Scrawny-Saw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$432

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

2,637

Trades

3,126

lifetime

Volume

$7.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-28 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 43% -$303

Other

17% 45% -$23

Sports

1% 0% -$94

Politics

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+113	$6	3¢	$3	-$2	10-04 12:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	84	$89	89,070	0	+89,070	No	-$89	05-12 12:20
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	3	$53	39	38	+1	Yes	+$23	04-14 21:07
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	2	$36	26	26	+0	Yes	+$16	04-28 21:54
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	24	$27	27,360	0	+27,360	Yes	-$27	05-12 18:11
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	04-14 21:07
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	04-14 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$12	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	05-15 15:51
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$12	49	0	+49	Down	+$37	05-27 10:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$12	26	0	+26	Up	-$12	05-15 15:48
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$12	1,150	0	+1,150	Up	-$12	05-15 17:21
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$11	19	0	+19	Up	-$11	05-15 17:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$11	46	0	+46	Down	-$11	05-27 11:08
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$11	15	0	+15	Down	+$3	05-15 16:52
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	05-15 17:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$11	16	0	+16	Up	+$4	05-15 16:14
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$11	14	0	+14	Up	+$3	05-15 17:07
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$11	319	319	+0	open	—	05-18 21:00
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$11	821	821	+0	open	—	05-24 13:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:45 UTC	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	-$10	04-14 19:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:55 UTC	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	04-14 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:25 UTC	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	+$12	04-14 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:30 UTC	1	$10	55	0	+55	Down	+$45	04-14 19:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:35 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	04-15 21:36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$10	18	0	+18	Yes	+$8	04-28 15:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:55 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	04-14 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:15 UTC	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	04-14 20:18
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$10	19	19	+0	No	$0	04-25 23:18
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 16:15 UTC	14	$10	46	0	+46	Down	-$5	06-10 16:29
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 17:15 UTC	7	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-10 17:24
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 09:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:21:56	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xb95639…
10-28 20:21:43	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x823628…
10-28 20:21:25	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x7c3330…
10-27 19:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xccb808…
10-24 11:55:39	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd660f2…
10-24 11:55:02	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8190e2…
10-24 11:54:44	Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xec72c6…
10-24 11:54:18	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x8a1d84…
10-24 11:53:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf490ce…
10-20 19:01:27	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x4b2424…
10-20 18:47:54	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc9c011…
10-20 18:47:32	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xffc965…
10-20 18:38:53	Will FC Porto vs. PSV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6ad166…
10-20 18:38:38	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x7307de…
10-20 18:37:23	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb3d959…
10-20 18:36:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x801e61…
10-17 20:12:29	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x742389…
10-17 20:12:08	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa6de2c…
10-17 20:11:57	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x59332a…
10-17 20:11:36	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x13bbe1…
10-17 20:11:14	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf57ac1…
10-17 18:12:29	Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x1a0e53…
10-17 18:11:41	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x43faa6…
10-14 15:54:52	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9d904f…
10-14 15:54:00	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xff4014…
10-09 21:03:52	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x3b448c…
10-09 21:02:56	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x1e2c31…
10-09 21:01:58	Will Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x47d68c…
10-09 21:01:02	Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb6c6ba…
10-09 20:58:26	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xead8e7…
10-09 20:57:23	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb44115…
10-09 20:56:08	Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xcb4c00…
10-09 20:55:05	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x7874b7…
10-06 19:28:14	Will Belarus vs. Finland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x45dfaa…
10-06 19:26:12	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x1ad75a…
10-05 19:21:28	Will Italy vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xfc40c7…
10-05 19:20:05	Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x1e8d2d…
10-05 19:19:40	Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xb9613e…
10-05 19:18:59	Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf93f1b…
10-05 19:17:44	Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x5a6297…
10-04 22:00:55	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xd40978…
10-04 12:23:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	5¢	$6	0x81879f…
07-01 03:07:52	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xfa9674…
07-01 03:07:38	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x05416e…
07-01 03:07:29	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xaf67a7…
07-01 03:07:17	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd27829…
07-01 03:06:58	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x12a33d…
07-01 03:06:49	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb6215a…
06-27 12:12:44	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x474620…
06-27 12:12:10	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x352b4f…
06-27 12:11:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3d9de1…
06-26 06:14:10	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa10fff…
06-26 06:13:41	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x30b9f3…
06-26 06:13:14	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x874aa2…
06-26 06:12:47	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x62708e…
06-26 06:12:29	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa74219…
06-26 06:11:59	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1fb59d…
06-26 06:11:41	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x83a167…
06-26 06:11:22	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb8a272…
06-23 19:08:55	Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa19219…
06-23 19:08:46	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1b8d67…
06-23 19:08:38	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6a0371…
06-23 19:08:29	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xf2badc…
06-23 19:08:14	Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xa379bb…
06-23 19:07:59	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x077dc8…
06-23 19:07:53	Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2035cd…
06-23 19:07:38	Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb31d72…
06-23 19:07:26	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x716fff…
06-23 19:07:10	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe3e50a…
06-23 19:06:43	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1e65bb…
06-21 10:32:10	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xdec989…
06-21 10:31:49	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x70403f…
06-21 10:31:37	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8fb8e2…
06-21 10:31:28	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8ab396…
06-21 10:31:14	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x554c10…
06-21 10:30:59	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbad564…
06-21 10:30:38	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x2a8a59…
06-21 10:30:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4aa257…
06-21 10:29:56	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x153772…
06-21 10:29:38	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe93c4f…
06-21 10:29:26	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4eb0c4…
06-21 10:28:47	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x3ed338…
06-20 12:56:31	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x62390d…
06-20 12:56:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa09e8a…
06-20 12:56:07	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4084a9…
06-18 18:11:22	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc39fc1…
06-17 05:15:47	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3392b1…
06-17 05:15:31	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf3d617…
06-17 05:15:19	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x37a8a1…
06-17 05:15:07	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x622468…
06-17 05:14:56	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2811bf…
06-17 05:14:43	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb3fb10…
06-17 05:14:29	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x322803…
06-15 11:47:30	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x56c696…
06-15 11:47:21	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x33cef7…
06-15 11:47:09	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x301e06…
06-15 11:46:37	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc8e9ec…
06-15 11:46:22	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7904b5…
06-15 11:45:48	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xa6d344…
06-15 11:45:21	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdceffa…