Regal-Warmup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$704

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

17.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$248

Open exposure

$1.79K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-02 06:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

43% — —

Other

41% 47% +$224

Sports

16% 57% +$480

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-985	-$983	100¢	$-984	$0	10-21 01:51
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-810	-$808	100¢	$-809	$0	10-26 08:48
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-985	-$1	0¢	$-1	$0	10-21 01:53
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-810	-$1	0¢	$-1	$0	10-26 08:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	6	$3.1K	1,553	1,553	+0	open	—	11-02 06:40
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$1.9K	976	976	+0	open	—	10-21 01:52
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	4	$1.9K	959	959	+0	open	—	10-21 01:55
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$1.7K	848	848	+0	open	—	10-17 09:27
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$1.7K	837	837	+0	open	—	10-19 08:10
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$1.6K	806	806	+0	open	—	10-19 08:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	3	$1.6K	804	804	+0	No	-$1	10-26 08:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	3	$1.6K	802	802	+0	No	-$1	10-26 08:48
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	3	$1.6K	795	795	+0	open	—	10-19 08:10
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$984	0	1,970	-1,970	open	—	10-21 01:53
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$932	0	1,866	-1,866	open	—	10-21 01:57
Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	2	$831	0	1,664	-1,664	open	—	10-19 08:09
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	3	$809	0	1,620	-1,620	open	—	10-26 08:49
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$784	392	392	+0	open	—	10-28 06:06
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	1	$238	722	0	+722	Broncos	+$484	10-28 06:05
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	2	$146	485	0	+485	Yes	+$340	11-02 06:40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	1	$121	212	0	+212	No	-$121	10-21 01:57
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs	1	$93	153	0	+153	TheMongolz	+$60	10-19 06:21
Cowboys vs. Eagles	1	$87	265	0	+265	Cowboys	-$87	10-26 06:18
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$84	42	42	+0	open	—	06-17 03:38
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 360 379	3	$76	38	38	+0	No	$0	04-08 08:15
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	3	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	09-17 03:29
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	2	$57	0	114	-114	No	$0	03-18 03:33
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$53	0	106	-106	No	$0	03-31 01:42
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$40	0	80	-80	No	$0	04-24 05:56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	1	$37	54	0	+54	Yes	-$37	10-17 09:23
lol navi th 2026 08 17	1	$31	45	0	+45	Natus Vincere	+$14	08-17 06:10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$29	68	0	+68	No	-$29	05-27 12:17
Bengals vs. Ravens	1	$28	58	0	+58	Bengals	+$30	10-23 03:10
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$26	50	0	+50	DR Congo	-$26	06-17 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 06:40:49	Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x0e68da…
11-02 06:40:42	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	185	30¢	$56	0x7d5dc7…
11-02 06:40:34	Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	565	100¢	$563	0x67feab…
11-02 06:40:22	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0x0d2e8f…
11-02 06:39:15	Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	753	100¢	$752	0x506c5b…
10-28 06:06:11	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	392	100¢	$392	0x356746…
10-28 06:05:50	Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	Broncos	BUY	722	33¢	$238	0xab61d4…
10-28 06:05:41	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x4fa1a8…
10-28 06:03:52	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x3039fa…
10-26 08:50:50	Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$798	0xee1473…
10-26 08:50:39	Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x7d1513…
10-26 08:50:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0xcbc98a…
10-26 08:49:56	Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	526	100¢	$525	0xf62e00…
10-26 08:49:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	603	100¢	$601	0xf12d8b…
10-26 08:49:26	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	810	0¢	$1	0x80b44c…
10-26 08:49:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	804	100¢	$802	0x19ff76…
10-26 08:48:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	No	SELL	802	100¢	$800	0x1294af…
10-26 08:48:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01674c…
10-26 08:48:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x2a6220…
10-26 08:48:00	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x427d62…
10-26 08:47:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	No	BUY	527	100¢	$526	0x842afe…
10-26 08:47:32	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	608	100¢	$606	0x7350fd…
10-26 08:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3dcb9…
10-26 06:18:41	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	265	33¢	$87	0x0200b9…
10-23 03:10:27	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0xd0067a…
10-21 01:57:29	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	933	0¢	$2	0x6e541c…
10-21 01:57:14	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	212	57¢	$121	0xd6ea5f…
10-21 01:55:44	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	933	100¢	$930	0x0b0c92…
10-21 01:55:26	Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xf13101…
10-21 01:53:44	Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	915	100¢	$913	0x3014bb…
10-21 01:53:23	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	985	0¢	$1	0xe07529…
10-21 01:53:12	Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0xb88e41…
10-21 01:52:53	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0x876eea…
10-21 01:52:33	Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	657	100¢	$656	0x7ed2da…
10-21 01:52:11	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	732	100¢	$731	0x356d15…
10-21 01:51:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7f6dd0…
10-21 01:51:45	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	976	100¢	$975	0x90952d…
10-21 01:51:23	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	985	100¢	$983	0xf864ea…
10-21 01:51:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeee47b…
10-19 08:10:53	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	795	100¢	$792	0x891412…
10-19 08:10:41	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xabfe1d…
10-19 08:10:32	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x229f11…
10-19 08:10:08	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0xb383ea…
10-19 08:10:00	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	558	100¢	$557	0xc6b3a1…
10-19 08:09:39	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	604	100¢	$603	0x88df6f…
10-19 08:09:27	Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	832	0¢	$1	0x4ef804…
10-19 08:09:21	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	806	100¢	$805	0xfc73ce…
10-19 08:09:02	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$798	0xcf8827…
10-19 08:08:51	Will the price of Solana be above $85 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f6f52…
10-19 08:08:44	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	837	100¢	$835	0x05848c…
10-19 08:08:20	Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	832	100¢	$830	0x990498…
10-19 08:08:12	Will the price of Solana be above $85 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x357c49…
10-19 06:21:33	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs	TheMongolz	BUY	153	61¢	$93	0x7a71aa…
10-17 09:27:23	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0x0715f8…
10-17 09:27:15	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Jasmine Jasudavicius	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x80da6d…
10-17 09:27:05	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Jasmine Jasudavicius	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xf3775b…
10-17 09:23:56	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	636	100¢	$633	0x42c943…
10-17 09:23:47	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	54	68¢	$37	0xc2a80c…
10-17 09:23:03	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	848	100¢	$845	0xef1c3b…
09-17 03:29:43	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x95c5c4…
09-17 03:29:12	Commanders vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0x9ea8f7…
09-17 03:28:30	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fd177…
09-17 03:28:15	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5086e7…
08-27 03:23:12	val geng ns1 2026 08 27	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0x8e73bf…
08-17 06:10:52	lol navi th 2026 08 17	Natus Vincere	BUY	45	69¢	$31	0x026c41…
08-08 02:16:12	Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x97e4a0…
07-23 08:48:40	Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x17d280…
07-10 11:15:23	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	No	BUY	32	74¢	$23	0x56f93a…
06-17 03:40:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xbb7203…
06-17 03:38:43	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xfe28e3…
06-17 03:37:45	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xa1a433…
05-27 12:17:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	68	42¢	$29	0xc72717…
05-26 11:10:42	Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xc0d37a…
05-07 08:04:35	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9e99cc…
05-07 08:01:01	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x1fb17c…
04-24 05:56:22	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xcd37e0…
04-24 05:56:16	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x9e74c5…
04-24 05:56:08	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x639e21…
04-08 08:15:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 360 379	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x73bd2b…
04-08 08:15:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 360 379	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe833b8…
04-08 08:15:05	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on april 10	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8b63ae…
04-08 08:14:57	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 360 379	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe7f71e…
03-31 01:42:49	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x665345…
03-31 01:42:39	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75ca73…
03-31 01:42:31	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x329e83…
03-31 01:42:23	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac2a43…
03-18 03:33:59	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x4dce1e…
03-18 03:33:45	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0x50b6d2…
02-28 07:50:55	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb2eb04…
01-19 12:10:42	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 20	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x54074a…
01-19 12:10:18	solana above 190 on january 22	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x22d6ae…