Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

123

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$2.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-30 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 28% -$14

Other

33% 17% -$25

Politics

14% 25% -$13

Tech

6% 20% +$4

Sports

1% 12% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	No		-20	-$19	100¢	$-20	-$1	05-15 17:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	18	$617	460	410	+50	Up	+$1	08-24 07:57
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?	7	$190	150	150	+0	Yes	+$2	07-10 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	7	$99	125	50	+75	Up	$0	08-24 07:54
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	6	$99	150	50	+100	Down	$0	08-24 04:00
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	3	$98	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	08-24 15:59
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	3	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	09-02 22:17
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	4	$88	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	06-24 06:41
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$77	40	40	+0	Yes	+$2	02-24 07:18
will elon post crypto or bitcoin on x this week 20260703150058746	4	$75	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-11 12:50
Will there be at least 20,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?	2	$44	23	23	+0	No	$0	08-24 13:01
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	7	$40	80	60	+20	No	$0	07-12 18:44
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?	4	$39	40	40	+0	No	+$0	06-24 07:07
will perplexitys valuation hit high 20 by july 31 20260629184740280	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-13 01:23
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	01-31 12:03
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-27 09:36
will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	3	$38	40	20	+20	No	$0	06-22 15:59
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-16 06:49
will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-12 03:21
will trump say police this week 20260703145736714	3	$38	30	10	+20	Yes	-$19	07-12 13:43
will anyone say raven during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111463	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-13 02:59
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	06-24 06:46
wti closes above 71 on june 23 2026	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	06-23 07:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$0	01-09 09:08
will the announcers say guillotine during ufc 250 20260610175532912	3	$20	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-22 15:56
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-27 16:06
iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	3	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	07-13 00:23
will elon post trump on x this week 20260703150058733	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-12 03:21
will mamdani be in the headlines this week 20260612213503942	2	$19	40	0	+40	No	+$1	06-22 05:34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	1	$19	0	20	-20	open	—	05-15 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 6?	2	$19	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-06 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:57:58	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1eae3b…
09-27 18:36:51	will patient zero hit 80m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x2ab000…
09-27 18:36:42	will patient zero hit 70m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x6c03fb…
09-27 14:09:32	will patient zero hit 80m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x472b85…
09-27 14:09:09	will patient zero hit 70m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf2a332…
09-27 09:36:44	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x1a6d84…
09-27 09:35:15	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x0ab098…
09-27 06:19:09	US x China tariff agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x131a1b…
09-27 05:55:30	US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf067af…
09-02 22:17:25	Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x26edf8…
09-02 22:17:18	Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x5a64af…
08-24 15:59:04	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x0d2973…
08-24 15:59:03	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1db4eb…
08-24 15:32:31	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x276059…
08-24 13:01:34	Will there be at least 20,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x7cbd7e…
08-24 13:00:57	Will there be at least 20,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0xfb41c5…
08-24 12:39:33	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xa51d90…
08-24 12:39:24	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x182f5b…
08-24 12:39:07	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xdca3ef…
08-24 12:33:24	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x375e7e…
08-24 09:01:13	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x2c3bc0…
08-24 08:42:36	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9255ce…
08-24 08:24:45	Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x03543a…
08-24 08:00:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc1c0a0…
08-24 08:00:04	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa11c20…
08-24 08:00:01	XRP Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4740e3…
08-24 07:58:54	BNB Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf0f41e…
08-24 07:58:18	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x17b47b…
08-24 07:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x7dbff0…
08-24 07:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd3a174…
08-24 07:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe2ff92…
08-24 07:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc4beb0…
08-24 07:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4eb865…
08-24 07:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb8595…
08-24 07:46:25	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xc79630…
08-24 07:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xdba70a…
08-24 07:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x008694…
08-24 07:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x5e5fbd…
08-24 07:41:19	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe1f3f4…
08-24 07:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c7bcb…
08-24 07:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xce63b9…
08-24 07:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x210c8e…
08-24 07:36:51	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x063d7e…
08-24 07:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd15198…
08-24 07:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xa715de…
08-24 07:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5fb939…
08-24 07:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x03f294…
08-24 07:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe3408f…
08-24 07:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd2360e…
08-24 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa84e39…
08-24 07:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x790079…
08-24 07:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x218dcd…
08-24 07:27:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x7500a7…
08-24 05:58:48	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x0ce233…
08-24 05:54:18	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x51cd09…
08-24 05:28:09	Solana Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9d4284…
08-24 04:00:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9196dd…
08-24 04:00:03	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x0d885b…
08-24 03:59:39	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2a1147…
08-24 03:59:15	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xd3990c…
08-24 03:59:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9344d1…
08-24 03:58:45	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9bf766…
08-24 03:56:55	BNB Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x37f9da…
08-24 03:55:48	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x03f669…
08-24 03:54:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x99b195…
08-24 03:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2c8cb9…
08-24 03:46:06	BNB Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x4d1725…
08-24 03:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x22cb5b…
08-24 03:43:42	BNB Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x43a847…
08-24 03:42:12	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x773f13…
08-24 03:41:10	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x575547…
08-24 03:40:57	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xd30942…
07-16 06:49:26	Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xb31913…
07-13 02:59:41	will anyone say raven during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111463	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x2d79d8…
07-13 01:27:07	will anyone say clone during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838989	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf82ad7…
07-13 01:26:47	will shocking be in the headlines this week 20260703145631107	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xdab744…
07-13 01:26:20	will anyone say alien during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838978	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xa09107…
07-13 01:26:01	will trump post mutilization on truth social this week 20260703145933669	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1b732f…
07-13 01:25:23	will anyone say simulation during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838981	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x0b079a…
07-13 01:25:08	will border be in the headlines this week 20260703145631102	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xef50de…
07-13 01:24:56	will anyone say god during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838985	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfedc27…
07-13 01:24:35	will trump post ronaldo on truth social this week 20260703145933674	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x2f5766…
07-13 01:24:25	will trump post crypto or bitcoin on truth social this week 20260703145933681	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6c4f5d…
07-13 01:24:17	will anyone say space during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838977	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xb7cd3c…
07-13 01:23:47	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20 by july 31 20260629184740280	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xb00f20…
07-13 00:23:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xc7bca7…
07-13 00:21:10	will shocking be in the headlines this week 20260703145631107	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xc7bb44…
07-12 23:57:10	will trump post ronaldo on truth social this week 20260703145933674	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xfe20da…
07-12 21:35:16	will trump post mutilization on truth social this week 20260703145933669	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6ec52b…
07-12 21:34:04	will trump post crypto or bitcoin on truth social this week 20260703145933681	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x814024…
07-12 21:14:35	will anyone say god during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838985	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x99ef8a…
07-12 20:17:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x68c130…
07-12 18:44:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd1d073…
07-12 17:31:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x3e497a…
07-12 17:28:38	will anyone say clone during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838989	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x78307a…
07-12 16:49:50	will anyone say alien during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838978	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x266a6c…
07-12 16:19:07	will border be in the headlines this week 20260703145631102	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xdb6c15…
07-12 16:13:02	will anyone say simulation during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838981	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x1899a5…
07-12 16:12:53	will anyone say space during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838977	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x5e828a…
07-12 15:34:10	will anyone say raven during house of the dragon e4 s3 20260707144111463	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8b6d9b…