Admirable-Relative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

211

Trades

1,169

lifetime

Volume

$4.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 05-13 01:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 42% $-10

Other

41% — —

Politics

13% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	16	$245	240	240	+0	open	—	03-17 15:09
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	5	$189	122	122	+0	open	—	03-16 16:35
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$149	141	141	+0	open	—	03-01 15:20
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	6	$132	90	90	+0	open	—	03-18 21:08
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	5	$123	90	60	+30	open	—	03-18 20:30
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	21	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	03-23 08:09
cs2 faze aur1 2026 03 18	8	$104	120	120	+0	open	—	03-18 20:41
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	21	$102	101	101	+0	open	—	03-23 08:08
epl bre wol 2026 03 16 bre	4	$99	60	60	+0	open	—	03-16 22:09
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	16	$90	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 16:57
nba lal hou 2026 03 18	4	$76	60	60	+0	open	—	03-19 05:05
lal bil bet 2026 03 22 bil	6	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	03-22 19:09
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$64	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 20:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	27	$62	70	53	+17	open	—	04-26 10:52
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18 total 164pt5	4	$61	90	30	+60	open	—	03-19 03:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$57	70	0	+70	open	—	02-24 07:37
atp gurri molcan 2026 03 18	4	$56	60	60	+0	open	—	03-19 11:24
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	3	$56	60	30	+30	open	—	03-18 23:03
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	3	$55	61	30	+31	open	—	03-19 02:56
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	4	$54	60	60	+0	open	—	03-18 18:24
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	8	$53	40	40	+0	open	—	03-22 16:51
sea cre fio 2026 03 16 fio	2	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	03-16 20:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	03-19 15:59
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$45	30	30	+0	open	—	03-19 14:50
atp basilas navone 2026 03 18	4	$45	60	60	+0	open	—	03-19 15:28
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	8	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	03-22 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	26	$44	70	52	+18	open	—	04-26 10:52
uel scb ftc 2026 03 18 scb	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	03-18 15:35
will uae strike iran by march 31	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	03-08 11:27
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$36	100	100	+0	open	—	02-23 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 01:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xff88dd…
05-13 01:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x0c6f53…
05-13 00:41:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x85c165…
05-13 00:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x8f08a9…
05-13 00:34:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x5020ec…
05-13 00:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd76485…
05-13 00:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x27b56b…
05-13 00:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xa196c7…
05-13 00:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x0a331e…
05-13 00:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbf20a4…
05-13 00:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xabcfc2…
05-13 00:23:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd57291…
05-13 00:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x9547d4…
05-13 00:22:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3995df…
05-13 00:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1808a7…
05-13 00:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd4cdf4…
05-13 00:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xcd28e0…
05-12 23:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x2eaf13…
05-12 23:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x14e321…
05-12 21:22:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xad1670…
05-12 21:08:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xdff17e…
05-12 20:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xcb1c16…
05-12 20:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x0604bc…
05-12 20:52:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xe8341c…
05-12 20:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6bc470…
05-12 18:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xca8600…
05-12 18:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x49a387…
05-12 18:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x8aeacc…
05-12 18:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x2c9ea3…
05-12 17:06:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xf9c1fe…
05-12 16:19:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xf952e0…
05-12 16:17:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x62fe37…
05-12 16:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x178082…
05-12 16:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x972496…
05-12 16:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x8fa6a5…
05-12 16:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe30a3e…
05-12 16:10:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc06a77…
05-12 16:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x2eaf7a…
05-12 16:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x3c4305…
05-12 15:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xe2f853…
05-12 15:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xe089d9…
05-12 15:46:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xcfb6d6…
05-12 15:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x1244bc…
05-12 15:30:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x6a2878…
05-12 15:25:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x95d6f5…
05-12 15:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x6eaf4c…
05-12 14:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x26bc06…
05-12 14:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x171b7e…
05-12 14:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb63380…
05-12 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xc02b19…
05-12 14:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb94eb9…
05-12 13:32:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x89fd9b…
05-12 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdc1793…
05-12 13:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x067012…
05-12 12:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x407a20…
05-12 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x042d9e…
05-12 12:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x7d8177…
05-12 12:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9e9f62…
05-12 12:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe1b244…
05-12 12:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x364265…
05-12 10:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x084150…
05-12 10:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x078f31…
05-12 10:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9c859d…
05-12 10:57:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x66a458…
05-12 08:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xfa6344…
05-12 08:40:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc8e78b…
05-12 08:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x16bd8f…
05-12 08:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1578e8…
05-12 07:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x974e09…
05-12 07:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x51f7fd…
05-12 07:00:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5b6619…
05-12 07:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4dcbda…
05-12 06:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb564cb…
05-12 06:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x78490b…
05-12 05:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xef5bb2…
05-12 05:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8219b5…
05-12 05:08:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xe934ca…
05-12 05:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x620dda…
05-12 05:08:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7dda57…
05-12 05:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6a9811…
05-12 04:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf2af82…
05-12 04:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa30704…
05-12 04:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1307f1…
05-12 04:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x279d13…
05-12 04:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x848313…
05-12 04:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x537300…
05-12 03:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x6ccb60…
05-12 03:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3f2e78…
05-12 02:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x36271e…
05-12 02:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2c0917…
05-12 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x22ffdc…
05-12 02:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x9f6d19…
05-12 01:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcfe373…
05-12 01:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x85e718…
05-12 01:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x995c47…
05-12 01:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbbe409…
05-12 01:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x04d55b…
05-12 00:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x434388…
05-12 00:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0269ba…
05-12 00:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x99277c…