Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$57

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$47

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-25 10:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

72% 49% -$770

Politics

21% 25% -$282

Sports

5% 43% +$74

Crypto

2% 0% -$298

Tech

1% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+160	$22	12¢	$19	-$3	08-21 23:09
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	-366	-$88	4¢	$-14	+$74	05-03 19:04
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+600	$28	2¢	$14	-$14	07-07 22:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	31	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$20	01-29 10:06
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	20	$1.5K	2,593	1,400	+1,193	Yes	+$9	01-30 16:38
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	11	$1.5K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$187	02-09 14:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$1.5K	1,410	1,410	+0	Yes	-$150	02-02 09:38
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$680	500	500	+0	Yes	+$310	01-03 09:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	6	$497	859	859	+0	Yes	-$301	06-12 04:52
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$493	400	200	+200	No	-$7	02-15 02:48
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$363	300	300	+0	Yes	-$195	02-28 20:02
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 321 977 231 512 671 595	2	$352	200	200	+0	No	-$24	02-13 00:51
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	11	$350	663	0	+663	Yes	-$350	02-03 15:00
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	6	$305	198	182	+16	open	—	08-16 03:05
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$297	495	0	+495	No	-$297	02-23 04:33
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$286	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	02-28 20:01
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	4	$256	200	200	+0	No	+$44	07-26 13:12
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	2	$242	240	240	+0	Under	+$36	06-18 16:20
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	3	$212	200	200	+0	Colombia	-$8	06-18 03:20
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$3	03-14 18:06
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	1	$190	200	0	+200	Yes	+$10	03-16 12:29
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	9	$180	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$180	02-11 10:15
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 16 2026 412	2	$178	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-11 10:06
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	4	$173	140	140	+0	Yes	+$35	08-25 04:13
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$172	100	100	+0	No	+$6	03-14 18:06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$165	300	0	+300	Yes	-$165	04-07 17:30
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	5	$162	200	0	+200	No	+$38	02-21 08:41
nba hou sac 2026 01 11	2	$160	500	500	+0	Kings	+$0	01-11 14:51
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$117	300	0	+300	Yes	+$183	02-08 11:39
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by feb 20	2	$102	80	80	+0	No	-$19	02-13 09:22
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	1	$102	200	0	+200	Under	-$102	06-19 06:12
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	5	$100	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-16 08:08
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	7	$88	0	366	-366	open	—	05-03 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 10:52:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x6ec7ca…
08-25 04:13:30	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	74¢	$104	0x5efeea…
08-22 02:06:40	will spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy pop 933	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x5e2909…
08-21 23:09:52	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x628006…
08-19 22:10:46	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x25509e…
08-17 15:53:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x01b517…
08-17 15:51:33	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xd4704c…
08-16 18:23:39	next mythos class model released by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x4aebc9…
08-16 12:20:09	next mythos class model released by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	69	49¢	$34	0x6e37c7…
08-16 11:16:04	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 32 million views this week 20260812185905071	Yes	BUY	41	86¢	$36	0x8d89f0…
08-16 07:47:16	will the 1 global netflix movie have at least 32 million views this week 20260812185905071	Yes	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x002080…
08-16 03:05:01	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	No	SELL	182	83¢	$151	0x8b662b…
07-31 10:11:17	will trump say venezuela during cabinet meeting 20260727172357451	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6691e9…
07-29 23:44:15	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xe12f57…
07-29 20:50:05	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe44032…
07-29 20:50:03	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xf6d46a…
07-29 18:13:14	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb13a2d…
07-29 09:54:53	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x8928f8…
07-29 09:54:53	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6ecaa4…
07-29 09:54:53	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x473120…
07-29 04:00:39	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x5f8d63…
07-29 03:27:32	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x0ac6d8…
07-28 04:30:30	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	No	BUY	179	78¢	$140	0xa92d79…
07-26 13:12:30	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x7d4e1c…
07-25 07:23:01	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x97d85d…
07-25 07:22:49	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xcd5478…
07-25 07:17:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x82fb00…
07-07 22:17:50	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	582	5¢	$27	0xefee46…
07-07 22:13:55	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x4d220f…
06-19 16:15:08	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?	Yes	SELL	140	12¢	$17	0x8b83ba…
06-19 16:14:58	Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?	Yes	SELL	130	11¢	$14	0x2cd736…
06-19 16:14:47	Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?	Yes	SELL	120	12¢	$14	0x51953a…
06-19 15:32:31	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa179d9…
06-19 15:32:22	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xa81d4d…
06-19 15:32:13	Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x2afc48…
06-19 10:39:37	Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?	Yes	BUY	120	13¢	$16	0x27cd62…
06-19 06:14:19	Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?	Yes	BUY	130	11¢	$14	0xe36390…
06-19 06:12:31	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xed39b7…
06-18 16:20:35	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	240	58¢	$139	0xc0560a…
06-18 16:01:05	Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?	Yes	BUY	130	11¢	$14	0xfc4bec…
06-18 16:01:05	Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0xd226e9…
06-18 15:59:37	Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa?	Yes	BUY	130	15¢	$20	0x3de008…
06-18 15:55:59	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	240	43¢	$103	0xf1e6e6…
06-18 15:52:59	Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x19880f…
06-18 03:20:02	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0x2426fa…
06-18 03:14:38	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	124	55¢	$68	0x1139e9…
06-18 03:14:34	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	76	55¢	$42	0xc0509f…
06-17 01:33:55	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x828acf…
06-16 23:44:05	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	SELL	87	55¢	$48	0xf9b561…
06-16 23:44:02	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	SELL	31	55¢	$17	0x29bafa…
06-16 23:44:01	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xa1fdab…
06-16 23:44:01	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x722a29…
06-16 21:59:46	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xc1646d…
06-16 21:45:14	Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x3c48de…
06-16 21:42:56	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe736cb…
06-16 21:38:08	Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	118	5¢	$6	0xaf3235…
06-16 21:38:05	Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x21b89d…
06-16 21:37:41	Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd0f27b…
06-16 21:33:38	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0xdc6a35…
06-16 21:30:23	Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x81d22a…
06-16 21:30:14	Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x869100…
06-12 04:52:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	859	11¢	$98	0x2f5919…
06-04 11:41:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xaa7eca…
06-04 11:26:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	192	46¢	$88	0x1addd0…
06-04 11:23:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	192	46¢	$88	0xf3575a…
06-04 10:57:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x7f113c…
06-04 09:43:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xf2ccfd…
05-03 19:04:44	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	128	24¢	$31	0xaeba4b…
05-03 19:04:44	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x54e39e…
05-03 18:05:16	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x97b3a0…
05-03 14:24:26	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x02cb15…
05-03 14:23:52	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xa016d2…
05-03 13:15:32	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xfad658…
05-03 12:29:00	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	201	24¢	$48	0x3498a1…
04-07 17:30:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x190e8d…
03-16 12:29:57	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xd166dd…
03-16 02:23:09	nba gsw nyk 2026 03 15	Knicks	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x711e37…
03-15 07:12:25	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x1814dc…
03-15 07:01:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x64d1db…
03-15 07:01:19	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1a1e4b…
03-14 19:15:03	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x425154…
03-14 18:08:31	will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xcf232b…
03-14 18:08:05	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x385442…
03-14 18:06:45	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x3390f9…
03-14 18:06:35	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xcd6714…
03-14 18:06:17	will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x4a3e4e…
03-14 18:05:51	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xeda1e8…
03-14 18:05:25	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	66	77¢	$51	0x407f6f…
03-14 18:04:49	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xa67d33…
03-14 18:04:15	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x1dfad0…
03-12 15:31:33	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd81add…
03-09 01:37:59	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x331149…
03-08 19:58:57	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x5dbacc…
03-08 18:22:05	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfdd762…
03-08 17:50:55	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x032904…
03-08 11:29:51	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x166faf…
02-28 20:02:01	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	300	28¢	$84	0x4ff493…
02-28 20:01:39	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xbbd69c…
02-23 04:33:48	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0xb388df…
02-23 04:31:40	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	389	60¢	$234	0xba6a16…