Best-Credenza — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,395 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-03 08:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 74% -$330

Politics

2% 100% +$4

Other

0% 33% -$12

Sports

0% 67% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 27 2am et	12	$535	391	391	+0	Up	-$17	02-27 07:53
bitcoin up or down march 8 1am et	25	$289	263	263	+0	Up	-$52	03-08 06:35
bitcoin up or down february 27 9am et	6	$277	200	200	+0	Down	+$11	02-27 14:52
bitcoin up or down february 27 3am et	19	$274	250	250	-0	Up	-$36	02-27 08:46
bitcoin above 70k on february 15	10	$265	289	289	+0	No	-$63	02-15 04:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$215	120	120	+0	Yes	+$1	02-25 13:19
bitcoin up or down february 16 2pm et	7	$206	111	111	+0	Up	+$4	02-16 19:44
bitcoin up or down march 7 1pm et	20	$206	200	200	+0	Down	+$14	03-07 18:54
bitcoin up or down february 21 9pm et	2	$198	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	02-22 02:46
bitcoin up or down march 4 12am et	2	$197	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	03-04 05:54
bitcoin up or down february 27 8am et	5	$194	130	130	+0	Up	+$15	02-27 13:51
bitcoin up or down february 19 7pm et	2	$191	97	97	+0	Up	+$3	02-20 00:57
bitcoin up or down february 24 11pm et	2	$182	100	100	+0	Up	+$6	02-25 04:49
bitcoin up or down february 23 3am et	5	$173	100	100	+0	Down	+$11	02-23 08:21
bitcoin up or down february 27 7am et	4	$160	150	150	+0	Down	-$13	02-27 12:46
bitcoin up or down february 23 11am et	2	$157	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	02-23 16:24
bitcoin up or down february 27 4pm et	2	$145	100	100	+0	Down	+$21	02-27 21:53
bitcoin above 68k on february 15	1	$135	141	0	+141	Yes	+$6	02-15 04:39
bitcoin up or down february 15 4pm et	1	$135	141	0	+141	Up	+$6	02-15 21:43
bitcoin up or down march 4 2am et	5	$134	120	120	+0	Up	+$15	03-04 07:06
bitcoin up or down march 5 4am et	4	$130	150	0	+150	Up	+$20	03-05 09:49
bitcoin up or down february 25 3pm et	2	$125	70	70	+0	Up	+$7	02-25 20:54
bitcoin above 68k on february 14	6	$119	74	74	+0	Yes	$0	02-14 16:16
bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	4	$119	0	200	-200	Down	+$19	02-27 09:44
bitcoin up or down february 19 2am et	8	$115	86	86	+0	Up	+$0	02-19 07:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	7	$111	69	69	+0	No	-$3	05-10 03:38
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$111	60	60	+0	No	+$4	02-25 05:02
bitcoin up or down february 15 11pm et	5	$110	85	45	+40	Up	-$2	02-16 04:31
bitcoin up or down february 21 1am et	4	$109	110	10	+100	Down	+$5	02-21 06:50
bitcoin up or down february 25 1am et	22	$108	60	60	+0	Up	+$4	02-25 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 08:25:47	will bitcoin reach 86k september 28 october 4 2026 from october 2	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4181e9…
09-18 05:14:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0c0bd4…
09-17 05:26:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8d740a…
09-12 19:37:37	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5069b0…
08-13 01:29:30	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x92f986…
08-12 10:20:51	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x08ca1b…
08-12 10:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x7b7cc5…
08-12 10:11:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf2a10f…
08-12 10:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x9ec272…
08-12 10:06:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x701a97…
07-07 19:42:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xcc3c34…
06-28 03:30:44	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$2	0x774b38…
06-23 05:34:22	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xb7f016…
06-23 05:12:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8d21b8…
06-23 05:11:53	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xfcbf1f…
06-17 09:09:52	will bitcoin dip to 64k june 15 21 2026	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xfed3f8…
06-17 03:46:40	will bitcoin dip to 64k june 15 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xda0b26…
06-15 07:04:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xf574d0…
06-15 06:59:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfa6662…
06-15 06:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8ada28…
06-13 12:17:18	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x748f0a…
06-12 07:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x74d0f1…
06-12 07:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc7f5f4…
06-12 07:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x353ec3…
06-12 07:02:49	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x963b38…
06-12 06:59:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xab4394…
06-09 10:05:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc77300…
06-09 09:59:07	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cd131…
06-09 08:36:16	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xadaf19…
06-09 07:53:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xfe6c48…
06-09 07:48:04	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa60c97…
06-09 07:44:19	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe67792…
06-09 07:38:28	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xf9feb1…
06-09 07:38:28	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x4a65b7…
06-09 07:38:28	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0edb25…
06-09 07:38:22	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6a2e6a…
06-09 07:38:13	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x7f026c…
06-09 07:38:10	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x57bb92…
06-09 07:24:16	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe1871b…
06-09 07:24:16	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x942e96…
06-09 07:24:16	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x794024…
06-09 07:24:16	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1aa1b1…
06-09 07:24:09	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xd67d64…
06-09 07:23:37	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x213aaf…
06-09 07:18:25	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x03d7c4…
06-09 07:13:40	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x5e84cc…
06-09 07:08:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x108f80…
06-09 06:54:49	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x22cb9b…
06-09 06:43:45	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x4db28c…
06-09 06:43:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x335ea0…
06-09 06:37:30	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xf4d87c…
06-09 06:37:30	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xd1753f…
06-09 06:37:28	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x79afe6…
06-09 06:37:28	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x5a61af…
06-09 06:34:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	47	12¢	$6	0xd7887b…
06-09 06:34:39	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x9e3f18…
06-09 06:34:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xaa7df3…
06-09 06:34:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x44025f…
06-09 06:33:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x422046…
06-08 05:54:03	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe698eb…
06-08 05:49:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4f776c…
06-08 05:43:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x7fee3c…
06-07 19:47:55	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9369a1…
06-07 19:34:03	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x50a98b…
06-07 19:28:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xcb13f6…
06-07 19:21:25	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf81fa4…
06-07 19:18:10	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfd4988…
06-07 19:13:30	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x534635…
06-07 18:58:27	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xcc7e0d…
06-07 18:49:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x085e73…
06-07 18:43:37	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x41c176…
06-07 18:38:10	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa8a128…
06-07 18:17:40	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x421d5a…
06-07 18:14:16	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xec992d…
06-07 17:29:01	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xa57bbc…
06-07 17:23:30	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xbf7b34…
06-07 17:18:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xdf36f7…
06-07 17:08:52	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf7fcc2…
06-07 08:08:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x560823…
06-07 08:03:43	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x341377…
06-07 07:59:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf7a30f…
06-07 07:58:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9aba1e…
06-07 07:58:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x31d8bf…
06-07 07:53:22	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x81d6f6…
06-07 07:48:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x987af6…
06-07 07:42:31	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x06040c…
06-07 07:39:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x416bd2…
06-07 07:34:55	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x4b6cb0…
06-07 07:34:07	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x787a0d…
06-07 07:27:55	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0dd5de…
06-07 07:24:22	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x237367…
06-07 07:13:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfaee5f…
06-07 07:09:31	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa804de…
06-07 07:03:37	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4c6edc…
06-07 06:59:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc38cc4…
06-07 06:48:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xedebcf…
06-07 06:44:09	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbadae3…
06-07 06:38:57	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xdbee0d…
06-07 06:28:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbd9cae…
06-07 06:24:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xfc6257…