Earnest-Viscose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$665

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

619

Trades

4,302

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 05-23 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

44% 45% -$150

Politics

30% 25% -$111

Crypto

22% 41% -$369

Sports

4% 40% -$36

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	56	$2.0K	2,605	2,605	+0	No	-$35	05-23 18:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	67	$1.7K	3,580	3,580	+0	Yes	-$36	05-23 14:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	16	$811	815	815	+0	No	+$6	05-20 07:04
wta badosa sasnovi 2026 02 02	73	$510	575	307	+268	Sasnovich	+$138	02-02 08:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	13	$423	423	423	+0	open	—	05-23 18:14
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	7	$408	400	400	+0	Yes	-$4	05-21 11:15
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	4	$310	1,008	1,008	+0	Yes	-$31	05-23 18:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:55 UTC	23	$303	556	0	+556	Up	-$64	02-15 08:59
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	8	$231	145	145	+0	Yes	-$1	05-23 13:52
wta kasatki waltert 2026 02 02	42	$222	377	130	+247	Waltert	+$139	02-02 11:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 14:15 UTC	16	$210	573	0	+573	Down	-$77	02-17 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 17:15 UTC	124	$205	322	131	+191	Down	-$27	02-01 17:28
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	10	$199	201	201	+0	Yes	+$2	05-22 00:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 14:30 UTC	4	$174	347	0	+347	Down	-$168	02-17 14:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	10	$163	368	368	+0	No	-$11	05-23 18:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	4	$154	102	102	+0	open	—	05-20 05:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	4	$141	98	98	+0	open	—	05-19 22:36
sea bol mil 2026 02 03 mil	34	$140	217	20	+197	Yes	-$120	02-03 07:26
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	5	$136	183	183	+0	open	—	05-22 01:49
wta potapov bronzet 2026 02 01	48	$128	199	199	+0	Potapova	-$2	02-03 11:00
lol ig1 wb 2026 02 06 game1	18	$114	198	78	+120	Weibo Gaming	-$46	02-06 07:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 15:15 UTC	7	$114	272	0	+272	Up	+$16	02-17 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 17:30 UTC	107	$113	314	108	+206	Down	-$7	02-01 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 13:45 UTC	4	$113	199	0	+199	Up	+$56	02-17 13:45
wta krueger bejlek 2026 02 02	11	$111	86	86	+0	Bejlek	+$21	02-02 07:53
nba hou ind 2026 02 02	26	$110	166	158	+8	Rockets	-$2	02-03 02:26
cs2 bcg faze 2026 02 02	30	$109	83	67	+16	FaZe	+$14	02-02 17:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 14:15 UTC	7	$108	186	0	+186	Down	-$64	02-17 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:00 UTC	4	$106	198	0	+198	Up	-$1	02-17 15:03
bitcoin up or down february 1 12pm et	21	$105	190	0	+190	Up	+$4	02-01 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 18:14:00	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0xc884ae…
05-23 18:14:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x563ce9…
05-23 18:13:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	159	16¢	$26	0x1abb20…
05-23 18:13:57	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	908	5¢	$45	0x690ce7…
05-23 18:13:55	Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xa18ef0…
05-23 18:09:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	183	16¢	$29	0x772b02…
05-23 18:02:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	183	19¢	$35	0x9b009e…
05-23 18:01:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x61347e…
05-23 17:58:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x7b44a1…
05-23 17:39:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x54bff1…
05-23 16:06:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	159	20¢	$32	0x3a1421…
05-23 16:05:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xb3a2f2…
05-23 15:39:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xe1e8e8…
05-23 15:39:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$7	0xcaa54d…
05-23 15:29:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xfa928f…
05-23 15:11:36	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x690465…
05-23 15:11:08	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	147	49¢	$72	0x3f2e84…
05-23 15:07:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	191	52¢	$99	0xae64bb…
05-23 14:36:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	110	93¢	$103	0xb929c5…
05-23 14:35:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0xfea457…
05-23 13:52:19	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	23	74¢	$17	0xcf5072…
05-23 13:38:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	108	10¢	$11	0xed1ca5…
05-23 13:37:25	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x03d0fa…
05-23 13:36:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	108	10¢	$11	0x3c8601…
05-23 13:08:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7b072e…
05-23 13:08:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xedacd7…
05-23 13:07:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0xc1f13e…
05-23 13:03:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x8ad708…
05-23 13:03:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0xaac89f…
05-23 13:02:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x8e3961…
05-23 13:01:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	736	11¢	$81	0x0d0dc3…
05-23 12:59:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	736	13¢	$96	0x8acde7…
05-23 12:44:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	134	13¢	$17	0xf32080…
05-23 12:38:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x6010b5…
05-23 12:36:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	334	12¢	$40	0x9a7338…
05-23 12:12:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$23	0x20faf9…
05-23 12:12:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6cfdc3…
05-23 12:12:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x763931…
05-23 12:11:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x0b183f…
05-23 12:10:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xdad6ff…
05-23 11:50:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0xd61ce7…
05-23 11:50:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	211	8¢	$17	0x2423da…
05-23 11:24:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	238	10¢	$24	0x02f25d…
05-23 11:19:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x8aaf4c…
05-23 11:19:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x6a09f8…
05-23 11:01:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	254	12¢	$31	0x8bcbce…
05-23 11:01:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	254	12¢	$31	0x723fd8…
05-23 10:02:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xb8d2ab…
05-23 10:02:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xe02d84…
05-23 10:02:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x59f509…
05-23 10:02:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x10cc17…
05-23 10:02:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x653d49…
05-23 10:01:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	76	87¢	$66	0xebce50…
05-23 09:41:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x1cc8f9…
05-23 09:41:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xc540d6…
05-23 09:40:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x3e63b6…
05-23 09:34:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x034c71…
05-23 09:33:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xdcc70c…
05-23 09:33:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x4d771f…
05-23 09:33:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	77	13¢	$10	0xcbdb2d…
05-23 09:32:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x009202…
05-23 09:31:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x144125…
05-23 09:31:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x3fc9d2…
05-23 09:30:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x5573a6…
05-23 09:30:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x68fefa…
05-23 09:29:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x2f09c1…
05-23 09:29:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xd8c571…
05-23 09:29:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x64b2ff…
05-23 09:29:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x4e8219…
05-23 09:29:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0xe5b09b…
05-23 09:28:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	369	12¢	$44	0x7f6ffc…
05-23 09:02:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x6355e8…
05-23 08:59:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x4b0671…
05-23 08:51:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	97	89¢	$87	0xdde61c…
05-23 08:44:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	97	88¢	$86	0x024c65…
05-23 08:35:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	582	9¢	$52	0xbc521e…
05-23 08:27:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	582	12¢	$70	0x0b3bcd…
05-23 08:14:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x6a93da…
05-23 08:13:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xcfe119…
05-23 08:08:30	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x99834b…
05-23 08:06:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7f4100…
05-23 08:06:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x58c8dc…
05-23 07:55:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	66	85¢	$56	0x6a4c3d…
05-23 07:24:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	66	88¢	$58	0x30ba27…
05-23 07:05:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	83	90¢	$75	0x0ea94b…
05-23 06:34:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	83	90¢	$75	0x8e3751…
05-23 06:16:06	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x86adfa…
05-23 04:37:15	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x395fc8…
05-23 04:36:49	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x6e33eb…
05-23 04:01:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	356	11¢	$39	0x12be1b…
05-23 03:33:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	356	13¢	$46	0xecb0fa…
05-23 01:43:55	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	72	79¢	$57	0x3923e7…
05-22 22:29:15	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0xb3f792…
05-22 14:00:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	123	52¢	$64	0x077c00…
05-22 13:21:37	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	123	51¢	$63	0x5288f5…
05-22 13:07:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x851fba…
05-22 12:42:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	30¢	$69	0x5186e0…
05-22 12:42:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x1a667d…
05-22 12:41:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xabd2ae…
05-22 12:41:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x790583…