Simplistic-Phase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$325

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-10 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$39	92	92	+0	Up	+$19	05-08 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$39	31	31	+0	Down	+$19	05-08 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$30	38	19	+19	Up	$-10	05-09 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$20	15	15	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$14	25	19	+6	Down	$-0	05-08 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Down	$-10	05-09 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$10	111	0	+111	Up	$-10	05-08 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-09 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$8	9	2	+6	Up	$-4	05-09 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$5	3	2	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-09 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-09 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	Up	$-5	05-09 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-08 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$5	22	0	+22	Up	$-5	05-09 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-09 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-09 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-09 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 04:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbed788…
05-10 04:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x859514…
05-10 04:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x755cdf…
05-09 12:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4a7b13…
05-09 12:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0xf6e0a9…
05-09 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4bc265…
05-09 12:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x65f7e0…
05-09 12:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x619453…
05-09 11:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe51f32…
05-09 11:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4af654…
05-09 10:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x34e533…
05-09 10:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbda097…
05-09 10:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x16b094…
05-09 10:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1e8c62…
05-09 10:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x50cdc3…
05-09 10:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd81019…
05-09 10:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x57f303…
05-09 10:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe04e41…
05-09 10:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6ac4f2…
05-09 10:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7a4b1d…
05-09 10:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2186d8…
05-09 10:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x835a5e…
05-09 10:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd2c1f6…
05-09 10:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfa301d…
05-09 10:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xf2f61a…
05-09 10:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x553fb8…
05-09 10:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3be906…
05-09 09:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2bc946…
05-08 13:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x39e0a7…
05-08 13:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9c66fc…
05-08 13:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x7d12e1…
05-08 13:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2cbfd9…
05-08 13:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa7085a…
05-08 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5025c8…
05-08 13:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb58384…
05-08 13:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xd743ce…
05-08 13:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1ea901…
05-08 12:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0xd06239…
05-08 12:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb728d2…
05-08 12:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xe99b49…
05-08 12:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfcc625…
05-08 12:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x17ef5b…
05-08 12:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x1f111c…
05-08 12:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7781f6…
05-08 12:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x34a5f6…
05-08 12:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd7d50d…
05-08 12:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x14fe23…
05-08 12:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x506e33…
05-08 12:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe9254d…
05-08 12:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9b7790…
05-08 12:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x183c9f…
05-08 12:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc12620…
05-08 12:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd40108…
05-08 12:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x613b63…
05-08 12:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xaa2bcc…
05-08 12:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf73e5a…
05-08 12:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	92	31¢	$29	0xa63cf9…
05-08 12:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xbb7809…
05-08 12:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xfde0cf…