Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$727

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$130.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$993

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-30 10:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

69% 95% -$1,458

Other

20% 91% +$381

Crypto

11% 100% +$351

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	9	$13.3K	8,658	5,528	+3,130	Yes	+$234	02-26 16:28
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$12.4K	8,758	4,235	+4,523	Yes	+$557	03-24 22:25
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	3	$8.9K	4,605	4,400	+205	Yes	+$78	03-28 05:09
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$6.7K	3,460	3,460	+0	Yes	+$183	03-17 15:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	19	$6.4K	3,277	3,277	+0	Yes	+$102	03-13 01:22
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	5	$5.8K	3,083	3,083	+0	No	+$305	03-24 21:02
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	2	$4.7K	2,370	2,370	+0	Yes	+$0	01-29 08:51
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$4.5K	4,517	0	+4,517	Yes	+$18	03-24 21:03
caroline ellison new boyfriend by january 31	4	$4.5K	2,290	2,290	+0	No	+$22	01-29 00:43
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	2	$4.4K	2,220	2,220	+0	No	+$2	01-23 15:13
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	3	$4.4K	4,643	0	+4,643	No	+$247	03-28 09:17
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	1	$3.5K	3,639	0	+3,639	No	+$182	03-17 15:31
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	8	$3.4K	3,775	0	+3,775	No	-$3,424	03-30 10:44
will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 22000 by march 20 654	1	$3.3K	3,271	0	+3,271	No	+$3	03-20 22:30
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	1	$3.2K	3,171	0	+3,171	No	+$3	03-08 01:20
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$3.2K	3,168	0	+3,168	Yes	+$14	03-07 00:08
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	12	$2.8K	2,941	0	+2,941	Yes	+$188	02-26 13:34
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$2.7K	2,934	2,934	+0	Yes	+$24	02-24 13:23
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$2.4K	2,382	0	+2,382	Yes	+$14	01-29 22:35
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	4	$2.3K	2,369	0	+2,369	Yes	+$118	01-29 00:47
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 10 by feb 20	3	$2.2K	1,122	1,122	+0	No	+$16	02-21 02:17
will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	1	$2.2K	2,228	0	+2,228	Yes	+$9	01-23 15:13
Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$2.2K	2,217	0	+2,217	Yes	+$13	01-21 17:20
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	2	$2.2K	2,204	0	+2,204	No	+$15	01-18 05:37
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?	2	$2.2K	2,188	0	+2,188	Yes	+$2	01-16 21:58
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	3	$2.2K	2,186	0	+2,186	Yes	+$17	01-16 01:26
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	12	$2.2K	2,169	0	+2,169	No	+$17	01-15 04:40
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$2.1K	2,324	0	+2,324	Yes	+$196	02-24 13:38
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$1.6K	1,645	0	+1,645	No	+$18	03-06 02:05
will trump say waste this week march 1	1	$1.6K	1,628	0	+1,628	Yes	+$7	03-04 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-30 10:44:00	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	242	90¢	$218	0x141693…
03-30 10:41:24	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	220	90¢	$199	0x741bbf…
03-30 10:40:50	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	273	91¢	$249	0x67600d…
03-30 10:40:44	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,500	91¢	$1,369	0x1893d4…
03-30 10:40:04	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xae2ae6…
03-30 10:39:54	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x6c6c78…
03-30 10:08:14	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	909	90¢	$818	0x5168a4…
03-30 10:08:08	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	189	90¢	$170	0x32f94e…
03-28 09:17:31	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	89	99¢	$89	0x797572…
03-28 05:12:33	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	2,342	96¢	$2,251	0x599ea2…
03-28 05:09:37	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	2,340	100¢	$2,338	0x5e6a7f…
03-28 03:27:53	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	2,211	93¢	$2,056	0x10c5c3…
03-28 03:27:43	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	2,060	100¢	$2,058	0xff7ef0…
03-26 05:11:09	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	4,605	98¢	$4,522	0x020b7d…
03-24 22:25:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	4,523	100¢	$4,518	0x7554a5…
03-24 21:03:07	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,085	100¢	$3,073	0xdc20ea…
03-24 21:02:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	SELL	3,083	100¢	$3,073	0xcab556…
03-24 21:02:09	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,432	100¢	$1,426	0x7630fe…
03-24 21:01:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,430	100¢	$1,427	0x855eaf…
03-24 12:45:35	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x470277…
03-23 15:06:57	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	978	89¢	$868	0x071820…
03-23 15:06:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$986	0x90728a…
03-23 13:41:11	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	8	90¢	$8	0xe00701…
03-23 13:40:29	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	1,978	90¢	$1,774	0x001beb…
03-23 13:40:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,805	99¢	$1,782	0xb7e96b…
03-21 19:14:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,210	86¢	$2,760	0x98c08a…
03-21 19:06:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	47	86¢	$41	0x2e01a4…
03-21 19:06:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x077639…
03-21 19:05:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa2220e…
03-21 19:05:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	943	86¢	$811	0xcfc9ba…
03-20 22:30:59	will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 20000 by march 20 423	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0x783214…
03-20 22:30:37	will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 22000 by march 20 654	No	BUY	3,271	100¢	$3,268	0x3a018e…
03-17 15:31:19	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	3,639	95¢	$3,457	0x137d48…
03-17 15:31:05	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	3,460	100¢	$3,456	0x6ac8e9…
03-13 02:18:41	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	3,460	95¢	$3,273	0xa635a1…
03-13 01:22:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	3,277	100¢	$3,274	0x6355a8…
03-10 20:07:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6278ff…
03-08 14:17:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	153	97¢	$148	0x3b481c…
03-08 14:13:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4d6aa3…
03-08 14:11:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	312	97¢	$302	0xb554fe…
03-08 14:11:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x661464…
03-08 14:10:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x3de673…
03-08 14:09:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x41fed9…
03-08 14:09:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0x8696dd…
03-08 14:07:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xee1738…
03-08 14:06:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x36b8b1…
03-08 14:04:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x8ab237…
03-08 14:02:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	609	97¢	$589	0xec6464…
03-08 14:02:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x609121…
03-08 14:00:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	781	97¢	$756	0x00aab7…
03-08 14:00:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	277	97¢	$268	0x2175e2…
03-08 14:00:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	301	97¢	$291	0x300c04…
03-08 13:57:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0x01719d…
03-08 13:57:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	179	97¢	$174	0xc23868…
03-08 01:20:39	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 7 2026	No	BUY	3,171	100¢	$3,168	0xcb978e…
03-07 00:08:29	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,649	100¢	$1,647	0x27d1ac…
03-06 02:05:17	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,645	99¢	$1,628	0x9322d2…
03-04 19:29:51	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,519	99¢	$1,507	0x5546db…
03-04 19:29:23	will trump say waste this week march 1	Yes	BUY	1,628	100¢	$1,622	0xefb0db…
02-26 16:28:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,130	94¢	$2,942	0xe46b26…
02-26 13:34:12	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	430	94¢	$402	0x985827…
02-26 13:08:44	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	97	94¢	$91	0x197344…
02-26 13:07:52	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	145	94¢	$135	0x644a7a…
02-26 13:06:32	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xa229ae…
02-26 13:06:26	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	146	94¢	$137	0xb95535…
02-26 13:05:44	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	459	94¢	$430	0x3eff4a…
02-26 13:00:02	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	355	94¢	$332	0xdd2970…
02-26 12:56:34	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	78	94¢	$73	0x1cebed…
02-26 12:55:04	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	219	94¢	$205	0x300817…
02-26 12:54:58	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	141	94¢	$132	0xe9037a…
02-26 12:53:56	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0x0431a9…
02-26 12:51:22	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	733	94¢	$686	0xe153c0…
02-26 12:45:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,938	94¢	$2,754	0x5a62ca…
02-25 04:47:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,938	94¢	$2,770	0xf1c3b7…
02-24 13:38:40	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,380	99¢	$1,363	0xb2a76c…
02-24 13:23:16	Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,466	50¢	$733	0xd65e46…
02-23 18:09:24	Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,468	43¢	$631	0xce3588…
02-21 19:10:08	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	944	81¢	$765	0x016233…
02-21 02:18:48	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	1,124	100¢	$1,121	0x6d8b47…
02-21 02:17:14	judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 10 by feb 20	No	SELL	1,122	100¢	$1,121	0x653883…
02-21 01:04:38	judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 10 by feb 20	No	BUY	614	98¢	$603	0x7d69d5…
02-21 00:50:24	judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 10 by feb 20	No	BUY	508	99¢	$502	0x30b665…
02-20 00:18:54	Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,934	46¢	$1,340	0x5a6358…
02-18 04:42:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,590	94¢	$2,445	0x6e1f17…
01-30 03:20:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x42739b…
01-30 03:20:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	208	92¢	$191	0x73031e…
01-30 03:20:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa8c264…
01-30 03:20:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xf4bd8e…
01-30 03:20:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,346	92¢	$2,159	0xd65dd4…
01-29 22:35:36	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	BUY	2,382	99¢	$2,368	0xa3563f…
01-29 08:51:42	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,370	100¢	$2,368	0xb65646…
01-29 02:14:14	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,370	100¢	$2,368	0x4ce7bd…
01-29 00:47:08	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	BUY	628	95¢	$597	0x2aaa72…
01-29 00:47:02	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,500	95¢	$1,425	0x261a45…
01-29 00:45:58	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x079382…
01-29 00:44:08	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0x11c9d8…
01-29 00:43:56	caroline ellison new boyfriend by january 31	No	SELL	2,290	98¢	$2,251	0xff7ac1…
01-27 11:42:41	caroline ellison new boyfriend by january 31	No	BUY	909	97¢	$884	0xd500e4…
01-25 06:43:02	caroline ellison new boyfriend by january 31	No	BUY	665	97¢	$645	0xcb2ab1…
01-25 01:03:22	caroline ellison new boyfriend by january 31	No	BUY	716	98¢	$699	0x187e12…