Neglected-Dissonance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$298

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

329

Trades

791

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-29 04:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

64% 44% -$51

Politics

17% 21% -$172

Sports

17% 56% -$57

Crypto

3% 62% -$19

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$557	311	311	+0	No	-$41	05-15 06:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$535	307	307	+0	No	-$62	05-23 08:49
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	8	$404	247	247	-0	Aryna Sabalenka	+$6	06-01 19:42
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	18	$306	277	277	+0	Team Yandex	-$45	05-30 14:42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	7	$303	154	154	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$3	05-14 12:02
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	3	$302	154	154	+0	Yes	+$5	05-13 18:12
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2	$300	153	153	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	$0	05-28 09:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$299	154	154	+0	No	$0	05-23 07:39
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina	2	$296	154	154	+0	Aryna Sabalenka	-$4	05-30 13:31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	2	$282	153	153	+0	Jannik Sinner	-$12	05-15 18:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	4	$236	154	154	+0	No	-$64	05-23 08:49
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	4	$199	109	109	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$16	06-01 15:05
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	9	$189	156	156	+0	Angela Hill	-$12	05-30 08:57
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	12	$150	123	113	+10	Matteo Arnaldi	+$10	06-01 23:19
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	4	$150	154	0	+154	Miami Marlins	+$4	05-14 02:15
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks	2	$150	154	0	+154	Indiana Fever	+$4	05-14 04:13
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	1	$150	155	0	+155	Valencia	+$5	05-13 20:49
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulp	1	$147	153	0	+153	Francisco Cerundolo	+$7	05-25 17:39
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	7	$104	71	71	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$4	05-30 01:11
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies	2	$103	53	53	+0	Ireland	+$3	06-01 18:52
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	2	$96	98	0	+98	Seattle Mariners	+$2	05-14 20:43
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$94	52	52	+0	Detroit Tigers	+$6	06-02 01:00
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton	3	$79	51	51	+0	Zachary Svajda	+$20	05-28 11:54
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	2	$70	46	46	+0	Knicks	+$20	05-26 01:47
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	4	$66	44	44	+0	Diana Shnaider	-$14	06-03 13:30
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$65	40	40	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$15	05-28 18:00
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kessler	4	$64	39	39	+0	McCartney Kessler	+$14	05-25 22:14
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	7	$62	49	49	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$4	06-02 20:57
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)	5	$62	34	34	+0	Heroic	-$1	06-03 19:12
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakova	4	$59	46	46	+0	Victoria Mboko	+$2	05-28 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 04:22:31	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9265f4…
08-29 04:07:49	wti up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x44c90f…
08-27 12:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x88497f…
08-27 11:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 28?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6fabe4…
08-25 06:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5b8d3f…
08-25 06:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa1f0ba…
08-23 22:49:12	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 24?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x41ae57…
08-20 16:01:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xdde35d…
08-20 16:01:25	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x965e57…
08-20 16:01:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x33add8…
06-25 05:12:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xfc410a…
06-25 05:02:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xfb8d42…
06-25 05:02:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x237147…
06-25 04:57:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x04567b…
06-25 04:57:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x78eea1…
06-25 04:57:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x369376…
06-25 04:57:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xe3e7c5…
06-25 04:57:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x16e6f1…
06-25 04:57:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x23f4a9…
06-25 04:52:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xbc51b5…
06-25 01:32:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x75f117…
06-24 22:01:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x092ec4…
06-24 21:37:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x407e2f…
06-24 21:12:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x816d3a…
06-24 21:02:35	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xadfb8f…
06-24 20:52:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xc1da0e…
06-24 20:52:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6c0a74…
06-24 20:52:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe1452f…
06-24 20:52:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x53915f…
06-24 20:32:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xc51a5c…
06-21 05:08:56	Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0b25e0…
06-20 00:03:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6bcede…
06-19 14:37:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x145865…
06-19 13:07:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc4bee9…
06-19 06:53:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x474b63…
06-19 06:42:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2d0f91…
06-19 05:52:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xcac9de…
06-19 01:23:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x552074…
06-19 00:42:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x77db00…
06-19 00:32:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0ec546…
06-18 23:52:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc147c4…
06-18 23:32:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbbc5f7…
06-18 23:23:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xca2995…
06-18 23:13:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4044dc…
06-18 21:47:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x54b0b3…
06-18 21:03:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x811afc…
06-18 20:33:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4f9239…
06-18 20:28:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x68e256…
06-18 19:43:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x522068…
06-18 19:38:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbce087…
06-18 19:33:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbb7c7f…
06-18 12:47:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc6a892…
06-18 12:42:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x57919e…
06-18 12:22:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x174991…
06-18 12:12:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x048af0…
06-18 12:02:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc7976d…
06-18 11:58:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x59f0c1…
06-18 11:53:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x852757…
06-18 10:48:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8e56a7…
06-18 09:42:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7c1f73…
06-18 06:02:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdca744…
06-18 04:07:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x2a9095…
06-18 03:42:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x3c7f4a…
06-10 16:05:58	Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xe59686…
06-10 16:05:42	Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xc89288…
06-10 14:14:51	Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xae7859…
06-10 13:10:18	Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x3bdc51…
06-10 03:44:07	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	7¢	$11	0x3718ff…
06-10 02:10:10	mlb atl cws 2026 06 09	Atlanta Braves	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x596483…
06-10 01:39:34	mlb phi tor 2026 06 09	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x348480…
06-10 01:29:06	mlb atl cws 2026 06 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf94ac2…
06-09 06:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x2fe5da…
06-09 06:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x6a4a77…
06-09 06:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xceb943…
06-09 06:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x5ee048…
06-09 06:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x309afa…
06-08 21:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0x43f246…
06-08 21:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x0cc84c…
06-08 19:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 8?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xfff53b…
06-08 19:16:15	cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08	BIG	BUY	273	0¢	$0	0x93e924…
06-08 18:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x1ded8b…
06-08 18:27:34	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	M80	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x0466b9…
06-08 18:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 8?	No	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xece60c…
06-08 18:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 8?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8b9b33…
06-08 18:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 8?	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x4c7bc5…
06-08 18:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe52aac…
06-08 18:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x7eca1b…
06-08 17:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x513262…
06-08 17:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x9db558…
06-08 17:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x1a0f4c…
06-08 17:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xfd4a48…
06-08 17:47:49	Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	6¢	$10	0x83b9f7…
06-08 17:47:09	cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08	BIG	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x0b40ee…
06-08 17:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x8df016…
06-08 17:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on June 8?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xb7adb5…
06-08 17:24:30	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	M80	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xf98417…
06-08 17:24:27	cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08	BIG	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0xb3d99b…
06-08 17:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x11f31f…
06-08 16:49:52	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	10¢	$14	0xdfad3d…
06-08 16:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x704af6…