Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

77 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$75

$77 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-01 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

81% 50% -$6

Politics

17% 54% -$1

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+5	$1	16¢	$1	$0	08-09 23:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	2	$2	4	+4	No	-$1	08-17 23:37
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-19 03:57
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 09:28
will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-16 10:29
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-03 04:35
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-17 12:12
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	11-01 21:43
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-14 13:02
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-19 23:08
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-20 21:30
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-21 05:52
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-14 14:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 02:11
will xagusd reach 66 by september 7 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-10 17:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-10 04:40
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	09-11 12:25
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-13 22:19
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-25 05:25
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-21 14:01
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-14 22:33
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-11 02:43
xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	10-13 16:11
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-10 01:25
Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-09 16:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-26 10:40
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-10 19:16
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-28 19:32
will abnb dip to 156 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-01 15:57
Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-09 08:35
spy closes above 770 on august 27 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-27 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 21:43:57	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8342dc…
10-18 21:08:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe1a293…
10-18 12:44:48	Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa3f28e…
10-14 13:02:20	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4f0c19…
10-13 16:11:42	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe9d4a0…
10-10 19:16:16	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcfc8ee…
10-10 04:40:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x65cfa1…
10-05 00:52:53	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa311f7…
10-03 04:35:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbc1ad3…
10-01 15:57:59	will abnb dip to 156 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x465a09…
09-28 19:32:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7d7d4b…
09-26 10:40:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbd46c3…
09-26 02:11:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x58231a…
09-21 14:01:06	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x539d78…
09-21 05:52:53	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xefc18f…
09-20 21:30:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9df5f7…
09-19 23:08:28	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6e6b48…
09-19 03:57:36	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa7a9c3…
09-17 12:12:13	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8a3d7f…
09-16 19:20:07	Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x762783…
09-16 10:29:30	will the next claude opus model be released by september 20 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x11416f…
09-16 02:26:52	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcc5628…
09-15 18:08:42	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x98ccd0…
09-15 08:06:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9d0c11…
09-14 22:33:19	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe40ea7…
09-14 14:32:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x82fa02…
09-14 06:32:01	will hood reach 115 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x73a09b…
09-13 22:19:42	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7d4e88…
09-11 12:25:25	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3588ad…
09-11 02:43:36	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa7e2f4…
09-10 17:51:25	will xagusd reach 66 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf14950…
09-10 09:28:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc28c9a…
09-10 01:25:19	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4846f5…
09-09 16:37:43	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0f83c9…
09-09 08:35:46	Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8e937b…
09-08 09:43:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbbf1e0…
09-02 17:41:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x688b02…
09-01 10:02:25	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x88f708…
08-31 01:27:06	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x04f09b…
08-30 17:26:25	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc9fe25…
08-30 07:25:22	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x120437…
08-29 21:40:09	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x149a8e…
08-29 13:33:37	will googl reach 350 in august 2026 from august 27	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7ac1a3…
08-27 20:52:58	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x75f3cb…
08-27 12:52:00	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaccbff…
08-27 04:51:42	spy closes above 770 on august 27 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0b2f38…
08-25 13:35:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9a6d3a…
08-25 05:25:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xae8fd0…
08-24 21:19:42	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa5ced1…
08-24 09:53:51	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xacde5b…
08-24 01:28:30	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $182 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x440784…
08-21 01:01:33	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe396c6…
08-20 16:52:58	will warsh say framework during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x161674…
08-20 07:42:01	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8afaf3…
08-18 07:38:33	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2e1a98…
08-17 23:37:34	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x97d966…
08-17 15:34:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8736b8…
08-17 15:28:28	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa8ed96…
08-17 06:34:49	will ewy dip to 177 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x79ff01…
08-16 22:34:13	xagusd up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfd4a3e…
08-14 20:43:10	kss quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt59	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x021b54…
08-14 12:33:09	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4e4d18…
08-14 01:34:34	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1bd745…
08-13 11:34:57	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x628722…
08-13 03:07:54	spx opens up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x982699…
08-12 17:59:03	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x885a78…
08-12 09:46:30	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2168a7…
08-12 01:42:28	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3754e1…
08-11 10:29:04	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0be2c0…
08-11 10:24:00	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xff7f49…
08-11 01:45:04	will pltr dip to 162 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8725f0…
08-10 17:37:34	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2d1316…
08-10 07:54:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x169c63…
08-09 23:52:36	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x99939a…
08-09 04:47:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4f7276…
08-08 20:11:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x983294…
08-08 12:01:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x37d641…