Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$72

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-12

last 11-01 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

80% 56% +$0

Politics

16% 67% +$3

Tech

4% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	08-14 16:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 13:23
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	09-18 03:25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-14 05:56
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-13 21:55
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-15 01:57
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-17 17:22
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	08-14 16:36
will japan be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260826	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-21 15:56
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$1	7	+7	Yes	-$1	08-12 13:41
spx up or down on august 18 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	08-17 20:42
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-01 12:14
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Down	+$2	08-14 08:30
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-12 22:02
will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 08:07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-07 16:05
will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-17 03:56
will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-02 21:42
will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 05:40
will pltr dip to 180 by august 31 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-01 04:13
will xagusd reach 67 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-18 12:48
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 21:09
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-20 08:36
will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-18 04:42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-22 23:52
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	08-13 06:17
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-20 18:42
spx up or down on august 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	08-14 00:27
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-13 14:24
will tsla reach 360 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-17 12:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-07 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 19:28:25	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfe53ce…
10-31 21:54:04	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6d40a7…
10-22 18:45:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x25d358…
10-22 10:44:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x17f0aa…
10-17 23:30:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd87e47…
10-14 19:35:18	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0c28ab…
10-14 11:28:14	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1d3514…
10-14 03:01:58	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9ecb9d…
10-10 18:49:01	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfe5166…
10-10 06:25:43	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6d7503…
10-09 21:23:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x06aa59…
10-09 09:49:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x78ad60…
10-08 13:09:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x420dca…
10-08 03:56:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x35c987…
10-07 04:49:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe82222…
10-06 20:46:48	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd18910…
10-06 12:37:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbffdce…
10-06 04:37:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x81f6e3…
10-05 16:51:43	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x131b06…
10-05 00:39:13	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x52644e…
10-04 04:26:29	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc8743a…
10-02 12:53:53	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcc94c0…
10-02 01:37:47	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xffad0f…
10-01 13:40:42	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0b986b…
10-01 05:34:15	will tsla reach 367 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x55be00…
09-27 21:13:48	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfa63f0…
09-27 11:51:23	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8fb1b2…
09-27 02:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd0bb08…
09-26 07:57:51	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6a3be2…
09-23 08:07:35	will ewy reach 194 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa5eaa9…
09-22 23:52:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xedd22e…
09-19 13:23:09	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x388ee1…
09-18 03:25:28	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x93e700…
09-17 17:22:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x940c65…
09-15 01:57:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x5c1f2a…
09-14 05:56:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa87b40…
09-13 21:55:31	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5af69b…
09-07 16:05:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0xdb6b48…
09-02 21:42:00	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x9ce749…
09-01 12:14:46	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x387d80…
09-01 04:13:45	will pltr dip to 180 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x9dd5ca…
08-21 15:56:57	will japan be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260826	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd11970…
08-20 18:42:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x43464e…
08-20 08:36:03	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x3273d7…
08-18 21:09:06	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x6d079b…
08-18 12:48:21	will xagusd reach 67 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x7bb6b0…
08-18 04:42:25	will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xeecc70…
08-17 20:42:06	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x22811c…
08-17 12:26:46	will tsla reach 360 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa32435…
08-17 03:56:52	will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc9e75b…
08-14 16:36:04	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1324ed…
08-14 08:30:27	spy up or down on august 14 2026	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x1db0df…
08-14 00:27:31	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x567f21…
08-13 14:24:01	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xee23b1…
08-13 06:17:49	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x87fa69…
08-12 22:02:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xbd58df…
08-12 13:41:01	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xa96a6a…
08-12 05:40:36	will trump say supreme court during remarks in new york 20260811183234696	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xae9035…