Hard-To-Find-Anarchy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$112

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 11-02 15:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

73% 98% -$5

Crypto

17% 100% +$0

Politics

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		-96	-$92	96¢	$-92	+$0	05-03 12:58
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No		+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	11-02 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:59:34	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe2884c…
11-02 14:41:49	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x018e2e…
11-02 14:41:42	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb38c75…
11-02 14:41:16	Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x668866…
11-02 14:40:37	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9b1d9e…
10-15 10:35:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on October 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x818973…
10-15 10:35:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on October 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf48e21…
10-15 10:35:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 16?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc46831…
10-15 10:34:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x31b9ff…
09-23 14:47:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x975b8a…
09-23 14:47:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbf9adf…
09-06 15:01:31	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe0d8b7…
09-06 15:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf87974…
08-21 15:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1ae96c…
08-21 15:47:22	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x89e9de…
08-21 15:47:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4b4c95…
08-21 15:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x93189d…
08-21 15:46:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x865a5b…
08-11 14:54:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x274e63…
08-11 14:54:43	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x59ebef…
08-11 14:54:37	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8697ad…
08-11 14:54:31	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbac864…
08-11 14:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x529000…
07-27 14:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x011733…
07-13 14:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa4ef30…
07-13 14:32:43	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x42c718…
07-13 14:32:35	Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5448f8…
07-13 14:31:23	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6ff171…
07-13 14:31:17	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026 526	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe61917…
06-30 14:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9e6fc2…
06-30 14:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3958ea…
06-30 14:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x838847…
06-30 14:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xffbc82…
06-30 14:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ef4c1…
06-10 13:18:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfc6b13…
06-10 13:17:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbdf7d9…
06-10 13:17:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6a0759…
06-10 13:17:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb88140…
06-10 13:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C or below on June 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x411e89…
06-10 13:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0049a3…
06-03 15:35:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xddb3f1…
06-03 15:34:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x27dabb…
06-03 15:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5262ea…
06-03 15:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x763335…
05-20 20:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60a7e0…
05-20 15:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdf9e9a…
05-20 15:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdeaec4…
05-20 15:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xffdc1e…
05-09 15:50:02	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xac7cc6…
05-09 15:49:54	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa194d6…
05-03 12:58:06	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	96	96¢	$92	0x32d277…
04-21 15:22:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc99eca…
03-28 15:47:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfb5b0c…
03-28 15:46:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 120 139	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x277483…
03-12 14:30:37	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4fdfb3…
03-12 14:30:07	will emma stone win best actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x294ef1…
03-12 14:29:59	will kate hudson win best actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe225e4…
03-03 15:28:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x38e755…
03-03 15:27:43	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfe7b95…
02-08 12:06:41	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x44f9a0…
02-08 12:06:19	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52b243…
02-03 11:38:44	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4d8a16…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$92	0	96	-96	open	—	05-03 12:58
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-12 14:30
will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026 526	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-13 14:31
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-15 10:34
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 120 139	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-28 15:46
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 15:49
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 15:50
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-08 12:06
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	08-11 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 30?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-30 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C or higher on July 1?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-30 14:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 10?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-10 13:17
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-11 14:54
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-11 14:54
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-11 14:54
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-06 15:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 10?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-10 13:17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-03 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-06 15:01
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-28 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 1?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-30 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-03 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-21 15:47
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-11 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 1?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-30 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-21 15:47
will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-13 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 1?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-30 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-23 14:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-10 13:17