Black-Lychee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-27 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 100% +$2

Other

37% 93% -$3

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	06-01 10:48
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-27 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	06-06 11:04
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	06-10 03:04
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-30 03:51
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-23 02:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	05-16 06:46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-13 07:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	1	$84	84	+84	Yes	+$0	05-07 08:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	05-11 02:55
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-07 08:34
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-02 11:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 19	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	03-19 08:27
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$83	83	+83	Yes	+$0	03-11 03:34
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	1	$83	83	+83	Yes	+$0	03-04 10:48
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$83	83	+83	Yes	+$0	03-25 02:48
bitcoin above 78k on february 7	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	02-07 07:03
ethereum above 2800 on january 10	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	01-10 08:31
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-21 10:51
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	02-28 06:41
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	02-01 07:59
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:26
bitcoin above 82k on january 8	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	01-06 08:45
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	01-23 08:53
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	01-16 02:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	04-13 01:59
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	03-15 07:28
bitcoin above 62k on february 14	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	02-14 02:10
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 29	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	01-28 01:33
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$79	79	+79	Yes	+$0	01-19 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 11:10:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xea5b8e…
09-27 11:09:39	Will Gangwon FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xbb55ad…
08-21 11:47:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xce79b2…
06-10 03:04:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x11c443…
06-06 11:04:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x6539e2…
06-01 10:48:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x103c2b…
05-30 03:51:42	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x57c8f2…
05-27 02:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xaaad16…
05-23 02:07:10	Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x74ffdf…
05-16 06:46:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x29b361…
05-13 07:25:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x5c89e5…
05-11 02:55:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x9d39a5…
05-07 08:36:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x7b59e2…
04-30 06:50:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x88953b…
04-26 06:30:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x0e02bc…
04-26 06:30:10	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee6511…
04-26 06:30:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc08c91…
04-26 06:29:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcdb2e…
04-21 10:51:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x679647…
04-21 10:51:16	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x098494…
04-21 10:51:08	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec5b6c…
04-16 08:26:32	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xf4312f…
04-16 08:26:20	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f2d08…
04-16 08:26:10	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x40b697…
04-13 01:59:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x0aba29…
04-13 01:59:29	will monopoly gochat be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f420e…
04-13 01:59:17	will ethereum reach 2400 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe76aa4…
04-13 01:59:05	ethereum above 1900 on april 13	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4fa2d4…
04-07 08:34:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x7957ec…
04-02 11:19:05	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x2128fd…
03-29 08:56:36	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xeb7f70…
03-29 08:56:28	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 165 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed90e6…
03-29 08:56:16	will bitcoin reach 76k march 23 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07dce5…
03-29 08:56:04	will mytsa be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c3bf8…
03-29 08:55:56	atp haita schwaer 2026 03 29	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe4ed13…
03-25 02:48:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xf5ae4d…
03-19 08:27:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 19	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x62a4f4…
03-15 07:28:17	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x92303e…
03-15 07:28:05	elon musk of tweets march 2026 720 759	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x532b12…
03-11 03:34:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xaab28b…
03-04 10:48:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x171dc7…
02-28 06:41:33	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 460 479	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xd779c7…
02-14 02:10:55	bitcoin above 62k on february 14	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2e7426…
02-14 02:10:43	will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb818f5…
02-14 02:10:33	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on february 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe363de…
02-07 07:03:09	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xb32c6a…
02-01 07:59:48	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xcff4f9…
01-28 01:33:11	will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 29	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xebf186…
01-23 08:53:14	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3353e2…
01-19 08:52:46	bitcoin above 86k on january 19	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x36c328…
01-19 08:52:34	will the us next strike iran on january 19 2026 et 726	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa713a4…
01-19 08:52:24	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa5f57…
01-16 02:56:48	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7bfeea…
01-16 02:56:38	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1120 1159	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf0c71…
01-16 02:55:56	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x383eaa…
01-10 08:31:02	ethereum above 2800 on january 10	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x825d03…
01-06 08:45:21	bitcoin above 82k on january 8	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xc1d531…
01-06 08:45:09	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xdc0c37…