Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

119

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 09-22 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

41% 52% +$24

Other

39% 76% +$87

Crypto

13% 54% +$65

Sports

7% 57% -$13

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$80	45	45	+0	No	+$4	03-08 10:13
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	5	$80	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	09-13 21:44
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	10	$71	90	70	+20	No	-$10	03-28 20:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$67	56	56	+0	Yes	+$44	05-09 08:22
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	2	$52	55	0	+55	No	+$3	05-22 20:11
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	7	$49	55	55	+0	No	+$3	08-29 23:34
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	5	$47	30	30	+0	Yes	+$4	08-28 15:14
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	3	$46	30	30	+0	No	+$8	09-22 15:20
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	6	$42	98	98	+0	Yes	+$2	04-04 10:13
will iran strike kuwait in march	3	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	03-02 19:14
will hillary say bill clinton during her epstein testimony	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-26 18:59
Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini?	1	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	09-18 05:59
will hillary say trump 5 times during her epstein testimony	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$1	02-26 18:23
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	3	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	03-04 11:46
Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 80–85%?	6	$34	40	40	+0	Yes	-$18	08-29 22:41
will iran strike jordan in march	4	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	03-02 20:49
Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by at least 15%?	1	$32	40	0	+40	No	+$8	08-29 18:40
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 26 2026	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$8	04-02 00:15
will starmer say conservative during the next prime ministers questions 926	2	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	03-04 12:56
will starmer say europe during the next prime ministers questions 637	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	03-04 12:54
will starmer say green during the next prime ministers questions 892	6	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	03-04 12:52
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?	3	$29	20	20	+0	No	+$3	03-09 18:41
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	-$5	03-09 18:08
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	1	$28	30	0	+30	Yes	-$28	05-14 22:28
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	3	$27	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	03-01 21:15
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$8	03-03 23:28
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$3	03-09 13:44
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	5	$25	30	0	+30	Yes	+$5	02-27 09:34
will marco rubio visit israel by march 2	2	$24	20	20	+0	No	-$8	02-28 10:41
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	1	$24	50	0	+50	Yes	+$26	09-21 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 15:20:00	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf0bad8…
09-22 12:00:40	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xf40b31…
09-22 11:47:24	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xcf2ae2…
09-21 13:21:20	CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x38dd4e…
09-19 11:13:56	will the greenland agreement text be released by september 23 2026 copy copy	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xc8d354…
09-18 05:59:12	Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xc11117…
09-13 21:44:30	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0xc4a6d7…
09-13 21:31:55	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x815e89…
09-13 13:58:36	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x89c19f…
09-13 13:14:37	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x825a42…
09-13 10:24:40	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x1d343b…
09-13 08:37:12	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x7d97f2…
09-12 18:21:18	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x590623…
09-12 17:06:33	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x3501ae…
09-11 09:20:39	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x5c9db4…
08-29 23:34:39	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x2e04e2…
08-29 23:31:04	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x78c319…
08-29 22:41:15	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 80–85%?	Yes	SELL	39	18¢	$7	0x5a3a48…
08-29 21:44:49	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 80–85%?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x817e51…
08-29 21:41:28	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 75–80%?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9e146a…
08-29 18:58:12	Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by 6–9%?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x7380de…
08-29 18:40:06	Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by at least 15%?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xa39a87…
08-29 18:18:01	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 80–85%?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xeffd67…
08-29 18:15:06	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 80–85%?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x27000a…
08-29 18:14:31	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 80–85%?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x73c99a…
08-29 18:10:36	Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 80–85%?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x42b2b4…
08-29 10:06:22	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xae76ea…
08-28 15:14:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x5059d8…
08-28 13:37:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x37f22f…
08-28 13:08:27	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x9317f8…
08-28 12:56:48	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x5b418d…
08-28 11:21:27	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x942ee1…
08-27 20:07:36	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdda02b…
08-27 20:06:24	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x133274…
05-29 15:08:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xfa1993…
05-29 15:07:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x3efa18…
05-27 17:13:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x12a753…
05-23 04:59:20	Will Donald Trump dance on May 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x354a0e…
05-22 20:11:11	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x2f3df4…
05-22 20:08:40	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xb77d13…
05-21 18:24:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xdbcec4…
05-16 20:41:53	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x360cec…
05-15 11:31:52	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xd5d0dc…
05-14 22:28:39	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xcefaad…
05-14 14:35:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xc64aeb…
05-10 11:01:46	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xf8591c…
05-10 10:49:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x8c916c…
05-10 10:49:02	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xf040f8…
05-10 10:46:52	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xa775b0…
05-10 10:46:28	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xe39d4b…
05-09 08:22:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0xd73092…
05-08 18:06:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x201eca…
04-04 10:14:37	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa27841…
04-04 10:13:49	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x403e92…
04-02 14:27:11	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x1cb08a…
04-02 07:11:13	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 29 2026	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd4a97f…
04-02 00:15:19	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 26 2026	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xabec69…
03-31 09:40:57	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xbdb2ed…
03-29 09:14:02	will iran strike iraq again in march	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x1a849d…
03-28 20:19:48	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa0c96f…
03-28 17:44:37	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x1aadfd…
03-28 17:34:45	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x363df1…
03-28 10:01:35	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0xec28af…
03-28 10:00:57	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x86284a…
03-28 09:43:19	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x237741…
03-27 23:34:55	f1 japanese grand prix safety car 2026 03 29	No	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xa93dc5…
03-27 20:47:43	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x9fdd1c…
03-27 20:47:43	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x46ac24…
03-27 20:17:51	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 26 2026	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe7d556…
03-27 19:49:53	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xeab959…
03-27 19:48:47	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xafdf44…
03-26 22:51:03	will trump dance during national agriculture day event	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe154cf…
03-26 22:45:41	will trump dance during national agriculture day event	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x9be8dd…
03-26 18:02:35	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf631e4…
03-24 15:36:59	will iran strike syria in march	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x8a0f73…
03-21 07:28:03	will annie soucat be the next mayor of arcis sur aube	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc295f0…
03-21 06:33:31	will annie soucat be the next mayor of arcis sur aube	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x88c07a…
03-21 05:34:21	will annie soucat be the next mayor of arcis sur aube	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd0cd1c…
03-20 07:10:05	will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 22000 by march 20 654	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xfd86aa…
03-18 20:05:35	will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 20000 by march 20 423	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1fcef8…
03-18 19:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x39f976…
03-18 19:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x8de82b…
03-18 14:42:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa7606d…
03-18 14:42:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x90787a…
03-18 14:42:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b7242…
03-18 08:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x56a7f3…
03-18 08:48:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x711eeb…
03-18 08:32:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x544d46…
03-18 08:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb516e6…
03-18 08:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd5cc59…
03-18 03:22:09	will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 20000 by march 20 423	Yes	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0x0189f9…
03-17 20:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb82c4d…
03-17 20:44:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x92ba87…
03-17 20:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd4747d…
03-17 20:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x8fc20e…
03-17 20:13:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd93930…
03-17 19:18:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbd096f…
03-17 19:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x230968…
03-17 19:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8c2fa5…
03-17 19:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x514a90…