Old-Fashioned-Doorpost — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$583

Unrealized P&L

-$102

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

206

1,724 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$17.6K

$63.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$2.05K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 11-14 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

96% 37% -$1,708

Crypto

2% 59% -$2

Sports

2% 50% +$68

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Politics

0% 40% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	+1,571	$1,170	70¢	$1.1K	-$78	11-13 14:50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	No	+1,000	$890	86¢	$865	-$25	11-09 17:10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	+110	$93	86¢	$94	+$1	11-09 17:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spy reach 810 in october 2026	14	$2.9K	1,584	1,584	+0	No	+$77	10-14 15:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	13	$2.9K	1,649	1,649	+0	open	—	11-04 16:41
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	37	$2.9K	1,948	1,948	+0	No	+$42	03-23 17:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	46	$2.6K	2,660	1,887	+773	No	+$20	04-29 19:45
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	6	$1.4K	838	838	+0	No	+$143	10-21 01:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	28	$1.4K	950	944	+7	No	+$25	04-11 16:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$1.3K	670	670	+1	Yes	-$36	04-17 15:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	11	$1.2K	796	796	+0	No	+$42	05-05 13:28
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	32	$1.2K	1,589	18	+1,571	open	—	11-13 14:50
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	22	$1.2K	1,293	1,293	+0	No	-$507	06-17 06:34
will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	4	$1.2K	659	659	+0	No	+$1	06-08 09:09
will spy reach 800 in october 2026	8	$1.1K	704	704	+0	No	+$73	10-14 13:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	12	$1.1K	739	579	+160	No	+$138	05-24 07:12
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	13	$1.0K	783	783	+0	No	+$21	03-23 16:07
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	2	$890	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	11-09 17:10
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	5	$848	687	687	+0	No	+$66	03-18 13:51
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?	2	$846	510	510	+0	open	—	11-05 09:15
Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 3 - 0 Hamarkameratene?	2	$783	700	700	+0	Yes	+$615	07-23 02:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	14	$616	740	0	+740	No	+$125	10-23 16:17
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	3	$570	361	361	+0	open	—	11-12 14:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	5	$530	323	323	+0	No	+$32	10-20 14:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	7	$516	361	361	+0	Up	-$55	06-01 13:22
will wti reach 135 by march 30 2026	6	$514	273	272	+1	No	+$24	04-02 08:34
googl up or down on march 25 2026	20	$501	414	411	+3	Up	-$122	03-25 20:16
will nflx close between 90 and 100 week april 17 2026	11	$501	306	306	+0	Yes	+$32	04-17 14:24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	8	$495	328	308	+20	Yes	$0	10-27 08:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	19	$485	641	641	+0	No	+$78	05-13 00:17
will nflx close between 100 and 110 week april 17 2026	17	$479	836	836	+0	No	-$276	04-17 14:42
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	1	$472	5,250	0	+5,250	No	-$472	07-19 16:41
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of October 19 2026?	15	$429	270	270	+0	No	-$1	10-21 22:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:59:59	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	126	39¢	$49	0xf5ee83…
11-13 14:50:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x1a8720…
11-13 08:09:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x41ae94…
11-13 07:59:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x042a4f…
11-12 14:44:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	No	SELL	220	79¢	$174	0x8becd4…
11-12 14:38:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	No	SELL	141	79¢	$111	0x7ed4d7…
11-12 14:37:39	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xc823ca…
11-12 13:58:49	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	No	BUY	361	79¢	$285	0xdc3768…
11-12 13:58:15	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x4c5a55…
11-12 13:46:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xf9cdd8…
11-12 00:08:34	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	90¢	$162	0x162a94…
11-10 14:50:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	182	69¢	$126	0xa091fb…
11-10 14:13:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November?	No	SELL	157	71¢	$112	0x764b8b…
11-10 12:20:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November?	No	SELL	24	72¢	$17	0x8712c0…
11-09 17:12:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November?	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x225c85…
11-09 17:10:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	No	BUY	121	89¢	$108	0xe7fb92…
11-09 17:10:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November?	No	BUY	879	89¢	$782	0xb2b166…
11-09 17:09:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	654	72¢	$471	0x177e21…
11-09 17:06:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xd1c200…
11-09 17:05:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x80aa55…
11-09 16:09:18	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	180	15¢	$27	0xba0958…
11-09 04:32:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	No	BUY	60	74¢	$44	0xa99813…
11-09 04:29:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x24274e…
11-09 04:00:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November?	No	BUY	18	58¢	$11	0xb6d6b5…
11-09 03:59:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x4d1982…
11-08 19:06:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xcb7078…
11-08 15:10:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November?	No	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x6a38ab…
11-07 17:14:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in November?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xf3c8ba…
11-07 07:15:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in November?	No	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0xf1cd47…
11-05 16:21:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x9ee9a0…
11-05 16:19:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x25aba4…
11-05 16:18:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x186f9b…
11-05 16:14:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	Yes	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0xe04d97…
11-05 16:14:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x60cee1…
11-05 16:14:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x523e1d…
11-05 16:14:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xc10af4…
11-05 16:13:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x065823…
11-05 16:13:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xffd48b…
11-05 14:34:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x392c28…
11-05 13:03:48	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	77¢	$221	0x0d9b27…
11-05 09:15:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?	No	SELL	510	87¢	$443	0xf84b9f…
11-04 17:49:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in November?	No	BUY	510	79¢	$403	0x0e5592…
11-04 16:41:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	SELL	1,649	91¢	$1,501	0x8968b4…
11-02 14:28:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	140	76¢	$106	0x6b3a59…
11-02 13:37:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	No	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0x8f52cf…
11-02 07:33:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x941c89…
11-01 14:49:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	120	81¢	$97	0x12b311…
10-31 22:48:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	125	75¢	$94	0x4b4086…
10-31 15:54:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xc0560f…
10-31 14:50:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xa3f7c7…
10-31 14:50:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x5cdc8e…
10-31 14:32:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xe46469…
10-31 14:30:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8fcfc3…
10-31 14:30:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	BUY	58	85¢	$49	0x2a047b…
10-31 12:02:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcdfa10…
10-31 11:48:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	233	79¢	$184	0x23556a…
10-31 11:44:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in November?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x6d42f7…
10-31 03:19:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1e113f…
10-31 00:30:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x0ff54b…
10-30 22:54:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xaa7e76…
10-30 21:03:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x300039…
10-30 20:36:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x721c78…
10-30 19:19:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xdf34b3…
10-30 19:19:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x524712…
10-30 16:15:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf98f4f…
10-30 16:15:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x2b1cba…
10-30 15:13:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x5c2dfa…
10-30 14:46:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x4929a1…
10-30 14:23:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x0285c6…
10-30 09:18:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	45	79¢	$36	0x785d32…
10-30 09:17:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xa1f685…
10-30 09:17:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$73	0x1e8138…
10-29 10:28:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x60b799…
10-29 09:14:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xa8c23a…
10-29 09:14:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x90d916…
10-29 08:33:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	44	86¢	$38	0x70ee17…
10-29 08:26:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x04c818…
10-29 08:20:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in November?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x02abc4…
10-29 08:16:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	No	SELL	207	99¢	$205	0xfea64a…
10-29 02:38:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	112	86¢	$96	0x8c2ec1…
10-29 02:37:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	SELL	120	86¢	$103	0xed4b79…
10-28 12:44:28	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xbd372f…
10-27 16:00:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	900	88¢	$792	0x1778b6…
10-27 12:43:11	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	35	42¢	$15	0x29c9ad…
10-27 08:53:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0xd43186…
10-27 08:29:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x7f42c8…
10-26 19:13:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x8f5ec1…
10-26 15:56:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x84161e…
10-26 15:51:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x46d44d…
10-23 17:08:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x795fde…
10-23 16:24:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?	No	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0x4d0781…
10-23 16:22:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xeaae30…
10-23 16:17:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x69c750…
10-23 16:17:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xfb3ee5…
10-23 16:17:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x66abb8…
10-23 15:19:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x3694cb…
10-23 13:52:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x0f3e9c…
10-23 13:37:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x57dd90…
10-23 12:01:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x7b56b3…
10-22 15:17:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc3e8de…