%?	2	$5	13	13	+0	open	—	10-22 20:16
bitcoin up or down february 26 6am et	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	02-24 14:54
solana up or down on january 14	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	01-12 19:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	2	$5	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	07-19 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 21:46:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0xcbf4eb…
10-22 21:43:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xb084a3…
10-22 20:16:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xc67a0c…
10-22 19:55:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x7896ee…
10-21 00:54:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0x4bce49…
10-21 00:51:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x85e9d9…
10-18 20:28:14	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0x0ed65e…
10-18 20:25:57	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x1de7f6…
10-18 08:31:44	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	19¢	$13	0x624d56…
10-18 08:31:30	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xa8d5c4…
10-17 01:31:02	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	20¢	$13	0x44841c…
10-17 01:27:54	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	23¢	$15	0x1c6db6…
10-16 02:36:15	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	102	14¢	$14	0xb16930…
10-16 02:36:04	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	102	15¢	$15	0x60bf18…
10-13 17:51:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x6874c1…
10-13 17:51:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x8f360c…
10-13 17:51:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x29facd…
10-13 15:23:56	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x76133a…
10-13 15:21:07	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xcb6383…
10-10 12:10:40	Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	17¢	$11	0x2dec3c…
10-10 12:08:48	Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	21¢	$13	0x99c0f6…
09-23 02:22:52	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	11¢	$9	0xd9fa9e…
09-23 02:22:44	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0xb90aa8…
09-23 02:22:43	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x13f8ab…
09-15 01:25:55	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	49	36¢	$18	0x879107…
09-15 01:25:33	Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0x441b7a…
09-14 10:59:13	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	13¢	$10	0xb68f76…
09-14 10:58:52	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0x93eb77…
08-29 02:14:54	Will Melody Morris come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	No	SELL	32	82¢	$26	0x6dc1fd…
08-29 02:14:45	Will Melody Morris come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0xd5180f…
08-28 17:45:37	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	39¢	$27	0x30ec15…
08-28 17:45:28	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xf575d0…
08-28 17:45:28	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x35da13…
08-27 10:55:43	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x84a9de…
08-27 09:29:49	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	22¢	$14	0xf9f503…
08-21 18:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	57	48¢	$27	0xbdc72e…
08-21 18:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0xaf1902…
08-21 16:16:45	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0x061de5…
08-21 16:05:54	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x9ae324…
08-21 16:05:54	Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x770def…
08-21 11:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xec8474…
08-19 18:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xb28c0f…
07-22 22:45:12	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x65f861…
07-22 22:44:55	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x6e04cf…
07-22 14:23:12	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?	No	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x6df768…
07-22 14:16:57	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xe64281…
07-20 09:49:01	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	No	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0xf71221…
07-20 09:48:07	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xd4e505…
07-20 08:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x8bc06a…
07-20 08:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x14f3ae…
07-20 08:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x3693ff…
07-20 08:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0x04599c…
07-20 08:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x0420ea…
07-20 08:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	77	30¢	$23	0xc55c5a…
07-20 08:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x419f1f…
07-20 08:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x912bda…
07-20 05:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x772a3f…
07-19 23:06:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x667bbb…
07-19 21:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0x1ec6ca…
07-19 21:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x716476…
07-19 20:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x4ac122…
07-19 20:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x11cd30…
07-19 20:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 21?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x87c246…
04-02 12:20:55	nba sas den 2026 04 04	Nuggets	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0xf6cea5…
03-19 10:07:11	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd6f579…
03-11 18:08:59	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$9	0xa8d35e…
02-24 14:54:46	bitcoin up or down february 26 6am et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x19f10e…
02-13 10:25:27	bitcoin up or down february 14 7am et	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x5b9aef…
02-04 03:18:58	bitcoin up or down february 5 6am et	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd24eca…
01-28 00:30:41	solana up or down january 29 8am et	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xd534a1…
01-19 13:08:26	xrp up or down january 20 10am et	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe09687…
01-12 19:41:51	solana up or down on january 14	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x9a6889…
01-07 03:39:49	xrp up or down january 7 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x30f724…
01-01 16:41:23	ethereum up or down january 3 9am et	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf0a5f9…