Rough-Urgency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$747

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

Trades

10,852

lifetime

Volume

$3.44M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$317

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

61% — —

Other

35% 70% +$747

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	21	$178.1K	89,607	89,607	+0	open	—	01-20 09:55
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	209	$174.3K	87,375	87,370	+5	open	—	01-29 00:57
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	240	$156.1K	79,954	76,872	+3,083	open	—	02-21 01:14
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	399	$154.4K	77,590	77,562	+28	open	—	02-19 05:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	57	$141.8K	71,107	71,107	+0	open	—	01-26 07:35
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	57	$140.8K	70,683	70,683	+0	open	—	01-03 13:30
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	114	$109.0K	56,432	53,234	+3,197	open	—	02-19 05:28
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	260	$104.2K	52,231	52,244	-13	open	—	01-28 10:33
will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	173	$99.4K	48,834	50,951	-2,117	open	—	02-25 13:01
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	211	$93.4K	46,780	46,780	+0	open	—	01-31 06:26
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	96	$93.1K	46,616	46,919	-304	open	—	02-19 14:25
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	169	$92.1K	46,251	46,251	+0	open	—	02-14 20:03
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	36	$90.8K	45,563	45,563	+0	open	—	01-02 11:36
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	118	$75.8K	38,061	38,061	+0	open	—	02-18 05:46
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	52	$64.8K	32,500	32,500	+0	open	—	01-28 03:24
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	98	$63.1K	39,768	23,453	+16,315	open	—	01-31 12:09
will israel nuke iran by january 31	133	$59.4K	29,806	29,806	+0	open	—	01-22 08:48
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	64	$48.8K	22,997	26,062	-3,065	open	—	02-26 13:21
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	48	$48.2K	28,704	19,728	+8,976	open	—	02-03 06:28
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	76	$46.1K	23,185	23,185	+0	open	—	02-10 11:07
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	99	$45.3K	23,925	21,622	+2,303	open	—	02-13 07:40
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	186	$44.4K	22,346	22,346	+0	open	—	03-14 13:50
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	14	$41.4K	20,758	20,758	+0	open	—	02-19 11:45
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	173	$41.2K	20,720	20,720	+0	open	—	02-09 05:05
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	52	$34.5K	17,302	17,302	+0	open	—	02-25 11:37
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	5	$30.0K	14,998	14,998	+0	open	—	01-25 15:56
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	10	$28.0K	9,009	19,009	-10,000	open	—	01-02 12:10
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	18	$27.2K	13,432	13,835	-402	open	—	01-25 13:09
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	87	$25.9K	13,027	13,027	+0	open	—	03-15 05:53
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	75	$25.3K	12,778	12,778	+0	open	—	03-10 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 16:19:54	next google gemini flash model released by august 13 2026	No	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x283923…
08-13 16:19:30	next google gemini flash model released by august 13 2026	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0ae960…
08-13 16:19:28	next google gemini flash model released by august 13 2026	No	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x12eb8c…
08-11 09:24:58	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x51c5b9…
08-11 09:24:19	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x32bb2a…
08-11 09:15:28	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xd09012…
08-11 09:15:28	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xcb4ddc…
08-11 09:15:28	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x3ca125…
08-11 09:15:28	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2e064d…
08-11 09:15:28	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	92	50¢	$46	0x2ce417…
08-11 09:15:28	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x038567…
08-11 09:15:28	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x008b76…
08-11 09:10:00	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	96	50¢	$48	0x1b666d…
08-11 09:09:58	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe6d9ad…
08-11 09:09:58	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ae208…
08-11 09:09:58	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x443373…
08-11 09:09:58	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x36e210…
07-27 13:51:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	233	90¢	$209	0xbd3f8b…
07-27 12:30:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	145	88¢	$128	0xbe9593…
07-27 12:21:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	88	88¢	$78	0x3ac1b1…
07-27 11:50:43	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	228	90¢	$206	0xb15447…
07-27 09:10:40	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	228	87¢	$199	0xe1a41c…
07-27 08:42:46	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	108	88¢	$95	0xe40d8a…
07-27 07:47:51	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	108	87¢	$95	0x3c9555…
07-05 09:48:59	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Norway	SELL	10,558	70¢	$7,391	0x839dab…
07-05 09:37:53	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10,558	70¢	$7,391	0x93b292…
07-01 07:48:37	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x7263a0…
07-01 07:47:10	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x4ba610…
07-01 07:44:20	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x067cc7…
07-01 07:41:37	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	884	25¢	$221	0x0d1913…
06-05 08:18:34	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	74	20¢	$15	0x59c2d5…
06-05 07:27:07	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	74	15¢	$11	0xb2f98a…
06-05 07:14:45	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x4e66b9…
06-05 06:57:00	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x18ded8…
06-05 06:55:21	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xf8b0be…
06-05 06:49:00	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x7b79e9…
06-05 06:46:57	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x3a04bc…
06-05 06:06:31	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0xec31aa…
06-05 06:06:12	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	37	25¢	$9	0x90a7f7…
06-05 06:06:12	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x59c142…
06-05 05:50:55	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x4ad4ba…
06-05 05:50:54	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x935633…
06-05 05:49:43	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xb3e590…
06-05 05:48:45	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	75	24¢	$18	0x94b9b7…
06-04 09:52:25	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	60	34¢	$20	0x9d591c…
06-04 09:52:21	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	62	34¢	$21	0xe74898…
06-04 09:52:15	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xb4dd26…
06-04 09:52:15	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x6bcb34…
06-04 09:52:12	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xe6d5a2…
06-04 09:52:12	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xb1f68b…
06-04 09:52:12	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x3b97ad…
06-04 09:52:07	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x919a2b…
06-04 09:52:07	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x4b9332…
06-04 09:52:06	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xca3e3a…
06-04 09:52:03	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x9c38b0…
06-04 09:52:01	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x93c55b…
06-04 09:52:01	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x0a219a…
06-04 09:51:33	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x3e5123…
06-04 09:48:48	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xae6dd6…
06-04 09:48:46	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xf57aba…
06-04 09:48:46	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xbd8589…
06-04 09:48:43	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xacd9f3…
06-04 09:48:43	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x0f2842…
06-04 09:48:42	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x6f2f20…
06-04 09:48:40	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x3a17a3…
06-04 09:48:39	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xdc54a3…
06-04 08:49:33	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x5c8fff…
06-04 08:49:31	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xb884e0…
06-04 08:49:31	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0xb3cbb6…
06-04 08:49:31	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x24b4f5…
06-04 08:49:30	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xfa6f1d…
06-04 08:49:30	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xed4d53…
06-04 08:49:30	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xc46eac…
06-04 08:49:30	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x4459e5…
06-04 08:49:27	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xe644f0…
06-04 08:49:27	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xb1213b…
06-04 08:49:25	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x9c1dc9…
06-04 08:45:34	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x5628b6…
06-04 08:31:06	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x1105b5…
06-04 08:31:00	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x547516…
06-04 08:31:00	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x167a62…
06-04 08:17:48	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x08e437…
06-04 08:17:42	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xfaf674…
06-04 08:17:19	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xc44547…
06-04 08:17:15	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf7a3eb…
06-04 08:17:15	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xcf1d92…
06-04 08:17:15	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x350587…
06-04 08:17:13	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xb3680f…
06-04 08:15:54	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xb1d418…
06-04 08:15:52	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x75e3ed…
06-04 08:15:51	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xef310a…
06-04 08:15:46	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xd45bc8…
06-04 08:15:43	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xa04bcb…
06-04 08:09:13	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	375	35¢	$131	0x6624e1…
06-04 08:09:00	wti up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	366	35¢	$128	0x255c76…
06-04 08:07:49	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x9b924e…
06-04 07:30:40	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x91d4f9…
06-04 07:29:46	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x9268ed…
06-04 07:26:00	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0x6dcf6e…
06-04 07:19:46	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x9372e9…